دمکراسی و اصلاح

Policy Analysis on دمکراسی و اصلاح

March 3, 2016 Could one of Iraq’s most notorious political parties make a comeback after thirteen years in exile? This may increasingly become a central question for Middle East analysts, as Ba’athists are claiming their sociopolitical platform of supporting pan-Arab causes defused sectarianism and united Iraqis around nationalistic themes. They

۳ مارس ۲۰۱۶

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Dani Tahrawi

Multimedia

Brief Analysis

Internet Security and Privacy in the Age of the Islamic State

The View from Facebook

Facebook's head of global policy management, a former federal prosecutor and legal advisor to the State Department, shares her insights into the evolving threats to personal privacy and security and the private sector's role in defending against them.

۲ مارس ۲۰۱۶

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Monika Bickert

◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series

In-Depth Reports

Russia in the Middle East

Motives, Consequences, Prospects

Since becoming president in 2000, Vladimir Putin has reinvigorated Russia's Middle East ties, a trend underscored by his bold military intervention in the Syria crisis. Through these and other regional moves, he has sought to gain ground at the West's expense while bolstering the Kremlin's legitimacy against domestic pressures --

۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Anna Borshchevskaya

Brief Analysis

Iran's Melting Factions and Failing Institutions

Given the absence of sharp ideological differences and the growing irrelevance of old political categories, those who win office this week may have little actual influence on important issues such as succession, economics, or the next presidential election.

۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Mehdi Khalaji

Articles & Testimony

Iran's Political Landscape -- and What Is Unlikely to Change with Friday's Elections

As in past votes, the candidates have been closely screened, the outcome is expected to uphold the legislature's largely conservative makeup, and the victors will remain largely dependent on military institutions.

۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Mehdi Khalaji

Articles & Testimony

The Great Unraveling

As tumultuous as the region's recent struggles have been, they have also exposed opportunities to establish a more multilateral Middle Eastern security architecture via renewed U.S. leadership.

۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Michael Singh

Articles & Testimony

Promoting Strong and Inclusive Institutions in the Middle East

The main lesson imparted by the Arab Spring at the five year mark is that toppling dictators does not clear a straight path to democracy. Without establishing strong and inclusive institutions to make democratization sustainable following regime change, civil wars have broken out in Syria, Iraq, Libya, and Yemen, while

۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Maurizio Geri

Brief Analysis

Iran's Election Procedures

An in-depth look at the unique and often-controversial procedures that will govern Iran's latest elections.

۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Patrick Schmidt

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Ceasefire and Elections in Syria: Putin Still a Step Ahead

If Moscow and Damascus have their way, the latest ceasefire will further divide the rebels, isolate Turkey, and facilitate their ongoing military and political strategy for preserving Assad's rule.

۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Fabrice Balanche

Articles & Testimony

Salafi Politics During the Arab Uprisings: Methodological Insights from Game Theory

Understanding how Salafi leaders balance ideological robustness and personal risk as they are validated or threatened by local circumstances might be a good place to start in assessing their future approach to political engagement.

۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Jacob Olidort

Brief Analysis

The State(s) of Ideology in the Middle East: Introduction

Western policy must be precise and consistent in its use of terms, objectives, and methods in order to account for differing local perceptions.

۱۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Jacob Olidort

TWI Series on State(s) of Ideology

Explore the roles of Salafism, jihadism, nationalism, and other movements as drivers of conflict and alliance post-Arab Spring.

۱۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Jacob Olidort
Soner Cagaptay
David Pollock
Said Amir Arjomand

Brief Analysis

The Worst of the Syrian Refugee Crisis Is Coming for Europe

The Assad regime's Russian-aided military campaign and the onset of spring augur another mass refugee flow into the EU, and the only surefire way to stop it is by addressing the root of the crisis inside Syria.

۱۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Fabrice Balanche

Articles & Testimony

Five Years After Mubarak's Fall, Lessons for Washington

By allowing events 6,000 miles away to outpace its decisionmaking, the Obama administration put itself in a lose-lose situation, which is why Egyptian and regional players regard U.S. policy during the uprising as a failure.

۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Eric Trager

Articles & Testimony

Is ISIS Good at Governing?

The establishment of jihadi governance projects is becoming the new normal as ISIS and al-Qaida learn from past mistakes, but the long-term sustainability of these efforts remains unclear.

۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Aaron Y. Zelin

In-Depth Reports

Bahrain’s Stalled Reforms and the Future U.S. Role

With tensions peaking between Iran and the conservative Arab states, the current calm in the island kingdom of Bahrain may prove only temporary. A longtime U.S. ally that hosts the Navy's Fifth Fleet headquarters, Bahrain plays a crucial role in ensuring regional security. Yet reforms of its political system have

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Simon Henderson

تحلیل کوتاه

انتخاب رهبر آینده ایران

اعضای مجلس خبرگان این ماه انتخاب می‌شوند. ممکن است وظیفه آنها به طور رسمی انتصاب جانشینی برای خامنه‌ای سالخورده باشد، اما تصمیم واقعی به احتمال زیاد از سوی مراکز قدرت دیگری گرفته می‌شود که می‌تواند منجر به تحت کنترل گرفتن رهبر جدید شود

۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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مهدی خلجی

Brief Analysis

Lining Up the Tools to Break the Islamic State Brand

Reversing the political, military, and ideological factors that led to the movement's rise will require substantive projects that are as self-sustaining and nimble as IS has proven to be.

۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Alberto Fernandez

Articles & Testimony

In the Regional Power Struggle, has Erbil Decided to Join the Sunni Bloc?

The security of the Kurdistan Region-Iraq (KRI) depends more on agreements between Erbil and Kurdistan’s neighbors than the KRI’s own security and intelligence capabilities. Whenever the regional powers surrounding the KRI have suspected that their interests are at risk, they have not hesitated to put the KRI’s security and stability

۲۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Frzand Sherko

Articles & Testimony

The Case for Turkey’s EU Membership

Turkey is poised to become the most pivotal country of the Middle East. Turkey’s position as the geographical, historical, religious and cultural bridge between Europe and Asia leaves it uniquely situated in the region. It is also a close regional ally of Israel and the major Arab powers of Saudi

۲۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Maurizio Geri

Supported by the

Project Fikra: Defeating Extremism through the Power of Ideas

Fikra n. [Arabic] "Idea"

The Washington Institute's Project Fikra is a multiyear program of research, publication, and network-building designed to generate policy ideas for promoting positive change and countering the spread of extremism in the Middle East.

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