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کشورهای حاشیه‌خلیج فارس

Policy Analysis on کشورهای حاشیه‌خلیج فارس

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Articles & Testimony
The Arab Spring Then and Now, Through the Prism of Public Opinion
A “survey of surveys” shows that from an intelligence and policy point of view, Arab public opinion is measurable and meaningful—assuming regional governments and Washington are paying proper attention to it.
Winter 2021
◆
  • David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Oman’s Sultan Caps First Year by Appointing Heir and New Military Leadership
Sultan Haitham’s latest decrees elevated his son to heir, sacked commanders, and spotlighted his brother’s influence, but the government’s main focus is still squarely on economic reform.
۲۸ ژانویه ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Elana DeLozier
Vice President Joe Biden arrives in Saudi Arabia
Articles & Testimony
Will the Biden Team Tighten or Unravel US-Saudi Ties?
Explosions in Riyadh, uncertainty about the Iran nuclear deal, and a potentially damaging CIA report about Jamal Khashoggi’s murder are among the many factors that could alter the new administration’s calculus.
۲۷ ژانویه ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Map of Israeli bilateral relationships with Arab states
In-Depth Reports
Building Bridges for Peace:
U.S. Policy Toward Arab States, Palestinians, and Israel
The Biden administration can succeed by strengthening and expanding Israeli normalization with Arab states and pursuing gradualism on the Palestinian issue.
۲۶ ژانویه ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • David Makovsky
◆ Transition 2021
Brief Analysis
Humanitarian Aid and the Biden Administration: Lessons from Yemen and Syria
Veteran NGO practitioners with deep experience in the aid sector discuss how Washington can help fix flawed approaches to assisting civilians in these two conflict zones.
۲۵ ژانویه ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Jan Egeland
  • Alex Harper
  • Emma Beals
  • Jomana Qaddour
  • Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
What Did the Confirmation Hearings Reveal About Biden’s Middle East Policy?
Antony Blinken, Avril Haines, and Lloyd Austin responded at length to congressional questions about the Iran nuclear deal, the Yemen war, Arab-Israel normalization, and other pressing regional issues.
۲۲ ژانویه ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Ilari Papa
تحلیل کوتاه
تحرک زیردریایی‌ها در مرز ایران: پیامدهای نظامی و حقوقی
اعزام غیرعادی نیروهای دریایی آمریکا و اسرائیل ممکن است با نیت بازدارندگی علیه حملات ایران در خلیج فارس باشد، اما تحرکات هر دو ممکن است از سوی تهران سوءتعبیر شود.
۲۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • فرزین ندیمی
Concept art of the Saudi NEOM project
Articles & Testimony
Is the Saudi “City of the Future” Overly Ambitious?
Major distractions from abroad have not changed the fact that NEOM remains central to the crown prince’s vision for transforming the kingdom, despite its steep political and financial challenges.
۱۵ ژانویه ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Simon Henderson
تحلیل کوتاه
فشار واشنگتن برای پایان بخشیدن به انشقاق قطر
دیپلماسی موفق می‌تواند موجب تقویت عادی‌سازی روابط میان اعراب و اسرائیل و توسعه تلاش‌های ایالات متحده برای مقابله با ایران شود، اما مشخص نیست که آیا ریاض می‌خواهد همین حالا به چانه‌زنی مشغول شود یا منتظر دوره جو بایدن خواهد بود.
۱۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • سایمون هندرسون
Vice President Joseph R. Biden
Articles & Testimony
Biden Should Build on the Abraham Accords, Not Roll Them Back
Party leaders are providing constructive input, but the administration should stop short of any measures that risk sabotaging this moment of historic progress in Arab-Israel relations.
۱۴ ژانویه ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Jay Solomon
Brief Analysis
Egypt Endorses Gulf Reconciliation But Remains Skeptical
Although officials are playing along in order to maintain good ties with Saudi Arabia, they seem convinced that Qatar will exploit the new agreement in ways that harm Cairo's political and security interests at home.
۱۴ ژانویه ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Haisam Hassanein
Brief Analysis
UAVs and the Abraham Accords: New Horizons for Sinai Peacekeeping
Replacing manned monitoring missions with drone sorties and inviting Gulf countries to participate would help improve security, reduce America’s burden and risk, decrease costs, and bolster the regional peace architecture.
۱۳ ژانویه ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Assaf Orion
Former UK prime minister Tony Blair
Video
Brief Analysis
America, the Middle East, and the World: A Conversation with Tony Blair
The former Prime Minister discusses the challenges and opportunities facing the Biden administration twenty years after 9/11 and a decade after the Arab Spring.
January 11, 2021
◆
  • Tony Blair
Brief Analysis
Enough Theory, European Strategic Autonomy Needs Practice in the Middle East
Libya, Iraq, and the Strait of Hormuz provide three test cases where greater assertiveness and transatlantic cooperation could go hand in hand, but only if European countries receive genuine U.S. support to step up their operational efforts and diplomatic engagement.
۶ ژانویه ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Pierre Morcos
Articles & Testimony
The End of the Gulf Crisis Is Big News—But Middle East Sands Always Shift
The rift’s closure, while quite welcome, won’t produce instant Gulf unity or make the Iran nuclear issue any easier to solve.
۵ ژانویه ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Jordan Must Be Included in Future Israeli-Arab Normalization Deals
One of the most reliable strategic allies in the region has been taken for granted, so the Biden administration will need to steer more diplomatic attention and economic support Amman’s way.
۳ ژانویه ۲۰۲۱
◆
  • Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Sentencing of Women’s Activist Sets Up Riyadh for a Clash with Biden
The topic of human rights has become a red line for Saudi leaders, who seem to perceive it as a purely domestic matter on which they will not countenance any foreign pressure.
۲۸ دسامبر ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Simon Henderson
A government solcier in Yemen
Articles & Testimony
Yemen Policy From the Inside Out
The conflict continues because none of the local parties is strong enough to win, weak enough to lose, or incentivized toward peace, but the Biden administration can do something about the latter problem.
۱۵ دسامبر ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Elana DeLozier
Articles & Testimony
To Secure an Iran Nuclear Deal, Include the Mideast’s Powers
For two decades and running, diplomatic efforts have noticeably omitted the regional states most directly in the line of Tehran’s fire, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE.
۱۵ دسامبر ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Jay Solomon
Brief Analysis
Al-Qaeda’s External Operations One Year After the Pensacola Attack
Drone campaigns have greatly culled the group’s leadership, but leaders are replaceable, and the guided-attack model seen in Pensacola could be a significant force multiplier for any locally rooted affiliates who seek to strike abroad in the coming years.
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۰
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Aaron Y. Zelin

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