دمکراسی و اصلاح

Policy Analysis on دمکراسی و اصلاح

Brief Analysis

Iran's Election Procedures

An in-depth look at the unique and often-controversial procedures that will govern Iran's latest elections.

۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Patrick Schmidt

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Ceasefire and Elections in Syria: Putin Still a Step Ahead

If Moscow and Damascus have their way, the latest ceasefire will further divide the rebels, isolate Turkey, and facilitate their ongoing military and political strategy for preserving Assad's rule.

۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Fabrice Balanche

Articles & Testimony

Salafi Politics During the Arab Uprisings: Methodological Insights from Game Theory

Understanding how Salafi leaders balance ideological robustness and personal risk as they are validated or threatened by local circumstances might be a good place to start in assessing their future approach to political engagement.

۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Jacob Olidort

Brief Analysis

The State(s) of Ideology in the Middle East: Introduction

Western policy must be precise and consistent in its use of terms, objectives, and methods in order to account for differing local perceptions.

۱۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Jacob Olidort

TWI Series on State(s) of Ideology

Explore the roles of Salafism, jihadism, nationalism, and other movements as drivers of conflict and alliance post-Arab Spring.

۱۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Jacob Olidort
Soner Cagaptay
David Pollock
Said Amir Arjomand

Brief Analysis

The Worst of the Syrian Refugee Crisis Is Coming for Europe

The Assad regime's Russian-aided military campaign and the onset of spring augur another mass refugee flow into the EU, and the only surefire way to stop it is by addressing the root of the crisis inside Syria.

۱۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Fabrice Balanche

Articles & Testimony

Five Years After Mubarak's Fall, Lessons for Washington

By allowing events 6,000 miles away to outpace its decisionmaking, the Obama administration put itself in a lose-lose situation, which is why Egyptian and regional players regard U.S. policy during the uprising as a failure.

۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Eric Trager

Articles & Testimony

Is ISIS Good at Governing?

The establishment of jihadi governance projects is becoming the new normal as ISIS and al-Qaida learn from past mistakes, but the long-term sustainability of these efforts remains unclear.

۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Aaron Y. Zelin

In-Depth Reports

Bahrain’s Stalled Reforms and the Future U.S. Role

With tensions peaking between Iran and the conservative Arab states, the current calm in the island kingdom of Bahrain may prove only temporary. A longtime U.S. ally that hosts the Navy's Fifth Fleet headquarters, Bahrain plays a crucial role in ensuring regional security. Yet reforms of its political system have

۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Simon Henderson

تحلیل کوتاه

انتخاب رهبر آینده ایران

اعضای مجلس خبرگان این ماه انتخاب می‌شوند. ممکن است وظیفه آنها به طور رسمی انتصاب جانشینی برای خامنه‌ای سالخورده باشد، اما تصمیم واقعی به احتمال زیاد از سوی مراکز قدرت دیگری گرفته می‌شود که می‌تواند منجر به تحت کنترل گرفتن رهبر جدید شود

۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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مهدی خلجی

Brief Analysis

Lining Up the Tools to Break the Islamic State Brand

Reversing the political, military, and ideological factors that led to the movement's rise will require substantive projects that are as self-sustaining and nimble as IS has proven to be.

۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Alberto Fernandez

Articles & Testimony

In the Regional Power Struggle, has Erbil Decided to Join the Sunni Bloc?

The security of the Kurdistan Region-Iraq (KRI) depends more on agreements between Erbil and Kurdistan’s neighbors than the KRI’s own security and intelligence capabilities. Whenever the regional powers surrounding the KRI have suspected that their interests are at risk, they have not hesitated to put the KRI’s security and stability

۲۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Frzand Sherko

Articles & Testimony

The Case for Turkey’s EU Membership

Turkey is poised to become the most pivotal country of the Middle East. Turkey’s position as the geographical, historical, religious and cultural bridge between Europe and Asia leaves it uniquely situated in the region. It is also a close regional ally of Israel and the major Arab powers of Saudi

۲۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Maurizio Geri

Articles & Testimony

Kemal Erdogan's Second Turkish Revolution

The Turkish leader seems intent on uprooting the Ottoman legacy and restoring Islam's central role.

۲۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Soner Cagaptay

Articles & Testimony

The Truth About Sectarianism

Rather than postulating alternatives to centuries-old sectarian doctrines, Washington should focus on preventing exploitative actors from institutionalizing their violent vision through schools and bureaucracies.

۲۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Jacob Olidort

Articles & Testimony

Biden Should Ask Turkey to Double Down on Its Commitment to the West

Although Ankara is seemingly responding to westward-oriented pressures at home and abroad, it could still swing Turkey back to the right if it continues to pursue the politics of religion, especially while the Islamic State looms on its borders.

۲۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Soner Cagaptay

Articles & Testimony

Sisi's Fracturing Regime

Egypt's strongman is cracking down ahead of the revolution's fifth anniversary, but the real threat he faces isn't from protests.

۲۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Eric Trager

Brief Analysis

Iran's Parliamentary Elections: Inside the Candidate Approval Process

As in past elections, the Guardian Council seems poised to disqualify thousands of registered Majlis candidates, and its procedures for doing so are revealing.

۲۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Patrick Schmidt

Articles & Testimony

Facts and Fictions: A Defense of the U.S.-Saudi Relationship

Despite very different values and tactical preferences, Washington and Riyadh continue to share important strategic interests, and it would be the height of folly to throw them overboard because of misguided reactions to recent events.

۲۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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David Pollock

Articles & Testimony

Saudi Female Victory in Municipal Elections: Overrated or Underestimated?

Around twenty Saudi women won municipal elections last month, and the news of Saudi women making history through political participation went viral. Talk shows discussed Saudi women’s victory and social media networkers congratulated Saudi women for their remarkable accomplishment. While some commentators overrated women's gain on the political level, others

۲۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶

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Heba Albeity

Supported by the

Project Fikra: Defeating Extremism through the Power of Ideas

Fikra n. [Arabic] "Idea"

The Washington Institute's Project Fikra is a multiyear program of research, publication, and network-building designed to generate policy ideas for promoting positive change and countering the spread of extremism in the Middle East.

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