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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Opposition in the Iranian Diaspora and among Iranian Reformers: The Case of Mousavi
As an Iranian opposition coalesces in the diaspora, challenges loom on the horizon. How the diaspora approaches reformists inside Iran calling for a new constitution will help demonstrate just how cohesive Iran’s disparate opposition groups can become.
Mar 3, 2023
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Majid Nikouei
Brief Analysis
Iran Formalizes Ties with the Taliban
The two governments have been engaging for months on standard diplomatic issues, but the new embassy handover may prove more worrisome given that they are both rogue regimes capable of coordinating against U.S. interests in the region.
Mar 3, 2023
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
How Militia Digital Media Avoid Domain Seizure and Blocking
Outlets run by terrorist groups Kataib Hezbollah and Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba continue to modify their domain names and social media brands to dodge shutdowns.
Mar 2, 2023
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Ranw Hassan
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Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq’s Endless Electoral Law Debate
The Coordination Framework is poised to yet again change Iraq's electoral law, continuing a history of such changes that have destabilized and delegitimized the political system.
Mar 2, 2023
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Feyzullah Tuna Aygün
Articles & Testimony
Turkey’s Disaster—and Erdogan’s: How the Earthquake Could Spell the End of His Rule
The president might find the current situation ominously similar to two decades ago, when a combination of devastating natural disaster and deep public dissatisfaction swept his Islamist faction to power.
Mar 1, 2023
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Is Iran Ready to Build a Nuclear Bomb or Not?
The Biden administration’s mixed messages about the significance of new enrichment revelations will make it more difficult to decide next steps.
Mar 1, 2023
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham and Imagined Communities in Its Proto-State
The jihadist group has been releasing upbeat online briefs about various locales under its control, seemingly aiming to unite residents in northwest Syria and soften its image abroad.
Mar 1, 2023
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Sarah Cahn
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Israel Expands Settlements as Smotrich Increases His Authority
Amid widening West Bank violence, the far-right minister is pursuing a policy leading to de facto annexation, and it is unclear whether Netanyahu will cap these ambitions.
Mar 1, 2023
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David Makovsky
David Patkin
Gabriel Epstein
Articles & Testimony
Jihadi “Counterterrorism”: Hayat Tahrir al-Sham Versus the Islamic State
An in-depth look at how the Syrian group has sought to differentiate itself from other jihadist terrorist organizations, but with only partial success despite a decade’s worth of political evolution.
Feb 2023
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Yemen Peace Accord Appears Increasingly Possible
A deal would leave the Iran-backed Houthi rebels in control but allow the Saudis to disengage from a costly and intractable war, potentially opening up further diplomatic possibilities.
Feb 28, 2023
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
To Prevent the PA from Unraveling, Address Internal Reform
Reversing the dangerous trends in Palestinian domestic dynamics is a complicated undertaking, but failure to address these issues will ultimately hobble any diplomatic and security understandings reached on West Bank de-escalation.
Feb 28, 2023
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Ghaith al-Omari
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Netanyahu Government’s Approach to Russia and Ukraine
Despite increased pressure on both sides, Netanyahu is likely to maintain Israel's nonaligned approach to the conflict in Ukraine in an effort to preserve his immediate regional interests.
Feb 28, 2023
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Daniel Rakov
In-Depth Reports
Iran’s Nuclear Endgame Warrants a Change in U.S. Strategy
The regime's latest step on uranium enrichment should compel the United States and its partners to snap back sanctions, bolster military deterrence, and plan for potential crisis scenarios.
Feb 28, 2023
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Michael Singh
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
How the Popular Mobilization Forces Exploited Syria's Earthquake
Now that Iraqi PMF groups can deploy to Syria with Baghdad's formal authorization, many cross-border militant activities may accelerate under the cover of earthquake relief.
Feb 27, 2023
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Erik Yavorsky
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Militia Spotlight
In-Depth Reports
Striking Back:
Iran and the Rise of Asymmetric Drone Warfare in the Middle East
The regime’s drone and missile forces pose a stark threat to the Gulf states and Israel, necessitating a firmer, more cohesive U.S.-led response.
Feb 26, 2023
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Kenneth McKenzie Jr.
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Putin’s Position in MENA and the Turkish Elections
Putin’s shift in MENA policy suggests efforts to smooth the way for Erdoğan’s electoral bid.
Feb 24, 2023
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Baraa Sabri
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Gulf Navigates a Multipolar World
Amid global uncertainty, Gulf states are seeking to strike a delicate balance between old and new partners.
Feb 24, 2023
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Fawzi al-Zubaidi
Articles & Testimony
The Ukraine War & the Middle East
One Year On
In a series of policy articles, media presentations, and media appearances, Washington Institute scholars discuss what could lie ahead for Ukraine, the Middle East, and the world as the war enters its second year.
Feb 24, 2023
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Shaina Katz
Articles & Testimony
Is Ukraine the ‘War Before the War’?
As with Russia, Persian Gulf states may be reluctant to cross Beijing if conflict erupts in Asia, but Washington should remind them that even narrow financial action can help counter any Chinese moves on Taiwan.
Feb 23, 2023
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Israel Planning to Export Gas via LNG Ship
The option, which would take several years to develop, would reduce or even remove the current need to export gas via Egypt.
Feb 22, 2023
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Simon Henderson
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