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Gulf States

Policy Analysis on Gulf States

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Brief Analysis
How Vulnerable is Iraq's Economy?
A sanction-induced economic crisis cannot be counted on to force Saddam Hussein out of Kuwait, much less out of office. Iraq has good prospects of surviving sanctions through the end of 1991 by a combination of tightening consumer's belts and loosening the socialist tourniquet now tied around the Iraqi private
Oct 25, 1990
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  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Doubts about the Diplomatic Strategy
As the President nears his moment of decision in the Gulf crisis, he is being urged by many policy experts to adopt a long-term, diplomacy-only strategy for dealing with Iraq's aggression. But Secretary of State Baker's dismissal of "partial solutions," the President's refusal to rule out force, and reports of
Oct 18, 1990
Brief Analysis
All Politics Are Local:
Soviet Constraints in the Gulf Crisis
The growing linkage between Soviet domestic and foreign policy is producing dramatic changes in its Middle East positions. The Soviet regime is playing a key role on some aspects of the Gulf crisis, but its freedom of action is quite constrained in others because of the internal struggle for power
Oct 15, 1990
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  • John Hannah
Brief Analysis
Moscow and the Gulf Crisis:
New Thoughts about New Thinking
The visit of Soviet special envoy Yevgeny Primakov to Baghdad today in search of a diplomatic resolution of the Gulf crisis is another sign of Moscow's growing interest in the crisis as a catalyst for a new Soviet role in the Middle East. Last Sunday's decision to establish diplomatic relations
Oct 4, 1990
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  • John Hannah
Brief Analysis
Washington Institute Conference:
Perspectives on the Gulf Crisis
The Fifth Annual Policy Conference of The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, held September 14-16, brought out a number of new ideas and perspectives on the Persian Gulf crisis. These included important points about administration strategy, the attitudes of Arab states and Israel, the time frame for various tactics
Sep 18, 1990
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  • Barry Rubin
In-Depth Reports
The Gulf Crisis:
War of Peace in the Middle East?
Keynote addresses by Moshe Arens, Richard Haass, Saud Nasir Al-Sabah, and Paul Wolfowitz.
Sep 14, 1990
In-Depth Reports
Kuwait's Approach to the Gulf Crisis
On September 14-16, 1990, The Washington Institute held its fifth annual Policy Conference at the Wye Plantation. The following is an edited transcript of one speaker's remarks. Read a summary of the full conference. The situation inside Kuwait is indescribable. Iraq has isolated Kuwait from the civilized world; the 1.5
Sep 14, 1990
Brief Analysis
A New Security Structure for the Persian Gulf:
What Does the United States Have in Mind?
Secretary of State Baker's idea of developing "a new security structure" for the Middle East has been the subject of much attention. What specifically does the U.S. have in mind? The most honest answer is not much. It appears that, in raising the idea, Secretary Baker was for the most
Sep 13, 1990
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  • John Hannah
Brief Analysis
From Competition to Cooperation:
The Helsinki Communique in Perspective
Did President Bush reverse long-standing policy by inviting the USSR to play a role in Middle East peacemaking? No. In fact, the summit outcome points to two other conclusions. First, the Bush administration has been willing from the outset to give the Soviet Union a role in Middle East peacemaking
Sep 12, 1990
Brief Analysis
Chemical Warfare and the Persian Gulf States
Iraq's chemical weapons pose two major questions for U.S. policy today: • How threatening are these arms to U.S. forces? • What should the United States and its allies do to neutralize these weapons if Iraq's current capacities survive the crisis? Iraq is now the world's largest producer of chemical
Sep 10, 1990
Brief Analysis
Can the United States Liberate Kuwait Today?
Many commentators and policy-makers in Washington are calling for U.S. military action to dislodge Iraq from Kuwait. While this option may be attractive in principle, today it is impossible in practice. Indeed, according to Defense Secretary Dick Cheney, the U.S. military still has some way to go before it can
Sep 6, 1990
Brief Analysis
The U.S. Strategy Debate over the Gulf
The danger of a U.S.-Iraq military confrontation may be receding for the time being. But now the debate in the administration, Congress, and the public faces a new issue: will the Bush Administration's multilateral strategy prevent it from taking unilateral military action if Saddam Hussein refuses to withdraw from Kuwait
Sep 4, 1990
Brief Analysis
Meeting in Amman:
The Perils of Negotiation
As UN Secretary-General Perez de Cuellar begins diplomatic contacts in Amman with Iraqi Foreign Minister Tariq Aziz, the Gulf crisis moves, at least temporarily, into a phase of negotiations. But negotiations can be as dangerous as battle -- leading to escalation, defeat, or even disaster. U.S. policy must be flexible
Aug 30, 1990
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  • Barry Rubin
In-Depth Reports
OPEC Ascendant?
Another Case of Crying Wolf
A moderate run-up in oil prices in 1989 has led many oil forecasters to project large price hikes through the 1990s and a far more powerful OPEC cartel; in short another oil shock in the mid-1990s. Recent warnings from forecasters are reminiscent of the alarmist—and mistaken—predictions that followed the oil
Jun 1, 1990
In-Depth Reports
Behind the Riot in Mecca
The recent rioting and deaths in Mecca have shocked Muslims and confused the world. The hostility which led to bloodshed in the sacred city was prompted in part by the political tensions in the Gulf. But the tragedy is primarily one episode in a lengthy history of pilgrimage conflict between
Aug 1, 1987
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  • Martin Kramer
In-Depth Reports
Another Oil Shock in the 1990s?
A Dissenting View
Executive Summary Contrary to the forecasts of many oil industry analysts, the current state of relatively low oil prices is likely to continue throughout the nest decade. As a result, there is little reason to fear the economic power of a resurgent oil cartel. The strongest force depressing oil prices
Jan 1, 1987
Saudi Arabia: Population Density (JPEG)
Courtesy of the University of Texas Libraries, The University of Texas at Austin
Dec 31, 1974
Satellite Image of Saudi Arabia
Dec 31, 1969
Middle East Overview
Copyright 2004 The Washington Institute for Near East Policy
Dec 31, 1969

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