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Palestinians

Policy Analysis on Palestinians

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Brief Analysis
Why the ICC Prosecutor Is Wrong on Oslo
By making what appears to be a politically motivated case, the prosecutor’s office runs the risk of undermining both the main Israeli-Palestinian legal framework and the ICC’s role as an unbiased agent of international law.
Jun 16, 2020
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Mapping West Bank Annexation: Territorial and Political Uncertainties
New maps explore the scope of Israel’s potential moves next month, though domestic politics, unprecedented Gulf warnings, and other factors are raising questions about whether annexation will actually proceed.
Jun 15, 2020
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  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Israel Has a Lot to Lose by Annexing West Bank Territory
Even if Netanyahu steps away from the precipice this month, the problem will not dissipate until the White House stops incentivizing annexation with offers of American recognition.
Jun 12, 2020
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  • Robert Satloff
In-Depth Reports
Wrestling with Annexation: The Elusive Search for a Policy Rationale
As soon as next month, Israel’s new government could approve plans to annex a substantial portion of the West Bank. The trigger for this comes from Washington—a shift by the Trump administration to recognize Israel’s new self-declared borders. But that still doesn’t explain why. What might Israel gain by discarding
Jun 11, 2020
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  • Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Annexing West Bank Territory Was Once a Taboo for Israel. No Longer.
The idea that Israelis might embrace annexation seemed extremely improbable just a few years ago, so how did we get here?
Jun 8, 2020
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  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Netanyahu Sees a Historic Moment in Annexation. But He Might Not Be Seeing the Risks.
The prime minister has not acknowledged the important differences between this move and other recent controversies, instead making the unnecessarily dangerous bet that all the warnings will once again prove unfounded.
Jun 5, 2020
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Did Pompeo’s Visit Shift the Annexation Debate in Israel and Washington?
The Trump administration has signaled that it won’t be bound by Netanyahu’s summer rush schedule on the issue, adding to the many foreign and domestic factors that could lead the prime minister to delay or curtail the move.
May 20, 2020
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  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
How Israeli Annexation Talk Is Already Reshaping the Middle East
The Palestinians are withdrawing from peace deals, and Jordan could be next as Israel edges closer to appropriating land outright.
May 19, 2020
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  • Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
Violence Targeting Palestinian Banks Comes at a Sensitive Time
The latest row over prisoner payments has highlighted the PA’s longstanding legitimacy deficit and its potential inability to control events on the ground if public unrest escalates this summer.
May 14, 2020
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  • Ghaith al-Omari
  • Katherine Bauer
Articles & Testimony
On Annexation, Netanyahu Must Choose a Lasting Legacy
The prime minister no longer needs to lean on the transactional politics of partisan campaign promises, so history will judge him harshly if he keeps pursuing policies that threaten Israel’s peace prospects and Jewish identity.
May 5, 2020
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  • David Makovsky
  • Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
Palestinian Politics After Abbas Sudden Succession Essay Series
Sudden Succession Essay Series
Throughout his tenure as leader of the Palestinian Authority, Mahmoud Abbas has studiously avoided grooming a successor, instead consolidating his control over numerous Palestinian entities and sidelining officials he perceived as threatening to his rule. When he eventually exits the scene, Abbas will leave many leadership roles to be filled—including in the PLO, Fatah movement, and national security agencies.
May 5, 2020
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  • Ghaith al-Omari
  • Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Coronavirus on the Israeli-Palestinian Scene (Part 2): The Gaza Strip
Hamas authorities have taken various measures to stave off the pandemic, but Gaza’s major healthcare shortfalls, deep economic problems, and high risk of wider infection could lead to violent flare-ups with Israel.
May 1, 2020
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  • Michael Herzog
  • Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
Covid-19 and Middle East Proxy Wars: The Storm Before the Calm?
Although the pandemic’s full regional consequences remain murky, some early trends are becoming clear, from caution among certain proxy patrons, to escalation among others, and a looming financial crunch for all.
Apr 29, 2020
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  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Coronavirus on the Israeli-Palestinian Scene (Part 1): The West Bank and East Jerusalem
The outbreak has temporarily shifted the two sides from squabbling over the ‘deal of the century’ to cooperating against the ‘pandemic of the century,’ though bitter political differences continue to cause tensions.
Apr 28, 2020
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  • Michael Herzog
  • Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
State of Jurisdiction: The International Criminal Court and the ‘Situation in Palestine’
The question of whether the ICC is able to proceed with cases against Israeli and Palestinian officials may hinge on fuzzy international legal criteria and competing arguments by sympathetic governments.
Apr 24, 2020
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  • Alexander Loengarov
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Rush to ‘Apply Sovereignty’ in the West Bank: Timing and Potential Consequences
Given the short U.S. election calendar, Netanyahu is adamant about securing approval for unilateral moves in the West Bank by July 1, a timetable that may hold damaging implications for Israeli relations with multiple countries.
Apr 22, 2020
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  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
What ‘Bonaparte Visiting the Plague-Stricken in Jaffa’ Teaches About Our Own Plague-Stricken Time
The painting and the historical scene it depicts remind us that many aspects of the coronavirus pandemic—from equipment rationing to ‘Orient blaming’ to political clashes with medical science—are nothing new.
Apr 21, 2020
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  • Martin Kramer
Articles & Testimony
Benny Gantz Did the Right Thing by Putting His Country First
The Blue-White leader’s former allies have denounced him for caving to Netanyahu, but his conciliatory gesture is a sign of statesmanship, not weakness.
Apr 7, 2020
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  • Dennis Ross
  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Policy in the Middle East Amid Great Power Competition
Viewing regional issues through this broader strategic lens will require Washington to accept painful trade-offs and take a tougher stance with difficult allies.
Mar 30, 2020
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Gantz’s Gamble
In the name of Israeli unity, the former Blue-White leader has opted to detonate his bloc and allow Netanyahu to remain in power until next year, with uncertain consequences for domestic politics, West Bank annexations, and other issues.
Mar 27, 2020
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  • David Makovsky

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