Simon Henderson is the Baker fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Articles & Testimony
A post-oil future isn’t without risks, whether for Middle Eastern producers or Western economies still tied to hydrocarbons in myriad ways.
Last Wednesday, the Financial Times issued an article titled “Oil producers face costly transition as world looks to a net-zero future.” The essence of its argument was that oil producers will struggle to diversify away from hydrocarbons. The result will be drastically falling revenues. Iraq was a worst-case scenario, with Libya a close second. Saudi Arabia and Russia are vulnerable, but their comparatively complex economies have “boosted their resilience.” To policy wonks in Washington, this will be interesting. Some might interpret it, on balance, as good news, but in the Middle East, low government revenues are usually a recipe for domestic trouble and perhaps yet more regional tensions...