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Fikra Forum
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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Understanding Egypt’s Limited Involvement in the Campaign Against Iran
After U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s last visit to the Middle East, Cairo has attempted to appear aligned with Gulf States’ efforts against the Iranian regime, at least rhetorically. Egypt’s participation in the Warsaw summit against Iran—which Pompeo had publicly announced in Cairo one month earlier—was perhaps intended to
Mar 21, 2019
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Mohamed Maher
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah’s Procurement Channels: Leveraging Criminal Networks and Partnering with Iran
A February visit to Tehran by Syrian president Bashar al-Assad showcased just how close the Qods Force-Hezbollah alliance is when it comes to acquiring weapons.
Mar 21, 2019
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
How Will Turkey’s Purchase of Russia’s S-400 Air Defense System Affect Ties with NATO?
An expert on Turkish politics expresses the view that alliance pushback may be weaker than in the past, but that the purchase could devastate U.S.-Turkish ties.
Mar 21, 2019
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq's Kurds Weigh Their Options, Balancing the United States and Iran
A trip to Iraqi Kurdistan last week, my first since the abortive referendum on independence there in October 2017, revealed a political landscape at once utterly different and eerily familiar. In the former category is the new, widespread understanding—both among the leaders I met with and among their younger followers
Mar 20, 2019
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Why Turkey’s Local Elections Matter
Many major jurisdictions are up for grabs, with potentially weighty foreign policy implications if Erdogan maintains his current coalition’s hardline nationalist trajectory.
Mar 20, 2019
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Murat Yetkin
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Are Israeli Politics Dooming Kushner's Peace Push?
Even if Netanyahu somehow prevails in the April election, prospects for a grand deal with the Palestinians will likely remain dim.
Mar 19, 2019
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David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Illegal Migration of Algerian Youths: A Haunting Problem
With eighty-two-year-old president Abdelaziz Bouteflika’s announcement and subsequent retraction of the claim that he will run for a fifth term, Algerians have become increasingly concerned about the future of their country. This is especially true among the country’s youths, who have translated these fears into protest movements across several Algerian
Mar 14, 2019
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Ahmed Marwane
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Trump’s Rhetoric and the Crisis of Iraqi Political Moderates
Iraqi Prime Minister Adil Abdul-Mahdi is expected to face questioning in parliament over the U.S. presence in Iraq in the coming months, an unprecedented situation made possible by the increasing power and influence of Iran-backed parties opposing the American presence in Iraq. Moderate politicians, who form the base of the
Mar 14, 2019
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Shukur Khilkhal
Articles & Testimony
Foreign Perspective on the Russian Role in the Conflict Between Armenia and Azerbaijan
Moscow will likely continue using the struggle over Karabakh to pursue its own interests.
Mar 14, 2019
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Applying the Lessons of the Arab Spring to Today’s Protest Movements: A Call for Political Reform
Unlike the protests that took place in Morocco, Jordan, and in southern Iraq in the last year, which were driven primarily by specific policy concerns and have subsequently subsided, both Sudan and Algeria are currently witnessing remarkably widespread protests motivated by uncompromising political demands for regime change. Both last year’s
Mar 13, 2019
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Amr Salah
Brief Analysis
The New Palestinian Prime Minister Will Face Steep Internal Challenges
Fatah succession maneuvers, escalating tensions with Hamas, a financial crisis, and an uncertain security hierarchy will make it difficult for the incoming premier to improve the current situation.
Mar 13, 2019
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Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
A U.S.-Iraq Security Partnership: Avoiding the Pitfalls Just Ahead
Nationalist sentiment and Iranian pressure have led some Iraqi legislators to oppose a continued U.S. military presence, but Washington could make things much worse if it overreacts.
Mar 13, 2019
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Barbara A. Leaf
Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
Trump’s Subtlety Could Yield Middle East Peace
Past administrations have publicized their plans too soon, provoking fury from extremists on both sides.
Mar 13, 2019
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Jonathan Schanzer
Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Algeria on the Brink?
As Algiers braces for wider protests, Washington should coordinate with Arab and European allies to signal the government that it risks losing control unless it changes course.
Mar 8, 2019
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Sarah Feuer
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Though Hamas Is Interested in Negotiations, Gaza's Future Remains Uncertain
The Gaza Strip has long been suffering from internal pressures resulting from its limited resources—including a lack of water and arable land, weak infrastructure, and many internal and external barriers due to the twelve-year long Israeli siege and blockade.This blockade has turned the Gaza strip into the largest open-air prison
Mar 7, 2019
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Mkhaimar Abusada
Brief Analysis
U.S. Sanctions Are Hurting Hezbollah
To further tighten the noose, Washington should disrupt the group’s efforts to tap international aid, Lebanese ministry budgets, Syrian smuggling revenue, and other resources.
Mar 6, 2019
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Hanin Ghaddar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Can Assad’s Demobilization, Demilitarization, and Rehabilitation Strategy Actually Consolidate Syria’s Paramilitary Forces?
After eight years of conflict, Syrian president Bashar al-Assad appears to have emerged victorious over his areas of control and seems set to expand his power over Syria once again. The regime has spearheaded its consolidation efforts by working towards integrating loyalist and rebel militias into the Syria army. Yet
Mar 6, 2019
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Mona Alami
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Kuwaitis Dislike Trump, but Favor the United States over Iran Despite Sectarian Mix
Of all the Gulf monarchies, Kuwait’s actively elected parliament and opposition groups distinguish it as the one where public opinion matters most. A rare recent poll shows that much of the country’s public lines up with its government on many (though not all) key issues, despite the country’s mixed Sunni/Shia
Mar 5, 2019
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Oslo’s Mangled Legacy
Despite their failures, the accords are inextricably linked with the Palestinian national movement and its associated diplomatic/security architecture, so allowing them to collapse completely could make a bad situation worse.
Mar 4, 2019
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Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Organizational Split and Radicalization Within Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood
Internal structural changes and ideological rifts have given rise to new strategies for legitimizing violence.
Mar 4, 2019
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Annette Ranko
Mohammad Yaghi
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