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مقالهها و دیدگاهها
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تحلیل کوتاه
نگرشهای جدید در عربستان به اسراییل و یهودیان
بسیاری از گزارشهای کنونی در مورد عربستان سعودی بهدرستی بر تداوم سیاستهای سرکوبگرانه، اشتباهات اقتصادی یا رویدادهای ناگوار نظامی متمرکز است، اما برخی از تحولات فرهنگی و اجتماعی مهم که بالقوه مثبتتر هستند نیز چشمگیر بوده است.
۱۲ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
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دیوید پولاک
Articles & Testimony
The Myth of ‘Failed’ Peace
The much-maligned peace process has been a great success from America’s perspective, and if we hold fast to its founding principles, its best days are yet to come.
۱۲ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Robert Satloff
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Strength in Dialogue: A Case for the KRG Parliament
While Kurdish parliamentary elections are scheduled for September 30, the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) is facing a number of crises—political, economic, and more broad social issues. These range from inadequate services, a dysfunctional bureaucracy, political fragmentation, widespread distrust among political elites, strong regional intervention, and more. The impact of these
۱۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Sardar Aziz
In-Depth Reports
Egypt's New Realism: Challenges Under Sisi
When Abdul Fattah al-Sisi became president in 2014, Egyptians were clamoring for stability after the chaos of the post–Arab Spring years and the failed leadership of the Muslim Brotherhood government. Emblematic of this stability, Sisi was at one point so highly regarded that his face adorned chocolate bars. Although he
۱۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Barak Barfi
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Missile Attack in Iraqi Kurdistan Could Backfire
The IRGC has fired a literal shot across the KRG’s bow, but the brazen violation of Baghdad’s sovereignty may ultimately benefit Tehran’s opponents.
۱۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Bilal Wahab
تحلیل کوتاه
هدف احتمالی عمليات ادلب در مرحله اول: شورشیان تحت حمايت ترکیه
اگر اسد و متحداناش راهبرد قبلیشان را ادامه دهند، حمله اولیه به ادلب ممکن است محدود باشد، هرچند باز هم باعث سرازیر شدن سیل عظیمی از پناهندگان خواهد شد و منجر به شکافی جدی میان ترکیه و روسیه میشود.
۱۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
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فابريس بالانش
Articles & Testimony
The Houthi War Machine: From Guerrilla War to State Capture
The Houthis are more than capable of becoming a ‘southern Hezbollah’ on the Red Sea, a threat that continues to drive the Gulf coalition’s coastal campaign.
۱۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
On Syria, the U.S. Can Drive a Hard Bargain with Russia
Putin gives nothing away without a price. To protect America’s interests, neither should Trump.
۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Military Propaganda: Failures and Successes
While propaganda plays a major role in forming local and international public opinion, it may also be deployed as a tool of “soft deterrence,” designed to tilt the calculations and military strategies of other countries in another country’s favor. Iran’s financial investment in its media presence, with dozens of satellite
۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Firas Elias
Brief Analysis
Israeli Gas Is Almost Ashore, But Challenges Remain
Environmental concerns, uncertainty over export routes, and future security risks overshadow the latest progress in bringing the Leviathan field online.
۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Ayatollah Khamenei: Shifting from Velayat-e Faqih to Military Control
Almost forty years after its inception, the project of the Islamic Republic has failed. Ayatollah Khamenei has in essence admitted that an Islamic state is not complete in Iran. Nor is Iranian society unequivocally Islamic in the manner that the revolution intended: rather the Iranian government merely follows and applies
۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Frzand Sherko
Articles & Testimony
Survey of Terrorist Groups and Their Means of Financing
A former Treasury official discusses how governments, banks, and other entities need to adapt constantly just to keep up with the evolving financial tactics used by terrorists and their supporters.
۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
UNRWA Funding Cutoff: What Next?
Despite the attendant risks and public outcry, Washington’s decision to halt all aid to the agency could spur some reform without drastically affecting its core humanitarian services.
۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
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James G. Lindsay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sanctions May Lead to Regime Change in Iran, but What Then?
The continually escalating war of words between Iran and the United States suggests that the Middle East will have much at stake in the coming months as sanctions take effect. The U.S. administration has made repeated assertions that “regime change” and “military action” against Iran are not on the agenda
۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Abdelillah Bendaoudi
Brief Analysis
IRGC Navy Leadership Change May Not Signal Imminent Behavior Change
Despite the appointment of a radical anti-American commander, Iran’s naval forces are unlikely to resume frequent provocations without a strategic shift at the very top of the regime.
۵ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Afghanistan Central to Pompeo’s Meeting with Pakistani PM
President Trump is likely expecting some progress to emerge from this week’s diplomacy, but ongoing concerns with Islamabad’s stances on terrorism, Iran, and other issues mean he shouldn’t hold his breath.
۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The al-Qaeda of Today Has Changed Since 9/11 and the U.S Must Adapt
Washington needs to do a better job of defeating the group's local political strategy and fighting the war holistically.
۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Daniel Green
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah’s Criminal and Terrorist Operations in Europe
As authorities consider correcting a past mistake and designating the group in its entirety, long-held assumptions about its European activities must be put to rest.
۲ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
The Rise of the Cyber-Mercenaries
What happens when private Middle Eastern firms have cyberweapons as powerful as those owned by governments?
۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Neri Zilber
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Contextualizing Jihad and Takfir in the Shi’a Conceptual Framework
The nuances of jurisprudential difference between Sunni and Shi’a concepts of jihad have been more or less shaped by the history of the Shi’a community and by the approach of the Shi’a religious scholars to politics. Though the Shi’a concept of jihad has not infrequently aligned with that of Sunnism
۳۱ اوت ۲۰۱۸
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Robert Rabil
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