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All Policy Analysis by Soner Cagaptay
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Brief Analysis
The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Turkey
The ongoing influx of Syrians could tilt future elections in Erdogan and the AKP's favor, though the long-term demographic and social repercussions will be felt regardless of political outcomes.
Aug 25, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Oya Aktas
Cagatay Ozdemir
Brief Analysis
Aug 24, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Aug 16, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Kurds in Turkey: A Gloomy Future
As Turkey vies for influence in Syria and Iraq and stability across its borders with those countries, it will need to make peace with its own Kurdish community.
Aug 11, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Cem Yolbulan
Brief Analysis
Aug 10, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkish-Russian Ties after the Erdogan-Putin Breakthrough
The Russian president will likely follow up today's meeting by offering to lift sanctions, along with other incentives, but the longer-term bilateral impact on political ties, especially in Syria, will remain unknown for some time.
Aug 9, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Aug 9, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Aug 3, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
If Tensions Increase with the West, Erdogan Might Find a Friend in Putin
The post-coup fallout spells trouble for NATO, Europe, and the Turkish president's foes.
Jul 23, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Video
Brief Analysis
Inside Turkey's Failed Coup: What Happened? Why? What Next?
Two experts discuss how the coup was thwarted, what Erdogan will do next, and how the nascent purges might shift Ankara's relations with Washington.
Jul 22, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Jul 22, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jul 19, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Troubling Turn: Terrorism and Security After the Attempted Coup
Erdogan may appear victorious today, but he cannot hold onto power in the long run if the country's internal security falls prey to rampant domestic extremism.
Jul 19, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jul 19, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Troubling Forces Unleashed in Turkey
An in-depth conversation about why the coup happened and what implications it holds for Islamist mobilization in the streets, public perceptions of the military, and cooperation with the United States in Syria.
Jul 19, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Coup Attempt Is Bad News for Turkey's Democracy
Erdogan brought Turkish democracy to the brink of disaster before the coup, but the officers who attempted the takeover have pushed it into the abyss.
Jul 18, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Turkey Faces Its Iran 1979 Moment
Empowered by surviving a coup, Erdogan may be tempted to encourage an Islamist counterrevolution.
Jul 18, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jul 18, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jul 15, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Will Turkey and Russia Make Up?
On June 27th, the Kremlin announced that Turkey had apologized to Moscow for downing a Russian jet, which had violated Turkish airspace while flying over Syria in November 2015. The following day, Turkish Prime Minister Binali Yildirim said that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan had expressed his regrets to Russian President
Jul 13, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
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