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Iraq

Policy Analysis on Iraq

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Articles & Testimony
Baghdadi Is Dead but His Legend Lives On
The Islamic State no longer governs territory, but aspiring jihadists can now point to a caliphate project achieved in their lifetime, a long-held yearning of the international movement.
Oct 29, 2019
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
After Baghdadi: How the Islamic State Rebounds
The back-to-back deaths of the IS leader and allegedly one of his likely successors mark a significant counterterrorism accomplishment, but neither high-profile deaths nor the territorial loss of the so-called caliphate will translate into the organization’s defeat.
Oct 28, 2019
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  • Katherine Bauer
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
The U.S.: Between Being the World’s Policeman and Trusting Regional Partners
Despite long-documented public weariness with Middle East conflicts, Trump’s successor could well recognize the value of reestablishing American credibility in the region.
Oct 28, 2019
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Kurdish Reactions to Their Abandonment in Syria
The U.S. withdrawal of troops from northeast Syria has placed Kurdish fighters in a near-impossible situation, while alarming Kurdish communities in other countries, but Washington can still take steps to mitigate the damage.
Oct 25, 2019
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  • Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Exposing and Sanctioning Human Rights Violations by Iraqi Militias
As new protests and further government crackdowns loom, Washington should call out abuses by Iran-backed entities and sanction the key offenders.
Oct 22, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Iran Is Losing the Middle East, Protests in Lebanon and Iraq Show
Recent upsurges in dissent cross sectarian lines and reveal the governing incompetence at the core of Iranian proxy leadership.
Oct 22, 2019
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
The Geopolitical Stakes in Iraq
Russia has steadily inserted itself into Iraq's military, energy, and educational sectors, and these relationships could turn Baghdad further away from the United States now that the Trump administration has ceded Syria to Moscow.
Oct 17, 2019
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Signposts for an Islamic State Comeback in Iraq
Despite the damage wrought by the U.S. withdrawal from Syria, the main drivers of Islamic State resurgence in Iraq can still be restrained by local U.S. engagement, which is now even more vital than before.
Oct 15, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Iraq Is Not Yet Lost, But If We Continue to Ignore It, It Soon Will Be
Muddled governance, harsh crackdowns, and outside interference threaten to overturn the fragile freedom that Iraqis have won at great cost.
Oct 15, 2019
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
What Is Iran Up To in Deir al-Zour?
Tehran and its proxies have been exerting hard and soft power in northeast Syria, combining military consolidation with economic, social, and religious outreach in order to cement their long-term influence.
Oct 10, 2019
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  • Oula A. Alrifai
Brief Analysis
As Protests Explode, Iraq Must Get Serious About Reform
The public’s demands are just and their patience is all but gone, so Baghdad needs to get on with the hard work of opening up the economy and providing critical services before the violence spirals out of control.
Oct 4, 2019
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  • Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Helping Iraq Take Charge of Its Command-and-Control Structure
Recent organizational shifts offer a glimmer of hope that Baghdad will stand up to Iranian influence, but implementation will be the test of their actual merit.
Sep 30, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Don’t Write Off Iraq
Even as Baghdad works to rein in militias that invite outside attacks, Washington needs to be patient with the country’s contradictions in the near term and give space for it to exert sovereignty in the long term.
Sep 24, 2019
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  • Bilal Wahab
  • Barbara A. Leaf
Brief Analysis
Iraq’s Air Defense Conundrum: Options for U.S. Policy
Baghdad is under pressure to show it can protect its airspace, but procuring Russian or Iranian equipment might complicate U.S.-Iraq relations without addressing the triggers for Israeli strikes.
Sep 12, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
  • Farzin Nadimi
In-Depth Reports
Shia Leadership After Sistani Sudden Succession Essay Series
Sudden Succession Essay Series
The current holder of the highest clerical rank in Shia Islam is eighty-nine-year-old Ali al-Sistani, who is based in Najaf, Iraq. Sistani has played an important role in Iraq’s post-Saddam era, supporting political reconciliation and a constitution-based society. While the transnational reach of marjaiya will likely diminish after Sistani leaves the scene, the specific contours of this shift and Tehran's efforts to intervene remain an open question.
Sep 10, 2019
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  • Ali Mamouri
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
How Will Hezbollah Respond to Israel’s Drone Attack?
With the IDF seemingly expanding its missile hunt to Lebanon and Iraq, the actions of Iran’s proxies, their host governments, and U.S. officials will do much to determine if wider escalation is in the cards.
Aug 28, 2019
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Iran Develops Air Defense Capability for Possible Regional Role
A newly announced system could further the regime’s longstanding desire to create an A2AD umbrella in the Gulf and forward-deploy antiaircraft missiles in other countries.
Aug 27, 2019
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Militias Are Threatening Public Safety in Iraq
Exploding ammo dumps are only one of many problems posed by out-of-control militias, making it more urgent than ever to warehouse heavy weapons, halt mass detentions, and protect Iraqis and Iraq’s investors alike.
Aug 14, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
  • Alex Almeida
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s Expanding Militia Army in Iraq: The New Special Groups
Tehran-backed militias must be monitored more closely on a host of destabilizing activities, though policymakers should be careful not to lump them in with the many PMF factions that don't support Iran.
Aug 9, 2019
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Sanctions on Iraqi Political Figures: Shaping the Impact and Message
The United States is now designating politicians who place personal or Iranian interests above the needs of the Iraqi people, but these efforts could go awry if locals don’t understand the justification or consequences.
Jul 19, 2019
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  • Michael Knights

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