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Great Power Competition

Policy Analysis on Great Power Competition

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Flag of China
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
China’s Governance Workshops Seek to Promote China’s Brand in the Middle East
China is increasingly backing up its narrative of good governance by providing governance training to foreign officials in an attempt to develop the Chinese brand in the Middle East.
Apr 2, 2024
◆
  • Niva Yau
An Azeri woman with an Azerbaijan flag in the Nogorno-Karaback region of Armenia - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Are Azerbaijan and Armenia Heading to Peace?
New regional and international factors are creating conditions conducive to ending their decades-long conflict, with potentially important consequences for Iran, the Ukraine war, and Turkey.
Mar 19, 2024
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Russian president Vladimir Putin
Articles & Testimony
How the Middle East Became an Arena for Putin’s Power Struggle with the US
Russia’s arms sales, military relationships, and paramilitary activity across the region remain central to expanding its local influence and boosting its anti-Western strategic interests.
Mar 9, 2024
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Flag of Tunisia
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Tunisia at the Crossroads: What Role for the United States in a Multipolar World?
The United States, in recognizing the limits of its traditional “bloc-building” approach, faces the imperative to adapt to a multipolar reality. Embracing multipolarity as a fundamental principle of its foreign policy could pave the way for more flexible and effective international engagements.
Feb 20, 2024
◆
  • Ghazi Ben Ahmed
Articles & Testimony
How Turkey Moved East
Once Washington comes to grips with Erdogan’s “Anatolian” foreign policy, it will have a better chance of steering the relationship in ways that support U.S. interests without unduly boosting Russia and other adversaries.
Feb 19, 2024
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Beijing’s Passive-Aggressive Middle East Policy
The real threat to U.S. interests in the region isn’t rising Chinese influence, but the erosion of Washington's influence.
Jan 28, 2024
◆
  • Michael Singh
Turkish president Erdogan at NATO headquarters in Brussels
Brief Analysis
The Future of U.S.-Turkish Ties: A New Relationship, Not a Reset
Despite the welcome news on Sweden, the old Turkey is not coming back, but Erdogan’s apparent shift to legacy-building mode will give Washington opportunities to leverage his influence abroad.
Jan 26, 2024
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Illustration of chess pieces and the Russian and Ukrainian flags - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The War in Ukraine Is Far From Over
If Kyiv does not receive military assistance soon, it may find itself in something worse than a stalemate—the scales would tip decisively in Russia’s favor.
Jan 12, 2024
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
With Attention on Gaza, Russia and China Continue Economic and Military Inroads in Arab States
In the last two months, China has continued its regional economic expansion, making concentrated progress with energy and development deals. Though less pervasive, Russia, too, has added to its economic portfolio in the region.
Jan 4, 2024
◆
  • Ana Estrada Hamm
  • Rebecca Redlich
  • Frances McDonough
Chinese and U.S. flags flutter at a trade meeting in Shanghai
Brief Analysis
Why China Is Taking Sides Against Israel—and Why It Will Likely Backfire
Beijing’s sharply anti-Israel response to the Gaza conflict, prompted by its increased focus on challenging Washington, exposes the limits of its diplomatic reach in the Middle East and the broader tensions in its foreign policy strategy.
Nov 29, 2023
◆
  • Michael Singh
Photo of a Russian Pantsir antiaircraft missile system.
Articles & Testimony
Putin’s Alignment in Middle East Should Signal to Israel It’s Time for a Change of Allegiance
As Russia leans into support for Israel’s enemies, officials should look for ways to show Moscow that the threat of escalation goes both ways—including through outreach to Ukraine.
Nov 27, 2023
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Algeria Morocco flags
Brief Analysis
Balancing U.S. Relations in North Africa Without Undermining the Abraham Accords
The Biden administration needs to tread carefully in engaging Algeria, since preserving UN negotiations on Western Sahara and protecting Morocco’s crucial relations with Washington and Israel are paramount to U.S. regional interests
Nov 22, 2023
◆
  • Sabina Henneberg
  • Amine Ghoulidi
Photo illustration depicting Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah and Russian president Vladimir Putin - Washington Institute illustration, original images from Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Russia’s Relationship with Hamas and Putin’s Global Calculations
There is no evidence Moscow knew about the October 7 attack, but it has provided support to Hamas and is taking advantage of the resultant blows to U.S. interests.
Nov 6, 2023
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Protesters hold Syrian and Hezbollah flags
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Reported Pantsir Delivery to Hezbollah
The antiaircraft system poses a manageable risk to Israeli operations along its northern border, but Washington must show Moscow and its associates that any benefits to such escalation are not worth the costs.
Nov 3, 2023
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Chinese and Israeli flags on a table at a diplomatic conference - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Tracking Chinese Statements on the Hamas-Israel Conflict
A regularly updated compendium of Beijing’s reactions to the Gaza war, including analysis of shifts in its traditional approach of trying to please all sides.
Nov 3, 2023
◆
  • Grant Rumley
  • Rebecca Redlich
  • Claudia Groeling
◆ Tracking International Reactions to the Hamas-Israel War
A photo illustration shows flags representing the United States and the Gulf Cooperation Council
Articles & Testimony
US-Gulf Reset in a Shifting Global Order
Although the Persian Gulf region is far from being fully self-sufficient, countries are gradually diversifying their partnerships—and doing so on their own terms.
Nov 2, 2023
◆
  • Nickolay Mladenov
  • Narayanappa Janardhan
Chinese and U.S. flags flutter at a trade meeting in Shanghai
Articles & Testimony
The United States’ Indo-Pacific Strategy
While Washington can do more diplomatically, the most glaring gap in U.S. regional engagement is economic, leaving Beijing unchallenged and American allies unsupported.
Nov 1, 2023
◆
  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Putin Is in Big Trouble in Ukraine, but Still Eyes Middle East Conflict
The Russian leader and Hamas share the goal of undermining liberal democracies, as correctly pointed out by President Biden.
Oct 23, 2023
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Russian Policy and Hamas’ Assault: Putin Benefits From Chaos
As Russian forces make another push for Ukraine’s heartland, Western officials need to recognize the connections between the Gaza crisis and Moscow’s wider strategic goals.
Oct 2023
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
An Arrow anti-missile rocket fires in a test launch in a joint exercise between U.S. and Israeli forces - source: Department of Defense
Brief Analysis
U.S. Wartime Support to Israel: First Steps and Future Considerations
The Biden administration views its defense support to Israel as sufficient at the current level of hostilities, but that may change as the war progresses and, potentially, expands.
Oct 12, 2023
◆
  • Grant Rumley

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Supported by the

Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East

The Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East focuses on the region as a setting for heightened competition between the United States and other world powers, such as China and Russia.

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Featured experts

Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Anna Borshchevskaya
Anna Borshchevskaya
Anna Borshchevskaya is the Harold Grinspoon Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute, focusing on Russia's policy toward the Middle East.
Michael Singh
Michael Singh
Michael Singh is the Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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