خلیج و سیاست حوزه انرژی

Policy Analysis on خلیج و سیاست حوزه انرژی

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دیپلماسی موفق می‌تواند موجب تقویت عادی‌سازی روابط میان اعراب و اسرائیل و توسعه تلاش‌های ایالات متحده برای مقابله با ایران شود، اما مشخص نیست که آیا ریاض می‌خواهد همین حالا به چانه‌زنی مشغول شود یا منتظر دوره جو بایدن خواهد بود.

۱۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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سایمون هندرسون

Brief Analysis

Egypt Endorses Gulf Reconciliation But Remains Skeptical

Although officials are playing along in order to maintain good ties with Saudi Arabia, they seem convinced that Qatar will exploit the new agreement in ways that harm Cairo's political and security interests at home.

۱۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Haisam Hassanein

Brief Analysis

UAVs and the Abraham Accords: New Horizons for Sinai Peacekeeping

Replacing manned monitoring missions with drone sorties and inviting Gulf countries to participate would help improve security, reduce America’s burden and risk, decrease costs, and bolster the regional peace architecture.

۱۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Assaf Orion

Brief Analysis

Enough Theory, European Strategic Autonomy Needs Practice in the Middle East

Libya, Iraq, and the Strait of Hormuz provide three test cases where greater assertiveness and transatlantic cooperation could go hand in hand, but only if European countries receive genuine U.S. support to step up their operational efforts and diplomatic engagement.

۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Pierre Morcos

Articles & Testimony

The End of the Gulf Crisis Is Big News—But Middle East Sands Always Shift

The rift’s closure, while quite welcome, won’t produce instant Gulf unity or make the Iran nuclear issue any easier to solve.

۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

Jordan Must Be Included in Future Israeli-Arab Normalization Deals

One of the most reliable strategic allies in the region has been taken for granted, so the Biden administration will need to steer more diplomatic attention and economic support Amman’s way.

۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Ben Fishman

Articles & Testimony

Saudi Sentencing of Women’s Activist Sets Up Riyadh for a Clash with Biden

The topic of human rights has become a red line for Saudi leaders, who seem to perceive it as a purely domestic matter on which they will not countenance any foreign pressure.

۲۸ دسامبر ۲۰۲۰

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

Yemen Policy From the Inside Out

The conflict continues because none of the local parties is strong enough to win, weak enough to lose, or incentivized toward peace, but the Biden administration can do something about the latter problem.

۱۵ دسامبر ۲۰۲۰

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Elana DeLozier

Articles & Testimony

To Secure an Iran Nuclear Deal, Include the Mideast’s Powers

For two decades and running, diplomatic efforts have noticeably omitted the regional states most directly in the line of Tehran’s fire, including Israel, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE.

۱۵ دسامبر ۲۰۲۰

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Jay Solomon

Articles & Testimony

Is OPEC Finally Beginning to Unravel?

Drastically lowered revenues, changing energy markets, political squabbling, and a new U.S. administration may eventually break the cartel’s cyclical status quo.

۴ دسامبر ۲۰۲۰

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

Forecasting U.S.-UAE Relations Under the New Biden Administration

From addressing Iranian threats to mending rifts with Qatar and Turkey, the sound bilateral partnership on regional issues will likely thrive in the Biden era, albeit with some marginal adjustments by both governments.

۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۰

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David Pollock

Brief Analysis

Houthi Terrorism Designation More Likely to Deliver Famine and Entanglement Than Leverage

To stave off a potential humanitarian disaster in Yemen, keep communication lines open, and avoid getting drawn into the war, the Trump administration should not designate the Houthis.

۲۵ نوامبر ۲۰۲۰

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Elana DeLozier

Articles & Testimony

Saudi-Israeli Diplomacy Progresses Amid Looming Middle East Challenges

The reported meeting between the crown prince and Netanyahu will likely shift normalization into the fast lane, but much can happen to slow, stop, or even reverse it.

۲۴ نوامبر ۲۰۲۰

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Simon Henderson

تحلیل کوتاه

عربستان سعودی زیر ذره‌بین اجلاس گروه ۲۰

نشست مجازی گروه ۲۰ در ریاض برای کسب آگاهی از سیاست‌های دربار سعودی در داخل و وضعیت آن در خارج به‌دقت دنبال می‌شود.

۲۰ نوامبر ۲۰۲۰

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سایمون هندرسون

Articles & Testimony

As Israel, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates Normalize Ties, China Looks on Warily

The growing Arab-Israeli rapprochement may be good for the Middle East, but it poses problems for Beijing’s strategy in the region.

۱۳ اکتبر ۲۰۲۰

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Michael Singh

Video

تحلیل کوتاه

اعراب برای صلح خطر می‌کنند: روایاتی از خط مقدم تماس‌های مردمی با اسرائیلی‌ها

فعالان مدنی شجاع کشورهای عرب درباره موانع بزرگی صحبت می‌کنند که در مسیر ارتباط با اسرائیلی‌ها و حمایت از عادی‌سازی گسترده‌تر اجتماعی و قانونی با آن روبه‌رو هستند.

۸ اکتبر ۲۰۲۰

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اسماعیل سید احمد
سکینه مشیخص
عهدیه احمد السید
محمد الحمادی
جوزف براودی

Video

تحلیل کوتاه

سورپریز اکتبر با ایران؟ محاسبات و پیامدهای سیاست‌گذاری

سه کارشناس سیاست و استراتژی ایران، احتمالات مربوط به تحولی چشمگیر میان دو دشمن را در آخرین روزهای پیش از انتخابات ایالات متحده ارزیابی می‌کنند.

۸ اکتبر ۲۰۲۰

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مهدی خلجی
آرین طباطبایی
مایکل آیزنستات

Brief Analysis

Caucasus Clash Could Endanger Israeli Oil Imports

Israel’s normalization agreement with the United Arab Emirates may enable Gulf oil to make up for any break in Azerbaijani supplies, though this option could harm its ties with Baku and Turkey.

۶ اکتبر ۲۰۲۰

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Kuwait’s Precarious Mediation Role May Be Imperiled by the Emir’s Passing

The country’s six decades as regional intermediary have been undercut in recent years by younger Gulf leaders less inclined to traditional methods of conflict resolution, and Sheikh Sabah’s death may put this role at further risk.

۵ اکتبر ۲۰۲۰

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Elana DeLozier

Brief Analysis

Emir’s Death Leaves Kuwait Vulnerable to Gulf Rivals

From family competition and parliamentary rumblings to potential friction with various neighbors, the oil-rich U.S. ally may face a challenging transition.

۲۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۰

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Simon Henderson
Elana DeLozier

Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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