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Gulf & Energy Policy

Policy Analysis on Gulf & Energy Policy

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Articles & Testimony
Here’s How Palestinians Could Benefit from the Diplomatic Deal Between Israel and the United Arab Emirates
Skillful U.S. and Arab diplomacy could use normalization and the accompanying annexation freeze as a base for renewed momentum toward an eventual two-state solution.
Sep 10, 2020
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  • David Makovsky
  • Daniel Shapiro
Brief Analysis
Saudi Military Chief Accused of Corruption
The general’s firing will prompt speculation about changes in Yemen policy and royal family opposition to the crown prince.
Sep 1, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Normalization Can Inject New Life into the Arab Peace Initiative
With careful diplomacy, blunt discussion of national interests, and reciprocal steps on the ground, a group of like-minded Arab states could advance Palestinian-Israeli peacemaking while still preserving the API’s core.
Aug 31, 2020
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  • Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
Peace for Warplanes?
How domestic and foreign disputes over the potential sale of F-35 jets to the UAE could complicate the country's normalization deal with Israel.
Aug 31, 2020
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  • Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
Saudi-Pakistan Rift Develops Over India
Growing tensions between the two allies have both Islamic and nuclear angles.
Aug 21, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Oman’s Sultan Devolves Some of His Powers to New Cabinet
In a series of royal decrees that imply a sharp focus on the economy, Sultan Haitham delegated key powers to various ministries for the first time while trimming and professionalizing the government.
Aug 19, 2020
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  • Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
Why the Israel-UAE Agreement Is Actually a Very Big Deal
It shows the Palestinians that their longstanding paradigm for isolating Israel has failed, partly due to converging regional interests, and partly because it was based on incorrect assumptions.
Aug 18, 2020
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  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Normalization Deal Splits the Gulf States—for Now
Some Gulf governments have welcomed the paradigm-changing Israel-UAE agreement while others have not, and those who follow Abu Dhabi’s path will do so based on their own interests and timetables.
Aug 18, 2020
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  • Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
Putting the UAE-Israel Agreement in Its Proper Perspective
Like all good policy decisions, the deal emerged from the enlightened self-interest of the key parties, but the stakes are not as high as with Israel’s previous two Arab peace treaties.
Aug 18, 2020
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  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Lessons of the UAE Breakthrough: How We Got Here, and Why the U.S. Role Remains Central
Statements and actions by Israel and the UAE show how much regional decisionmaking is still shaped by U.S. assurances that enable parties to calibrate their cost-benefit analyses—an approach that could serve as a template for potential future Israel-Gulf ties.
Aug 17, 2020
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  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
The Slow but Steady Progress to Israel’s Peace with the UAE
Years of burgeoning trade and quiet U.S. diplomacy helped lay the groundwork for a move that is only partly focused on improving the bilateral relationship.
Aug 14, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Israel-UAE Agreement Is a Key Step for Peace and Sends a Crucial Message to Palestinians
Emirati leaders apparently understood that this move would preserve the two-state option and preempt Iran from exploiting the annexation issue—while also opening access to previously off-limits U.S. weaponry.
Aug 13, 2020
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  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Israel-UAE Deal Achieves a Middle East Rarity: It’s Win-Win-Win, Palestinians Included
Arab countries that have official relations with Israel are more effective at advancing Palestinian interests, and now Abu Dhabi has joined their ranks.
Aug 13, 2020
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  • Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
Turkey’s Search for Oil May Spill Over into Conflict with Greece
The current flare-up centers on differing interpretations of international law—a situation that should be employing lawyers but is instead deploying navies.
Aug 12, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran Applies Maximum Power to Annual IRGC Naval Exercise
Coming soon after Western naval redeployments in the Gulf and explosions at sensitive Iranian sites, the recent drills illustrate the regime’s eagerness to reassert its deterrence by showing off new weapons and capabilities.
Aug 10, 2020
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Is China Helping Saudi Arabia to Build a Nuclear Bomb?
Riyadh has now ticked the first two boxes on the enrichment checklist and might already be working on the others.
Aug 5, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
How Might Iran Respond to Foreign Sabotage?
Given the dilemmas involved in retaliating for recent acts of sabotage and the death of Qasem Soleimani, Iran will likely defer any substantial military action against U.S. targets until shortly before or after the November election.
Aug 4, 2020
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Riyadh Agreement Redux: Political Gains Still Dogged by Implementation Concerns
Reactivating the 2019 accord is a promising step that could ease tensions in south Yemen and advance wider national negotiations, but only if coalition members are able to put its detailed requirements into effect.
Jul 30, 2020
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  • Elana DeLozier
  • Zied Bouchlaghem
Articles & Testimony
Shifting Sands in the House of Saud with a King’s Declining Health
King Salman may not be on his deathbed, but his son is renowned for not wanting to waste an opportunity.
Jul 21, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States Under Stress
As Riyadh aims to revamp the kingdom’s place in the international community, its near-term approach to Iran and Israel will have much to say about the Gulf neighborhood’s future trajectory.
Jul 15, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson

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Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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Featured experts

Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is the Morningstar Senior Fellow and Research Counselor at The Washington Institute.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker Senior Fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
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