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Iraq

Policy Analysis on Iraq

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Brief Analysis
The Race for Deir al-Zour Province
The SDF and U.S.-supported Arab fighters likely lack the might and unity to overcome Assad-regime advances and other obstacles.
Aug 17, 2017
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Predicting the Shape of Iraq's Next Sunni Insurgencies
Analysts tracking the insurgent landscape in Iraq can draw many lessons from 2010-14, the period during which the Islamic State recovered its potency.
Aug 16, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Focus on Clear Goals to Contain Iran in Iraq and Syria
The Powell Doctrine, a set of principles devised in the 1980s, can guide the United States in promoting regional stability and averting future disasters.
Aug 11, 2017
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  • James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
When Governance Is a Must, Not a Luxury
The KRG must commit, as its statehood referendum nears, to an independent judiciary, a strong parliament, and other hallmarks of a democratic society.
Aug 3, 2017
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  • Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
The Institute of Peace Is Successful Against ISIS -- The U.S. Must Fund It
The cost-effective, nonpartisan institute can help promote broader reconciliation in Mosul and other areas now retaken from the jihadist group.
Aug 2, 2017
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  • James Jeffrey
NATO solderis with alliance and national flags
Articles & Testimony
NATO's Role in Fighting Post-Caliphate ISIS Looms Large
As the Islamic State devolves from governance to insurgency, NATO should stay close to its traditional role as a military alliance, not a counterterrorism agency.
Aug 2, 2017
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  • Matthew Levitt
Erbil's Endgame
Preparations for the independence referendum highlight political and generational divides in Iraqi Kurdistan.
Jul 21, 2017
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  • Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
The Best Thing America Built in Iraq:
Iraq's Counter Terrorism Service and the Long War Against Militancy
A compact size, high pay, and rigorous standards have helped the service thrive, but now it needs sustained support to become a lasting monument to U.S. good intentions in Iraq.
Jul 19, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
  • Alex Almeida
Brief Analysis
What to Expect From the State Department's Annual Counterterrorism Report
Areas of focus will likely include a damaged but still dangerous Islamic State, a regrouping al-Qaeda, and the wide network fielded by Iran and its proxy Hezbollah.
Jul 18, 2017
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  • Matthew Levitt
  • Katherine Bauer
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Confidence- and Security-Building Measures in the Nineveh Plains
In the aftermath of Mosul's liberation, the adjacent Nineveh Plains could be a cockpit for new ethno-sectarian conflict or a test case of cooperative security arrangements, with the anti-IS coalition having strong incentives to ensure the latter.
Jul 14, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
  • Yousif Kalian
Brief Analysis
The Caliphate Project in Iraq Post-Mosul
Destroying the vestiges of IS governance will not eliminate the group -- which will continue to pose an insurgent and terrorist threat -- but it will remove any arguments the jihadists might be inclined to make about the near-term viability of their state.
Jul 13, 2017
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Mosul Defeat a Blow to IS, but Not the End
Risks include a burgeoning jihadist insurgency in areas retaken from the group more than two years ago, including Diyala province, where Iran-backed militias have exacerbated matters by engaging in collective punishment.
Jul 10, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
In-Depth Reports
How al-Qaeda Survived Drones, Uprisings, and the Islamic State
Over the past eight years, al-Qaeda's fortunes have ebbed and flowed. Drones, uprisings, and a challenge from the Islamic State have forced the core al-Qaeda organization—historically based in the Afghanistan/Pakistan region—and its various branches to adapt and migrate outward. In this new Policy Focus, Washington Institute fellow Aaron Y. Zelin
Jun 28, 2017
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Waiting Game in Sinjar
From Ankara's perspective, an optimal outcome may ultimately involve using soft power, rather than actual force, to remove its Kurdish PKK and YPG adversaries from the district.
Jun 27, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
The Fight for the Northern Iraq-Syria Border
At the symbolic level, Iran and its proxies are achieving great success in planting their flags along this contested frontier, but real control will entail the much tougher task of establishing permanent bases and logistical arrangements.
Jun 27, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraqi Public Opinion Shows a New Bridge of Hope and an Old Valley of Concerns
Since I started researching and polling public opinion in Iraq in 2003, I cannot remember more interesting findings than the ones from the recent nationwide survey conducted a few weeks ago. In general - and as a rule since 2003 - hundreds of previous quantitative and qualitative studies have shown
Jun 7, 2017
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  • Munqith Dagher
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Building a “Joint Force” to Control Liberated Yazidi Towns
More than two weeks after the launch of the Muhammad Rasallah II operation, the Popular Mobilization Units (PMUs, or al-Hashd al-Shabi) reached the Syria-Iraq border west of Mosul on May 29, 2017. Hadi al-Ameri, leader of the Badr Organization and one of the most influential PMU commanders, announced from the
Jun 6, 2017
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  • Michael Knights
  • Hamdi Malik
Military Victory in Mosul Likely to Lift P.M. Abadi's Reelection Campaign
Without a concrete plan for the aftermath of the city's fall, a very complex multilateral conflict may soon erupt in northern Iraq.
Jun 2, 2017
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  • Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Contain Iran? Fine, But Answer These Questions First
Whatever understandings the Trump administration reaches after the Islamic State is defeated, it needs to be clear about the stakes: if America does not stop the Iranians in Syria and Iraq, they will soon emerge as the region's dominant force.
Jun 1, 2017
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  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Preventing Allies from Fighting Each Other in Iraq's Disputed Areas
As the Islamic State attempts to regenerate in tense multiethnic areas, Washington should view Arab-Kurdish dispute resolution as an essential counterterrorism mission, not an uncertain nation-building enterprise.
May 31, 2017
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  • Michael Knights

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab
Bilal Wahab was the Nathan and Esther K. Wagner Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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