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Iran

Policy Analysis on Iran

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Articles & Testimony
Back from the Threshold: The Last Chance for Diplomacy to Stop Iran
In this timely and detailed paper, Brig. Gen. Michael Herzog (IDF, Ret.) proposes ways to maximise the chances of success in P5+1 talks to move the Iranians back from their nuclear threshold capacity. Key Points Strong evidence suggests that Iran's nuclear programme is intended to actually construct nuclear weapons, not
Apr 17, 2012
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  • Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
Russian Energy Strategy Makes Partners of Rivals
On April 2-4, a high-ranking delegation from Islamabad visited Moscow to discuss whether Russian energy giant Gazprom will help construct the ambitious gas pipeline between Pakistan and Iran. Although the outcome of the talks is still unknown, analysts suggest that the Russian company's involvement in the project would align perfectly
Apr 16, 2012
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  • Nikolay Kozhanov
Articles & Testimony
Don't Throw Iran's Democrats under the Bus
In pursuing a nuclear deal with Tehran, Obama is betting against the future. You wouldn't know it from following the news, but the nuclear impasse is not the only issue dividing Iran and the United States. In his latest message to the Iranian people on the occasion of their festival
Apr 13, 2012
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  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
How Iran and Turkey See Each Other
Welcome to the new Middle East, which increasingly looks too small to accommodate both Turkey and Iran. Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan is visiting Riyadh on Friday. The Syrian crisis will dominate the agenda in Riyadh, and Iran will scrutinize every statement made by Erdogan and his Saudi hosts
Apr 13, 2012
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  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Alex Vatanka
Should We Fear Mideast Nuclear Proliferation?
If Iran gets nuclear weapons, will other Middle East states want them too? In a bloggingheads.tv conversation, Matt Duss and Michael Singh explore the issues.
Apr 13, 2012
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Bahrain on the Brink Jeopardizes U.S. Interests in the Gulf
The ethnic strife between majority Shiites and the ruling Sunni al-Khalifa family in Bahrain is worsening, with a growing risk that the U.S. naval base there could become contentious.
Apr 12, 2012
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Challenge of Containing Iran's Enrichment Activities
With talks between the P5+1 (the United States, Russia, China, Britain, France, and Germany) and Iran set to resume in Istanbul on April 13, officials are discussing possible compromises that might persuade Tehran to give up any ambition of developing nuclear weapons. Apparently, one of the principal components of these
Apr 12, 2012
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  • Simon Henderson
  • Olli Heinonen
Brief Analysis
What Iran Might Gain from a Nuclear Deal
If Iran decides to seriously negotiate during upcoming nuclear talks -- currently scheduled to begin this weekend in Istanbul -- what might it expect to gain from the resultant deal? Probably not much, because even a comprehensive agreement on nuclear issues would not close the profound geostrategic split between Washington
Apr 11, 2012
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  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Squandered Leverage over Iran
If Washington does not maintain pressure on Iran, it will validate the regime's strategy of defiance, provocation, and delay.
Apr 10, 2012
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
What Could Diplomacy with Iran Produce?
There can be little doubt that the United States, France, Britain, Germany, Russia, and China would all prefer a diplomatic outcome to the impasse over Iran's nuclear ambitions. Collectively, they make up the P5+1 mechanism that will soon resume negotiations with Iranian representatives. Talks were discontinued last year because Tehran's
Apr 5, 2012
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  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
The Future of the Marjayia
The current form of religious leadership over the Shi'ite community, marjayia, was founded in the 1830s when Mohammed Hassan Najafi became the first transnational Shi'ite religious authority (marja) in Najaf, Iraq. Najafi created a universal patronage network through which he received religious taxes and endowment incomes, and appointed religious representatives
Apr 3, 2012
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Can Meet Israel Halfway on Iran
There is no daylight between the United States and Israel on the objective and the preferred means for dealing with Iranian nuclear ambitions. Much has been written about possible differences, but the recent meeting between President Obama and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu highlighted key points of convergence: Both agree that
Apr 2, 2012
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  • Dennis Ross
  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Dateline Middle East: Trip Reports from around the Region
On March 27, 2012, Robert Satloff, Andrew J. Tabler, and Simon Henderson addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Dr. Satloff, the Institute's executive director and Howard P. Berkowitz chair in U.S. Middle East policy, had just returned from Israel and Jordan. Mr. Tabler, the Institute's Next Generation fellow
Mar 29, 2012
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  • Robert Satloff
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Danger Zone
Reporting from the USS Abraham Lincoln in waters near Iran, Simon Henderson describes why the carrier strike groups in the Persian Gulf are an awesome reminder of U.S. military might. View a slideshow of photos from his time aboard the supercarrier. U.S. President Barack Obama recently said that "all elements
Mar 27, 2012
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran, Hizballah, and the Threat to the U.S. Homeland
Should Hizballah decide to carry out attacks on U.S. soil in the event of a military confrontation with Iran, it has the capacity to do so.
Mar 25, 2012
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Iran Keeps Compromise Option Open
Whether by choice or through the military's influence, Ayatollah Khamenei has decided to keep a formerly marginalized regime figure -- and, by extension, the possibility of nuclear compromise -- in play.
Mar 22, 2012
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
To Keep the Peace with Iran, Threaten to Strike
Washington must clearly articulate what its red lines are in terms of Iranian behavior and credibly threaten the regime with military action should it cross them.
Mar 20, 2012
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  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Washington and Israel on Iran: Unresolved Differences
Notwithstanding their differing perspectives on the subject, the less daylight seen between Washington and Israel regarding Iran, the better.
Mar 16, 2012
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  • Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
To Retaliate or Not: Hizballah's Calculus Following a Strike on Iran
Hizballah's response to military action against Iran could be shaped by rational cost-benefit analysis, a perceived spiritual obligation to defend its Shiite patron in Tehran, or both.
Mar 14, 2012
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Khamenei's Strength Could Be a Vulnerability
By weakening the Islamic Republic's institutions and strengthening his own authority, Ayatollah Khamenei may make himself more vulnerable in a time of crisis.
Mar 12, 2012
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  • Mehdi Khalaji

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Supported by the

Viterbi Program on Iran and U.S. Policy

Today, the Islamic Republic of Iran poses the most serious and urgent set of security challenges to the United States and its allies in the greater Middle East. Since the Khomeini revolution in 1979, Iran has sought to export its radical ideology through the use of terrorism, subversion, and support to ideological fellow-travelers throughout the Muslim world.

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Featured experts

Farzin Nadimi
Farzin Nadimi
Farzin Nadimi, a Senior Fellow with The Washington Institute, is a Washington-based analyst specializing in the security and defense affairs of Iran and the Persian Gulf region.
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is the Morningstar Senior Fellow and Research Counselor at The Washington Institute.
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