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Gulf States

Policy Analysis on Gulf States

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Brief Analysis
‘Forging a New Relationship’:
The Future Agenda for U.S.-Saudi Relations after the Crawford Summit
On April 25, President George W. Bush and Crown Prince Abdullah, the de facto ruler of Saudi Arabia, held a three-hour meeting in Crawford, Texas, producing a joint statement in which both leaders agreed “to forge a new relationship” between the two countries. Both sides reportedly saw the meeting as
Apr 28, 2005
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
From Paris to Crawford:
Assessing Crown Prince Abdullah’s Upcoming Visit
On April 25, 2005, Crown Prince Abdullah of Saudi Arabia will meet with President George W. Bush in Crawford, Texas. The de facto ruler of the world’s largest oil exporter flies in from Morocco, where he has been vacationing after a three-day visit to France. While President Bush is expected
Apr 22, 2005
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Arrest of Saudi Reformers One Year On
A year ago, on March 16, 2004, the Saudi authorities arrested thirteen reformist intellectuals, including one university academic who was reportedly taken away in handcuffs in front of his class. Three days later the arrests were an issue taken up by then Secretary of State Colin Powell when he arrived
Mar 15, 2005
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Saudi Elections in Regional Perspective:
The Shiite 'Threat' Theory
The most significant area of Saudi Arabia affected by the March 3 municipal elections was the enormous Eastern Province, which contains most of the kingdom's vast oil wealth and serves as home to its minority Shiite population. Unsurprisingly, local Shiites triumphed in several towns, winning nearly all of the seats
Mar 9, 2005
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Supporting the Palestinian Authority:
Will the Oil-Rich Arabs Pay Up?
On March 1, British prime minister Tony Blair will host a conference in London dedicated to garnering support for the Palestinian Authority (PA). The summit is intended to help the new Palestinian leadership strengthen PA institutions, with a special focus on facilitating economic development, encouraging donor pledges, and identifying investment
Feb 28, 2005
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Lights, Camera, Inaction?
Saudi Arabia’s Counterterrorism Conference
Beginning on February 5, Riyadh hosted a four-day international counterterrorism conference. Amid extraordinary splendor in palatial conference facilities, delegates from several international organizations and a reported fifty countries (including the United States) listened to speeches by the Saudi leadership and then discussed initiatives in breakout workshops. The conference served as
Feb 11, 2005
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Backing Kuwait's Stand against Terrorism
Five firefights between Kuwaiti government forces and terrorist cells since January 10, 2005, have brought the hitherto low-profile issue of Kuwait's role in the war on terror to the fore. The incidents highlight the increased terrorist threat in a country that, in addition to attracting the normal commercial contingent of
Feb 11, 2005
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia and Oil:
Coping with the Challenge of Osama bin Laden
On January 26, 2005, Riyadh announced that Prince Nawaf, head of the Saudi General Intelligence Department, had been relieved of his post. The move was not entirely unexpected-the prince has reportedly never fully recovered from a brain hemorrhage he suffered at the 2002 Arab Summit in Beirut. Yet, Riyadh failed
Jan 28, 2005
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  • Simon Henderson
U.S.-Iran Relations:
A Danger to Gulf Stability
Remarks delivered at the second annual conference of the Gulf Research Center in Dubai. As the organizers of this conference have indicated in their description about this session, the most important issue Iran poses for the Gulf and the central issue in U.S.-Iran relations is Iran’s nuclear program. So that
Jan 6, 2005
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  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Saudi Municipal Elections:
Royal Caution and Citizen Apathy
December 22 was the last day Saudi men could register to vote in municipal elections due to be held February 10 in the capital, Riyadh, and the surrounding area. Despite continuing outbreaks of al-Qaeda-related terrorism (nine terrorists were killed in clashes after two car bombs exploded in Riyadh on December
Jan 3, 2005
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
JTIC Briefing:
Jeddah Attack Underscores Fall in Capabilities of Saudi Militants
The 6 December 2004 assault on the US consulate in Jeddah ended six months of relative calm in the Kingdom and provided an unwelcome reminder that the Al-Qaeda movement is down but not out in the region. Michael Knights analyses whether the attack was an unsuccessful anomaly or the leading
Jan 1, 2005
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Saudi Stability in the Shadow of the U.S. Consulate Attack in Jeddah
The December 6 terrorist attack on the U.S. consulate in the Saudi port city of Jeddah, which killed five non-American staff members, was a worrisome display of al-Qaeda's careful planning, detailed timing, and audaciousness. Worse still, the assault contradicts Riyadh's claims that it has contained the threat of terrorism. The
Dec 7, 2004
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The UAE After Sheikh Zayed: Tensions Between Tribe and State
The formal succession has been smooth so far, but many questions remain about how the ruling family will handle major regional decisionmaking in practice.
Nov 16, 2004
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Elections in Saudi Arabia:
Assessing the Latest Postponement
Municipal elections in Saudi Arabia, scheduled to begin in November, have been postponed until 2005. Given that these will be the first public political elections ever to take place in the kingdom, their introduction has been keenly watched, both domestically and from abroad. The latest delay, the second since the
Sep 24, 2004
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Hand of Bandar?
As everyone knows, Saudis, if not Saudi Arabia, were central to the horrific events of September 11, 2001. Fifteen out of 19 hijackers were Saudi, plus the Saudi-born Osama bin Laden, (from whom the kingdom withdrew citizenship in the 1990s). What is perhaps surprising therefore is that Saudi Arabia is
Aug 5, 2004
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The al-Qaeda Challenge to Saudi Arabia
As a result of the 2001 U.S. invasion of Afghanistan, the al-Qaeda network now consists of small, local, and autonomous affiliate groups that attack domestic and Western targets alike. Ties between affiliate groups and the former al-Qaeda core is largely informal. For example, recent attacks have been claimed by affiliates
Jul 29, 2004
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  • Jonathan Schanzer
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Broader Threat from Sunni Islamists in the Gulf
On July 14, 2004, Bahraini security forces arrested seven suspected terrorists accused of planning "to carry out bombings on some government, economic, and tourist facilities to spread chaos and fear and harm the national economy and foreign investments." The arrests targeted a group of Sunni radicals of the extremist Salafi
Jul 19, 2004
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia Faces Long-Term Insecurity
A string of terrorist attacks in Saudi Arabia sent oil prices to a 21-year high in early June and prompted speculation about the future stability of the Al-Saud regime. Yet, the near-term terrorist threat presents a relatively minor risk compared to the longer-term possibility of state failure....
Jul 1, 2004
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Yemen's War on Terror
Yemen has emerged of late as one of the more fertile locations for Al Qaeda activity. Al Qaeda's Yemeni affiliate, the Islamic Army of Aden-Abyan (IAA), has executed a number of spectacular attacks against Western interests in recent years. It was responsible for the 1998 kidnapping of sixteen Western tourists
Jun 24, 2004
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  • Jonathan Schanzer
Articles & Testimony
Why Americans Die in Riyadh
Three Americans murdered in Saudi capital, Riyadh, in just two weeks. Two of them beheaded, gruesomely hacked off with a knife rather than severed with an axe. There can be few surer ways of attracting the attention of the American public. But then the leader of the gang of Islamic
Jun 21, 2004
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  • Simon Henderson

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Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Eisenstadt is the Kahn Senior Fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker Senior Fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Michael Knights
Michael Knights
Michael Knights is the Jill and Jay Bernstein Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and cofounder of the Militia Spotlight platform, which offers in-depth analysis of developments related to Iran-backed militias.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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