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Energy and Economics

Policy Analysis on Energy and Economics

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Brief Analysis
Political Instability Deepens in Tunisia
The prime minister’s resignation throws the country into political uncertainty at a time of mounting economic challenges, coronavirus fears, social unrest, and potential spillover from the Libya conflict.
Jul 17, 2020
◆
  • Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States Under Stress
As Riyadh aims to revamp the kingdom’s place in the international community, its near-term approach to Iran and Israel will have much to say about the Gulf neighborhood’s future trajectory.
Jul 15, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Another Painful Compromise on Humanitarian Assistance in Syria
Russian and Chinese vetoes have once again exposed the vulnerability of the UN system for handling the country’s humanitarian crisis, so Western donors should explore innovative alternatives for channeling assistance.
Jul 14, 2020
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  • Charles Thépaut
Articles & Testimony
Iraqi Kurdistan: Priority Issues for International Mediation
Baghdad, Erbil, and their foreign partners should focus on mending harmful intra-Kurdish rifts, forging a multiyear budget deal, and reactivating elite counterterrorism coordination, among other initiatives.
Jul 10, 2020
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  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Sudan on Edge: An Inevitable Fall or a Better Way Ahead?
Washington needs to go fast on Sudan, not slow, frontloading relief to bolster the civilian government while warning regional leaders not to use the country as another geopolitical football.
Jul 10, 2020
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  • Alberto Fernandez
Articles & Testimony
Israel’s Short-Lived ‘Victory’ Over Coronavirus
Political, social, and epidemiological missteps have left the country with limited options short of an onerous national lockdown.
Jul 7, 2020
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  • Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
The Fragile Status Quo in Northeast Syria
The mixed Kurdish-Arab zone could buckle under any number of security, health, and economic threats, especially if the United States surrenders to Russian and Turkish interests by withdrawing its remaining forces.
Jul 1, 2020
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Video
Brief Analysis
The New U.S.-Iraq Strategic Dialogue: Expert Views from Both Sides
One of Iraq’s most prominent public opinion analysts joins two American experts to assess the dialogue’s achievements and discuss what Baghdad and Washington can do to advance real reform.
Jun 18, 2020
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  • Munqith Dagher
  • Barbara A. Leaf
  • Bilal Wahab
Video
Brief Analysis
Middle East Mega-Trends, COVID-19, and Beyond: Views from France
A French diplomat and a leading scholar of Islam explore the region’s crises and their effects on Western policy, assessing what has changed since the Arab Spring.
Jun 12, 2020
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  • Gilles Kepel
  • Charles Thépaut
Brief Analysis
The Caesar Act Comes Into Force (Part 2): Pressuring Hezbollah in Lebanon
In addition to targeting Hezbollah and other local actors who support the Assad regime and harm Lebanon’s economy, the new U.S. legislation can help bolster Beirut’s sovereignty.
Jun 12, 2020
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
The Caesar Act Comes Into Force (Part 1): Increasing the Assad Regime’s Isolation
New Syria sanctions signal bipartisan support for continued diplomatic isolation and economic coercion, but their impact ultimately depends on whether the executive branch is willing to prioritize the issue.
Jun 11, 2020
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  • Dana Stroul
  • Katherine Bauer
Video
Brief Analysis
Lebanon's Bumpy Road to an IMF Deal: Implications for U.S. Policy
A former senior Lebanese official joins two experts to discuss the country's growing financial crisis and the deep institutional problems it must address in order to meet IMF reform requirements.
Jun 10, 2020
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  • Maroun Hitti
  • Jessica Obeid
  • Sami Nader Sami Nader
Articles & Testimony
You May Pay More at the Pump, as OPEC+ Cuts Oil Production
The cartel’s latest bid to increase profits will likely be counterbalanced by depressed summer demand and increased output by other producers.
Jun 8, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Bumped Crops: Iran’s Grain Imports and Geopolitical Shocks
Despite its declarations of self-sufficiency, the country still imports large amounts of agricultural staples from abroad, leaving its food basket vulnerable to supply shocks, sanctions-related payment difficulties, environmental volatility, and other risks.
Jun 8, 2020
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  • Kevjn Lim
Brief Analysis
Recent Aid Agreements Provide Opportunity to Support Women in Jordan
New USAID funds and a pending strategy for enhanced development cooperation could facilitate reforms that foster a better economic environment for women, and for the kingdom as a whole.
Jun 4, 2020
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  • Allison Jacobs Anderson
Brief Analysis
East Mediterranean Gas Running Into Commercial, Technical, and Political Challenges
Reduced demand caused by the coronavirus and low oil/gas prices has complicated plans for further development of the region’s offshore reserves.
May 27, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson
"Arab Spring" protest in 2011
Articles & Testimony
The Lessons of the Arab Springs
Local and international actors should aim to do more than just freeze regional conflicts; they should also seize the pandemic’s momentum to address preexisting political issues.
May 25, 2020
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  • Charles Thépaut
Brief Analysis
Don’t Overthink the Assad-Makhlouf Feud
The Syrian leader’s dramatic war of words with his massively wealthy cousin may seem like a major fracture inside the regime, but the dynamics of past and present family disputes paint a different picture.
May 22, 2020
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  • Oula A. Alrifai
Brief Analysis
Violence Targeting Palestinian Banks Comes at a Sensitive Time
The latest row over prisoner payments has highlighted the PA’s longstanding legitimacy deficit and its potential inability to control events on the ground if public unrest escalates this summer.
May 14, 2020
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  • Ghaith al-Omari
  • Katherine Bauer
Articles & Testimony
Has Trump Finally Lost Patience with the Saudis?
Whatever combination of factors spurred the latest withdrawal of U.S. military equipment from the kingdom, the administration is tempting fate given Iran’s ongoing challenges and shifting tactics in the Gulf.
May 8, 2020
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  • Simon Henderson

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