خلیج و سیاست حوزه انرژی

Policy Analysis on خلیج و سیاست حوزه انرژی

Will the OPEC Agreement Work and, If So, How Long Will It Last?

The market appears to doubt that the deal will suffice, and royal family dynamics could push the oil crisis into further rounds.

۱۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۰

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

The Coronavirus Pandemic Could Be the Key to Peace in Yemen

After years of failed attempts at talks and ceasefires, COVID-19 may be enough to push the Saudis, Houthis, and Yemeni government to the negotiating table.

۹ آوریل ۲۰۲۰

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Elana DeLozier

Brief Analysis

Houthis Release Their Wish List for Ending the Yemen War

Reflecting just how emboldened the Houthis have become, their latest ceasefire document advocates maximalist positions on core issues while demanding that other actors foot the bill for reconstruction, reparations, economic recovery, and virus containment.

۹ آوریل ۲۰۲۰

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Elana DeLozier

Articles & Testimony

Trump Considers a Cameo Role in Saudi-Russia Oil Price Drama

The president’s latest statements on OPEC and the possibility of U.S. tariffs are ambiguous, but they suggest his growing exasperation with Moscow and Riyadh.

۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۰

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

The Saudi-Russia Oil Fight Is the Last Thing the Economy Needs in a Pandemic

Both governments have gone “crazy” in the fast-moving price war, but the White House is apparently divided on who to blame and how much to get involved.

۱ آوریل ۲۰۲۰

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

Love Thy Neighbor: Saudi Arabia Needs Regional Help to End the War

After five years of fighting in Yemen, Riyadh has been left to deal with the conflict largely on its own, but the Gulf states will need to band together again if they hope to facilitate another transition of the sort seen in 2011.

۳۱ مارس ۲۰۲۰

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Elana DeLozier

Articles & Testimony

U.S. Policy in the Middle East Amid Great Power Competition

Viewing regional issues through this broader strategic lens will require Washington to accept painful trade-offs and take a tougher stance with difficult allies.

۳۰ مارس ۲۰۲۰

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Michael Singh

Articles & Testimony

The U.S. Should Have Led the Coronavirus Response. Instead, China Stepped Up.

Starting with the virtual G-20 leaders summit, the Trump administration can retake the lead by proposing working groups on a number of measures needed to stop the pandemic.

۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۰

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Dennis Ross

Brief Analysis

Don’t Count Out U.S. Oil Production as a Market-Shaper

Total U.S. production from all sources will remain the world’s largest no matter how low prices go, leaving Washington (and Texas) with considerable room to help domestic companies and press Riyadh and Moscow on stabilizing prices.

۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۰

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Patrick Clawson

Articles & Testimony

In the Saudi-Russian Oil Price War, the U.S. Blinks First

This is President Trump’s dilemma: how to safeguard America’s shale-based energy independence without making apparent concessions to Moscow.

۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۰

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Implications of the Saudi Corruption Arrests

The latest crackdown appears to have targeted senior defense and interior officials, spurring speculation that they are linked to previously detained princes rumored to be plotting a coup.

۱۶ مارس ۲۰۲۰

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

Russia and Saudis in a Knife Fight Over Oil—But We May Be the Victims

The duration and effects of the showdown may come down to price fluctuations and budgetary requirements in Moscow and Riyadh, but the U.S. shale industry will likely suffer either way.

۱۰ مارس ۲۰۲۰

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Making Sense of the Saudi Rumors: A Guide to Royal Family Politics

Reports of royal arrests, a possible coup plot, and a brewing oil price war suggest that the kingdom is facing another period of considerable political tension.

۹ مارس ۲۰۲۰

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Escalating Houthi Offensives in Yemen: U.S. Options

To keep recent rebel victories from cascading into a wider military collapse, Washington must urge the Gulf coalition to firm up the government’s forces and move more quickly on peace talks.

۶ مارس ۲۰۲۰

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Alex Almeida
Michael Knights

تحلیل کوتاه

گزارش آژانس بین‌المللی انرژی اتمی؛ تجدید پرسش‌ها دربارهٔ بلند‌پروازی‌های هسته‌ای ایران

پس از آن‌که آژانس بین‌المللی انرژی اتمی، ایران را به عدم همکاری متهم کرد، مقامات آمریکایی دلایل فراوانی برای تشدید فشار دیپلماتیک بر ایران دارند، اما این کار باید با تمرکز بر پرسش‌های مناسب صورت گیرد.

۴ مارس ۲۰۲۰

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سایمون هندرسون

Brief Analysis

Sacked Saudi Energy Minister Returns to Cabinet

Khalid al-Falih’s appointment to a new investment role suggests that the kingdom’s Vision 2030 economic transformation project needs to be reinvigorated.

۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

The Middle East’s Future of Perpetual Pandemics

If outbreaks like the coronavirus shift from ‘black swan’ events to regular occurrences, globalization trends in the region may reverse, with sobering consequences.

۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰

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Michael Knights

Brief Analysis

Challenges Await Oman’s New Sultan as Mourning Period Ends

Sultan Haitham will now be free to put his own stamp on the country's government and foreign policy, and a recent dust-up on the Yemeni border could provide the first indicator of his approach.

۲۰ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰

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Elana DeLozier

U.S. soldiers at an Iraqi base after a rocket attack by Iran-backed militias

Video

تحلیل کوتاه

استراتژی آمریکا در قبال ایران: اعاده بازدارندگی، توانمند‌سازی دیپلماسی

سه کارشناس در این باره بحث می‌کنند که واشنگتن چگونه می‌تواند ضمن تداوم استفاده از ابزارهای نظامی برای اعمال فشار، افزایش تنش را مدیریت کند و دیپلماسی را به ‌کار اندازد.

۱۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰

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مایکل آیزنستات
توری اسچاگ
دیوید دپتولا

Brief Analysis

Death of AQAP Leader Shows the Group’s Fragmentation—and Durability

Although the Yemeni terrorist franchise has splintered and weakened in recent years, its fragments may be adapting to new conflict conditions, raising the risk of a comeback.

۱۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰

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Elisabeth Kendall

Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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