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Israel

Policy Analysis on Israel

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Brief Analysis
Replacing UNRWA Is an Opportunity Trump Should Not Miss
The incoming U.S. administration has no intention of strong-arming Israel into working with such a problematic organization, so officials should focus on pressing other UN agencies to take on its job in Gaza—or risk cuts to their own funding.
Jan 15, 2025
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  • Robert Satloff
Video
Brief Analysis
Lebanon Ceasefire: Status and Prospects of the Israel-Hezbollah Truce
Watch or read remarks from a former LAF general, the IDF’s former head of strategic planning, and an expert Lebanon analyst during a new series of virtual panels held by The Washington Institute.
Jan 13, 2025
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  • Khalil Helou
  • Tal Kelman
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
The Current and Future Houthi Threat to the Middle East
An effective response to the group's persistent aggression should include strengthening the United Nations verification and inspection mechanism, preparing sanctions against actors who violate UN resolutions, and taking steps to interdict arms transfers.
Dec 29, 2024
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  • Michael Knights
An Iraqi member of a Shia PMF militia
Articles & Testimony
While Israel Now Wants to Go After Iraqi Militias, Trump May Not
The Hashd may already be deterred somewhat by recent events, but Trump will likely seek to maintain the pressure by withholding annual military assistance to Baghdad.
Dec 23, 2024
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  • David Schenker
An Iranian soldier wearing an IRGC uniform salutes in front of an Iranin flag - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Two “Axes” Converging in Iran
Iran’s Middle East “axis of resistance” and the Eurasian axis it shares with China, Russia, and North Korea are increasingly challenging the global and regional order, highlighting the need for more partnerships and a comprehensive counterstrategy with special efforts focusing on Tehran.
Dec 23, 2024
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  • Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
Israel and the Fall of Assad: Rejoice, Repel, Reach Out, Reload
Prompt military action is helping Israel counter the immediate security risks of Syria’s sudden upheaval, but additional efforts will be needed to seize the broader opportunities of this new era.
Dec 18, 2024
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  • Assaf Orion
Security forces the Iraqi-Syrian border, after it has been reopened for trade and travel, in Al Qaim, Iraq in 2019 - source: Reuters
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Nujaba Projects Paranoia Over Domestic Security
Nujaba's immediate allergic reaction to regime change in Syria is a bellwether of how vulnerable Coordination Framework militias feel as pro-Iran hierarchies come tumbling down.
Dec 16, 2024
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  • Hamdi Malik
  • Ameer al-Kaabi
◆ Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
For Israel, a Strategic Win and New Headaches
Despite the welcome blow to Iran's axis, Israel’s must now protect its border communities in the Golan and ensure that the Assad regime's strategic weapons don't end up in the wrong hands.
Dec 11, 2024
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  • Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
With Assad Gone—What’s Next?
In addition to carefully managing moves on the Golan, Israel should focus on facilitating humanitarian assistance to the Druze, mending relations with Turkey, and convincing Trump to maintain America’s military presence in Syria.
Dec 9, 2024
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  • Ehud Yaari
Members of the Israeli delegation at the Tripartite Conference in 2006 - source: Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
Back to the Future in Lebanon? Ceasefire Lessons from 2006
The former head of Israel’s “tripartite” delegation reflects on the slow-rolling failures that followed the 2006 ceasefire—lessons that can help authorities overcome similar obstacles to the new agreement.
Dec 6, 2024
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  • Assaf Orion
An Israeli border guard secures the gate at a crossing with Lebanon in 2007 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Lebanon Ceasefire: Managing Israeli Public Expectations and U.S. Coordination
In addition to assuaging public fears about the agreement, officials will need to reach a shared understanding with Washington about how to enforce its terms and respond to Hezbollah violations.
Dec 5, 2024
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  • David Makovsky
Photo showing smoke clearing from Beirut during the 2024 Hezbollah-Israel war.
Video
Brief Analysis
The Hezbollah-Israel Ceasefire and U.S. Leadership: What Comes Next
Four experts discuss the agreement’s detailed security provisions, the prospects for successful implementation, and the potential impact on other regional players.
Dec 4, 2024
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  • David Schenker
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Assaf Orion
  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
How to End the War in Gaza: Lessons from Lebanon
The Lebanon deal shows how Washington and Israel can use their newly gained leverage to resolve the Palestinian crisis.
Dec 2, 2024
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  • Stuart Eizenstat
  • Dennis Ross
President Donald Trump meeting with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
How the Trump Factor Pushed Israel Towards Lebanon Ceasefire
The Biden White House brokered the deal, but Trump’s return is significantly influencing Binyamin Netanyahu’s actions.
Dec 1, 2024
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  • Dennis Ross
Muqawama under threat
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Militias Downscaling Their Anti-Israel Actions
Iran-backed groups were already powering down for weeks before Israel delivered a stark warning on November 18, after which attacks dropped off almost entirely.
Nov 26, 2024
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  • Ameer al-Kaabi
  • Michael Knights
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Book cover with Iranian missiles, including Shahab-3
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
If Iran Gets the Bomb:
Weapons, Force Posture, Strategy
The decision would require tradeoffs affecting the security, survivability, and military credibility of Tehran's nascent arsenal.
Nov 25, 2024
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Boat from SAD Nov 19, 2024 drone launch vs Israel
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Militias Unveil SAD Aircraft Carrier
Saraya Awliya al-Dam launched a Shahed drone from a small boat in an apparent effort to draw attention by demonstrating a rudimentary new capability.
Nov 19, 2024
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  • Michael Knights
  • Hamdi Malik
  • Crispin Smith
◆ Militia Spotlight
People watch the September 10, 2024 debate between presidential candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
U.S. Election 2024: Views from the Middle East
A panel of distinguished journalists from across the Middle East discuss regional perspectives on the second Trump administration’s potential approach to critical issues of war and peace.
Nov 12, 2024
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  • David Horovitz
  • Barcin Yinanc
  • Nadim Koteich
  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
How to Judge Iranian Response Options Against Israel
Poor internal communications and miscalculation could lead Tehran to continue the cycle by striking again soon, whether directly or through its Iraqi proxies.
Nov 1, 2024
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Michael Knights
A photo illustration depicts Israeli and Palestinian flags - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
How to End the Third Lebanon War—and Prevent the Fourth
The security arrangements set forth by Resolution 1701 and other past accords need to be beefed up and, more important, enforced—a task that may require an international “action group” willing to operate beyond the Security Council’s limitations.
Oct 29, 2024
◆
  • Assaf Orion

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Featured experts

David Makovsky
David Makovsky
David Makovsky is the Ziegler Distinguished Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Koret Project on Arab-Israel Relations.
Ambassador Dennis Ross
Dennis Ross
Dennis Ross, a former special assistant to President Barack Obama, is the counselor and William Davidson Distinguished Fellow at The Washington Institute.
Ehud Yaari
Ehud Yaari is the Lafer International Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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