خلیج و سیاست حوزه انرژی

Policy Analysis on خلیج و سیاست حوزه انرژی

Resolving the PA Funding Crisis, But Not in Bahrain

Rather than pinning false hopes on the Manama conference, the international community should focus on reforming the Paris Protocol and convincing the Palestinians to resume revenue transfers from Israel.

۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Katherine Bauer

Brief Analysis

Bahrain’s Hopes and Fears for the Peace Conference

Although the island may reap diplomatic kudos and economic benefits for hosting such a high-profile event, the potential reactions of domestic sectarian communities and nearby Iran remain a concern.

۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

The Dilemma of an Imperfect Ally

There are no optimal options in the current Yemen war, but U.S. policymakers should seize the opportunity to bring Gulf governments into NATO-like agreements that avoid such dilemmas in the future.

۲۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Elana DeLozier

Articles & Testimony

Trump Is a Belligerent Isolationist. But on Iran, He Needs Allies.

If the president wants to blunt Tehran’s sabotage campaign without a war, he needs to work closely with countries that share a stake in the free flow of oil.

۱۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Dennis Ross

Articles & Testimony

Iran Is Winning, but U.S. Has Options, in Gulf Crisis

Among other steps, Washington should release more intelligence on Tehran’s efforts to target energy assets while urging Gulf and European allies to visibly step up their military posture.

۱۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Simon Henderson

تحلیل کوتاه

سیاست خاورمیانه‌ای چین: نرم حرف بزن و پول حسابی نشان بده

یک تحلیل‌گر اسرائیلی مشاهدات خود را از گفت‌وگوهای فشرده با مقامات ارشد نظامی، دیپلماتیک، و آکادمیک چین در این مطلب به اشتراک گذاشته است.

۱۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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ایهود یاری

Brief Analysis

Iran Seems Prepared for Major—But Measured—Escalation in the Gulf

The latest round of shipping attacks could be another notch in Tehran’s controlled military response to U.S. pressure, and bolder escalatory actions should be expected given the bleak outlook for negotiations.

۱۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Farzin Nadimi

Brief Analysis

Houthi Messaging May Hint at a Targeting Pattern

The Yemeni group appears to select targets directly inspired by its principal complaints, potentially helping security officials protect against future attacks while negotiators promote overall de-escalation.

۱۳ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Elana DeLozier

Brief Analysis

East Mediterranean Energy and Middle East Peace

The slow but steady progress in developing offshore gas fields is transforming local economies and could underpin U.S. peace plans.

۱۳ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

Oil Prices Up on Tanker Attacks, But Long-Term Trend Looks Down

Ultimately, sabotage operations in the Gulf may prove to be less impactful than Russian engagement with OPEC, a global economic slowdown, and other geopolitical factors.

۱۳ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

The Face-Off Over Gulf Arms Sales: ‘Emergency’ or False Alarm?

As Congress questions whether certain arms sales merit emergency treatment, the White House may have opened a Pandora’s box of long-term consequences for legislative oversight, Gulf relations, and defense profits.

۱۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Dana Stroul

Brief Analysis

Israel’s Election Redo: Implications for the Trump Peace Plan

The U.S. and Israeli electoral calendars will likely impede any grand peace plan for the foreseeable future, so the administration should instead focus on immediate stabilization measures leading up to and during the Bahrain economic conference.

۳۱ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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David Makovsky

Turkish president Erdogan - Source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

Erdogan’s Failure on the Nile

How Turkey’s president went from being a regional Islamist leader in the Arab Spring to sharing Qatar’s role as the Middle East’s odd man out.

۲۸ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Soner Cagaptay

Articles & Testimony

Iran's Aggressions the Focus of 'Emergency' Arab Summit

Despite the challenges that usually accompany these high-level talks, Gulf countries seem keener than ever to counter the threat across the Persian Gulf.

۲۱ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Simon Henderson

تحلیل کوتاه

شایعه‌های جنگ: پاسخ به رفتار نامطلوب ایران در خلیج فارس

واشنگتن باید تنش‌ها را کاهش دهد، خطوط تماس را باز نگه دارد، و بازدارندگی را احیا کند، گرچه مدیریت تضاد میان این اهداف، چالش‌برانگیز خواهد بود.

۱۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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مایکل آیزنستات
فرزین ندیمی

تحلیل کوتاه

نفت سعودی، آماج آتش ايران

حمله به نفت‌کش‌های نزدیک تنگه هرمز و خط لوله‌ اصلی نفت عربستان سعودی در داخل این کشور، به بحران نوظهور خلیج شتاب داده است و می‌تواند باعث افزایش جهانی قیمت‌‌ها شود.

۱۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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سایمون هندرسون

تحلیل کوتاه

اگر موشک‌های ایران در عراق مستقر شود؛ گزینه‌های احتمالی آمریکا و اسرائیل

اگر ایران فرمول خود در لبنان، سوریه و یمن را تکرار کند و به عراق هم موشک‌های دوربُرد منتقل کند، درگیری‌های آینده با اسرائیل احتمالا شامل اقدام نظامی در خاک عراق هم خواهد بود.

۱۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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مایکل نایتز
عساف اوریون

Articles & Testimony

Saudi Prince's Scorecard on New 'Vision' Looks Good—With Caveats

Change is certainly happening in the kingdom, but it hasn’t been smooth, and doesn’t look like it will be so in the future either.

۱۲ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

U.S.-Iran, Israel-Gaza Turn Mideast into a Danger Zone Again

American ships and bombers are arriving in the Gulf at a time when nerves are raw and various players are making risky escalation wagers.

۶ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

A Real Plan to End the War in Yemen

If the battle lines stay where they are now, with the capital and largest port still out of government control, then the Iranian-backed Houthis will effectively have won the war.

۲ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Michael Knights
Kenneth Pollack
Barbara Walter

Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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