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Iraq

Policy Analysis on Iraq

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Brief Analysis
Increasing Pressure on Iranian Opposition in Iraq
Throughout summer 2008, Iraqi politicians tied to Tehran have put increasing political pressure on the U.S. government to allow Baghdad to control Camp Ashraf, the base housing Iran's main opposition -- the Mujahedin e Khalq (MEK). Options regarding Iraqi-based MEK members are limited, but include the following: sending them to
Aug 4, 2008
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  • Raymond Tanter
Articles & Testimony
Implications of the Security Improvement in Iraq
In the past few months, Iraq has witnessed developments that point to a relative improvement in the security situation and a transformation toward greater regional political openness. The security improvement manifested itself in the Iraqi army operations against al-Sadr militias, especially the Mahdi army and the so-called Special Groups, which
Jul 31, 2008
In-Depth Reports
The Future of the Iraqi Kurds
What is the Kurdish Regional Government's current status in northern Iraq, and what implications does it hold for the United States? Is Kurdish independence a likely scenario? To examine these questions, a four-member Washington Institute delegation visited the KRG in February 2008, exploring its political and economic situation, its ties
Jul 30, 2008
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Domestic and Regional Politics Delay U.S.-Iraqi Security Agreement
While experts negotiate the technical aspects of a Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA) -- an arrangement that would govern future security relations between Iraq and the United States -- Iraqi politicians are engaged in a rhetorical campaign against such an agreement, making it nearly impossible to finalize a deal by
Jun 19, 2008
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  • Nazar Janabi
Articles & Testimony
Determinants of a U.S. Drawdown
Though committed to dramatically different Iraq policies, Barack Obama and John McCain -- the presumptive Democratic and Republican presidential nominees, respectively -- will likely be compelled to tread generally similar paths when one or the other is sworn in as president in January 2009. Obama has promised to start withdrawing
Jun 19, 2008
Articles & Testimony
Return of the Purple Fingers
Within the next few months, Iraqis will once again wave purple fingers in the air as they cast ballots for provincial governments. As Iraq's parliament debates a law to govern the elections, U.S. diplomats and international experts have an opportunity, if not to correct past mistakes, then to help put
Jun 9, 2008
In-Depth Reports
Emerging Threats, Challenges, and Opportunities in the Middle East
An inside briefing on the U.S. government's current strategic assessment of the Middle East.
May 29, 2008
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  • Donald Kerr
◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
A New Phase Begins in Northern Iraq
In the past several months, the Kurds have grown increasingly uneasy with their situation in northern Iraq, as they begin to feel serious pressure from Iran and the Iraqi Arabs. And since many Kurds believe the United States will abandon their cause, it appears that they see Turkey as their
Apr 27, 2008
Articles & Testimony
Think Local
It is interesting to be asked about what victory in Iraq might mean. It suggests, of course, that victory in Iraq might now be in our grasp or within reach. Apart from requiring a definition of victory, something that is not self-evident, this assumes that the path to success in
Apr 11, 2008
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Who Won the Battle for Basra?
The recent military offensive in Basra was the first sizeable operation in which Iraqi government forces took the initiative to pursue armed groups in one of the country's most politically charged regions. Although the operation was a military success, its political aftermath will be crucial for the survival of both
Apr 10, 2008
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  • Nazar Janabi
In-Depth Reports
Provincial Politics in Iraq:
Fragmentation or New Awakening?
In post-Saddam Iraq, decentralization has been a central rhetorical theme in the reconstruction process. Yet, it has failed to mature into fully realized policies on the ground, as seen in the continued lack of local participation in governance. Despite legislative changes and other efforts, the frustration caused by this unfulfilled
Mar 26, 2008
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  • Michael Knights
  • Eamon McCarthy
Brief Analysis
Small Island, Big Issues:
Bahrain's King Visits Washington
Tomorrow, King Hamad bin Isa al-Khalifa of Bahrain visits the White House for talks and a working lunch with President Bush. The meeting promises to cover much more than the usual diplomatic pleasantries. The island state of Bahrain headquarters the U.S. Fifth Fleet and is therefore key to U.S. strategy
Mar 24, 2008
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
360 Degrees from Erbil:
The Iraqi Kurds Need Turkey
On a recent trip to Iraq, I visited the three northern provinces that fall under the auspices of the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG). I happened to be in Erbil, the region's capital, during the recent Turkish incursion into northeastern Iraq to disrupt the terror camps of the Kurdistan Workers Party
Mar 20, 2008
Brief Analysis
Will the Turkish Constitutional Court Ban the AKP?
On March 14, Turkey's chief prosecutor, Abdurrahman Yalcinkaya, filed a case with the country's Constitutional Court asking it to shut down the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) and ban seventy-one of its members from seeking elected office for five years. He accused the party of spearheading "anti-secular activities" in
Mar 19, 2008
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Who Represents the Iraqi Sunnis?
Since the fall of Saddam Hussein, Sunnis in Anbar and other western Iraqi provinces have struggled to develop a coherent and representative political leadership. The recently formed Iraqi Awakening Convention (IAC) -- a collective of so-called "Awakening council" leaders -- could represent the next step in that evolution and, if
Mar 5, 2008
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  • Nazar Janabi
Articles & Testimony
The Exit Lever
Senator John McCain often attacks the two Democratic presidential front-runners for their soft stance on Iraq. "Senator Clinton and Senator Obama will withdraw our force from Iraq based on an arbitrary timetable designed for the sake of political expediency," he recently said, "which recklessly ignores the profound human calamity and
Feb 28, 2008
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  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
A Mutual Enemy:
U.S.-Turkish-Iraqi Cooperation against the PKK
On February 21, Turkish ground forces crossed the Iraqi border in an attempt to dismantle Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) terrorist camps, following weeks of periodic aerial bombardment that began in mid-December. The incursion was partly the product of a November 5 agreement between Turkey and the United States to share
Feb 27, 2008
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  • Abdulkadir Onay
  • Soner Cagaptay
PKK Enclaves in Northern Iraq (JPG)
PKK enclaves in Northern Iraq, including access to border areas with Turkey and Iran not controlled by Iraqi border police. Copyright 2008 The Washington Institute
Feb 19, 2008
Brief Analysis
Kirkuk's Article 140:
Expired or Not?
Away from the headlines, Sunnis and Shiites are testing the waters of reconciliation in the Iraqi parliament with an agreement that may come at the expense of country's Kurdish population. The Kurdish political reaction to such an agreement could potentially exacerbate anti-Kurdish sentiment among many Arab parliamentarians, costing the Kurds
Jan 30, 2008
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  • Nazar Janabi
Brief Analysis
Britain and the Middle East
On January 15, 2008, British ambassador to the United States Sir Nigel Sheinwald addressed a Washington Institute Policy Forum. Prior to assuming his position in October 2007, he served as chief foreign and defense policy advisor to Prime Minister Tony Blair. The following are edited excerpts from his presentation; listen
Jan 23, 2008

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Elizabeth Dent
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