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Iraq

Policy Analysis on Iraq

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Articles & Testimony
Significance of the Provincial Elections
The upcoming provincial elections in Iraq, scheduled for January, will provide the best indicators to date of the health of Iraq's political system, the relative popularity of political parties, and Prime Minister al-Maliki's prospects for re-election in national elections planned for December 2009. Iraqis have been concerned by the delay
Dec 10, 2008
Brief Analysis
The New President and the Middle East:
From Campaigning to Governing
On November 6, Robert Satloff, Patrick Clawson, and David Makovsky addressed a Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute. Dr. Satloff is executive director of The Washington Institute, Dr. Clawson is the Institute's deputy director for research, and Mr. Makovsky is the director of the Institute's Project on the Middle
Nov 7, 2008
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  • Patrick Clawson
  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Win, Lose, or Draw:
Iraq Decisions Await President-Elect
When Barack Obama assumes office on January 20, 2009, the president-elect will face many pressing issues. The strategic case for careful and active management of Iraq policy, however, remains strong. Iraq has at least 115 billion barrels of proven oil reserves (9.3 percent of the world total) and borders Iran
Nov 5, 2008
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Kirkuk:
The Land the Surge Forgot
Although recognized as a political flashpoint, the Iraqi province of Kirkuk is suffering from a largely overlooked security crisis that has improved little since the beginning of the 2007 U.S. military "surge." The decline in reported insurgent attacks in Kirkuk has been relatively small, dropping from a monthly average of
Oct 30, 2008
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Politicians Ponder Status of Forces Agreement
After months of rigorous debate, U.S. and Iraqi negotiators submitted a draft Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA) to Iraq's cabinet and political leadership last week. Since then, many Iraqi politicians have publicly expressed reservations, while others have distanced themselves from the draft in an attempt to deflect blame and avoid
Oct 27, 2008
◆
  • Nazar Janabi
Brief Analysis
The Importance of Iraq's Provincial Elections
On September 22, the Iraqi parliament belatedly passed a provincial elections law, ending a long and costly deadlock. Parliament ratified the initial version of the law on July 22, but it was later vetoed by two members of Iraq's presidency council. This time it is likely that the bill will
Sep 26, 2008
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  • Nazar Janabi
Articles & Testimony
The Hidden Imam
Conventional wisdom holds that when Iran's supreme leader says, "Jump," millions of Shiites, from the Beirut slums to the Saudi oilfields, ask, "How high?" But a recent meeting in Baghdad between a wealthy Lebanese Sunni politician and an ascetic Shiite theologian twice his age suggests that there is a move
Sep 24, 2008
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  • David Schenker
In-Depth Reports
Will Iraq Be an Ally of the United States or of Iran?
Download the complete proceedings. On September 20, 2008, Ghassan Atiyyah, Reuel Marc Gerecht, and Michael Knights addressed The Washington Institute's annual Weinberg Founders Conference. Mr. Atiyyah is a former visiting fellow at the Institute and director of the Iraq Foundation for Development and Democracy. Mr. Gerecht is a resident fellow
Sep 20, 2008
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  • Ghassan Atiyyah
  • Michael Knights
In-Depth Reports
America's Grand Strategy in the Middle East:
Views from the Campaign
Download the complete proceedings. On September 20, 2008, Max Boot and Richard Danzig addressed The Washington Institute's annual Weinberg Founders Conference. Mr. Boot, an advisor to the presidential campaign of Sen. John McCain, is the Jeane J. Kirkpatrick senior fellow in national security studies at the Council on Foreign Relations
Sep 20, 2008
Brief Analysis
Kirkuk Derails Iraq's Election Law
On August 7, the Iraqi parliament went on summer recess after failing to pass a critical election law, delaying the country's provincial elections until sometime next year. The failure comes after the parliament successfully passed the law on July 22, only to be vetoed by the Iraqi Presidency Council in
Aug 12, 2008
◆
  • Nazar Janabi
Brief Analysis
Increasing Pressure on Iranian Opposition in Iraq
Throughout summer 2008, Iraqi politicians tied to Tehran have put increasing political pressure on the U.S. government to allow Baghdad to control Camp Ashraf, the base housing Iran's main opposition -- the Mujahedin e Khalq (MEK). Options regarding Iraqi-based MEK members are limited, but include the following: sending them to
Aug 4, 2008
◆
  • Raymond Tanter
Articles & Testimony
Implications of the Security Improvement in Iraq
In the past few months, Iraq has witnessed developments that point to a relative improvement in the security situation and a transformation toward greater regional political openness. The security improvement manifested itself in the Iraqi army operations against al-Sadr militias, especially the Mahdi army and the so-called Special Groups, which
Jul 31, 2008
In-Depth Reports
The Future of the Iraqi Kurds
What is the Kurdish Regional Government's current status in northern Iraq, and what implications does it hold for the United States? Is Kurdish independence a likely scenario? To examine these questions, a four-member Washington Institute delegation visited the KRG in February 2008, exploring its political and economic situation, its ties
Jul 30, 2008
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Domestic and Regional Politics Delay U.S.-Iraqi Security Agreement
While experts negotiate the technical aspects of a Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA) -- an arrangement that would govern future security relations between Iraq and the United States -- Iraqi politicians are engaged in a rhetorical campaign against such an agreement, making it nearly impossible to finalize a deal by
Jun 19, 2008
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  • Nazar Janabi
Articles & Testimony
Determinants of a U.S. Drawdown
Though committed to dramatically different Iraq policies, Barack Obama and John McCain -- the presumptive Democratic and Republican presidential nominees, respectively -- will likely be compelled to tread generally similar paths when one or the other is sworn in as president in January 2009. Obama has promised to start withdrawing
Jun 19, 2008
Articles & Testimony
Return of the Purple Fingers
Within the next few months, Iraqis will once again wave purple fingers in the air as they cast ballots for provincial governments. As Iraq's parliament debates a law to govern the elections, U.S. diplomats and international experts have an opportunity, if not to correct past mistakes, then to help put
Jun 9, 2008
In-Depth Reports
Emerging Threats, Challenges, and Opportunities in the Middle East
An inside briefing on the U.S. government's current strategic assessment of the Middle East.
May 29, 2008
◆
  • Donald Kerr
◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
A New Phase Begins in Northern Iraq
In the past several months, the Kurds have grown increasingly uneasy with their situation in northern Iraq, as they begin to feel serious pressure from Iran and the Iraqi Arabs. And since many Kurds believe the United States will abandon their cause, it appears that they see Turkey as their
Apr 27, 2008
Articles & Testimony
Think Local
It is interesting to be asked about what victory in Iraq might mean. It suggests, of course, that victory in Iraq might now be in our grasp or within reach. Apart from requiring a definition of victory, something that is not self-evident, this assumes that the path to success in
Apr 11, 2008
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Who Won the Battle for Basra?
The recent military offensive in Basra was the first sizeable operation in which Iraqi government forces took the initiative to pursue armed groups in one of the country's most politically charged regions. Although the operation was a military success, its political aftermath will be crucial for the survival of both
Apr 10, 2008
◆
  • Nazar Janabi

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