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Turkey

Policy Analysis on Turkey

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Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Die Is Cast: The Kurds Cross the Euphrates
Although the latest Kurdish offensive runs the risk of spurring direct Turkish intervention, it could also help isolate Islamic State forces in the area from their capital, with significant implications for the rest of the combatants in Syria.
Jan 5, 2016
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's New Old Friends
With his plans to become a regional power on the rocks, Erdogan rediscovers Ankara's Western allies.
Dec 30, 2015
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Military Presence in Iraq: A Complex Strategic Deterrent
Despite moving some forces away from Mosul under pressure from Baghdad, Turkey still retains a robust cross-border presence that could help counter any PKK or Islamic State hostilities in northern Iraq.
Dec 22, 2015
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  • Can Kasapoglu
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Turkish-Russian Military Balance
While Turkey's numerical advantages and other factors would seemingly give it the upper hand in limited clashes with Russia, Moscow could bring overwhelming force to bear if the conflict escalated -- a development that would invite NATO intervention.
Dec 18, 2015
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  • Can Kasapoglu
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Struggle for Azaz Corridor Could Spur a Turkish Intervention
As various forces converge against the main rebel supply line in northern Syria, Russia's wooing of the Kurds could make Turkey rethink its approach.
Dec 11, 2015
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
How Will the Turkey-Russia Crisis Affect Ankara's NATO Ties?
Moscow's lack of easy retaliatory options and Ankara's longstanding fear of Russia should forestall any showdown requiring NATO intervention, and the recent shootdown incident will help bring Ankara closer to the alliance in the long term.
Dec 9, 2015
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
When Russia Howls, Turkey Moves
After a decade of trying to become a Middle East player in its own right, Turkey may now find comfort in the NATO alliance when faced with the historic Russian menace.
Dec 2, 2015
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Russia Will Want to Make Turkey Pay
For now, Moscow's retaliation will most likely come against Turkish commercial exports or gas imports, but continued Russian operations near the border mean that a dangerous military escalation is still possible.
Nov 27, 2015
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  • Soner Cagaptay
The Paris Response: Answering Urgent Questions in the Anti-ISIS Fight
Experts weigh in on key questions regarding the perpetrators of the Paris attacks and the proper response, including counterterror and military measures in Syria and Iraq.
Nov 19, 2015
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  • Mohammed Dajani
  • Lori Plotkin Boghardt
  • Sarah Feuer
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Simon Henderson
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Fabrice Balanche
  • Brig. Gen. Muni Katz
  • Nadav Pollak
  • Jeffrey White
  • Jacob Olidort
  • Matthew Levitt
  • Olivier Decottignies
  • Michael Knights
  • David Pollock
  • James Jeffrey
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
The Day After Turkey's Snap Elections
Hours after Turkish voters delivered a stunning victory to President Erdogan's party in snap parliamentary elections, three of America's leading experts on Turkish politics shared an in-depth discussion of the vote and what it means for Turkey's future.
Nov 4, 2015
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Alan Makovsky
  • Henri Barkey
Turkish president Erdogan - Source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan’s Next Act
Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan once again proved his talent for political maneuvering Sunday when voters restored his Justice and Development Party to a parliamentary majority. The victory will intensify his autocratic tendencies, polarize Turkish society and could even jeopardize the country's democracy... Read the full version of this article
Nov 4, 2015
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey After the Snap Elections: War Cabinet or Peace Cabinet?
If this weekend's results compel the AKP to form a coalition, its choice of partners could have very different implications for Turkish policy on the PKK, the Syrian Kurds, the fight against ISIS, and other issues.
Oct 30, 2015
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The U.S.-PYD-Turkey Puzzle
Sustaining U.S. and Turkish assistance to the Syrian Kurds is crucial to blocking ISIS and stemming Russian influence, as is resolving Ankara's Kurdish problems at home, but sending heavy weapons to the PYD would likely have unintended consequences.
Oct 23, 2015
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Divisions Are So Deep They Threaten Its Future
President Erdogan needs to focus on fighting the terrorist threat, not his political opponents.
Oct 19, 2015
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Why Turkey Should Fear Itself
As the death toll in the Ankara bombing rises, watching Turkey has become like watching a disaster unfold in slow motion.
Oct 10, 2015
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
A Syria Plan That Shares the Burden -- and Gives the U.S. Leverage
A safe haven along Syria's border with Turkey could involve several partners and send a clear message to Russia and Iran.
Oct 9, 2015
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
The AKP's New Face: Assessing the September Board Vote Ahead of November's Elections
The new governing board has fewer young members, fewer women, and more old-guard members with close ties to President Erdogan, who is betting that this alignment will help the party regain its legislative majority next month.
Oct 8, 2015
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Cem Yolbulan
  • Angelica Kilinc
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Syria's Kurds Are Contemplating an Aleppo Alliance with Assad and Russia
The PYD will not hesitate to cooperate with Damascus and Moscow in the north if Turkey and the United States continue prohibiting the unification of Kurdish enclaves.
Oct 7, 2015
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Russian Overflight of Turkey: More Than Meets the Eye?
The province that Putin's jets buzzed this weekend holds special demographic and historical significance, raising questions about the incident's potential significance as a warning to Ankara.
Oct 6, 2015
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  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Putin's Syria Adventure Is an Opportunity for Washington and Ankara
The bold military gamble in Syria surprised and confused the international community, but Putin has given the United States and Turkey a reason to more assertively counter Russia's ambitions in its own backyard.
Oct 6, 2015
◆
  • Lt Col John R. Barnett

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Turkish Research Program

Since its inception in 1995, The Washington Institute's Turkish Research Program has established itself as the most influential center in Washington for research and information on Turkey -- a predominantly Muslim, secular, and democratic U.S. ally.

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Featured experts

Soner Cagaptay
Soner Cagaptay
Soner Cagaptay is the Beyer Family Senior Fellow and director of the Turkish Research Program at The Washington Institute.
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