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Gulf States

Policy Analysis on Gulf States

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A sign identifying the NordStream 2 pipeline - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Russia-Ukraine Crisis Is Creating an Energy Predicament
For once, an emerging energy crisis isn’t Middle East-focused, but it will still have implications for that region, including countries that missed out on hydrocarbon wealth.
Jan 24, 2022
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
A Needed Warning for Yemen’s Rebels—and for Our Allies and Enemies Alike
Rarely has it been more important for Washington to show it will stand by a friend in response to an attack that could have resulted in many civilian casualties, including Americans.
Jan 24, 2022
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  • Dennis Ross
Pro-government tribal fighters advance in Marib Province, Yeman - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Breaking Point: Consolidating Houthi Military Setbacks in Yemen
Washington can help preserve the recent coalition gains by categorizing the campaign as defensive, deterring further Houthi attacks abroad, and leveraging the next military deadlock to reinvigorate peace talks.
Jan 19, 2022
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  • Alex Almeida
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Houthi Strikes on UAE Open Another Front in Yemen War
As Emirati-aligned forces gain ground on the battlefield in Yemen, the Houthis are trying to raise the costs of Abu Dhabi’s involvement.
Jan 18, 2022
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  • Elana DeLozier
A professional golfer at a tournament in the UAE - Source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Golf War on the Arabian Peninsula
The Emirates are the region’s leading destination for the sport, but Saudi Arabia is coming on strong as part of their broader economic competition.
Dec 26, 2021
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
IRGC Conducts “Hybrid” Military Drills as Nuclear Talks Teeter
The timing of the exercise and the types of systems and tactics on display reveal much about Iran’s likely response to any uptick in foreign pressure.
Dec 22, 2021
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  • Farzin Nadimi
Israeli Prime Minister Bennett meets with the UAE's foreign minister in December 2021 - Source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Bennett Visit Shows the UAE Balancing Between Israeli Ties and Regional De-escalation
The meeting confirmed how eager both countries are to keep their economic progress humming along, but such cooperation could become complicated if concerns about Iran’s nuclear program come to a head.
Dec 16, 2021
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  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Gulf Arab Summit Could Be Overshadowed by Israel-UAE Meeting
Normalization with Israel will be the elephant in the room at the Riyadh summit, though Iran diplomacy and persistent internal rifts bear close watching as well.
Dec 13, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
  • Elana DeLozier
President Biden and Secretary of State Blinken host the Summit for Democracy. Source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Summit for Democracy Skips the Arab World
To address the region’s democracy gap, Washington needs to develop consistent messaging on reform objectives and help its partners focus on achievable goals such as protecting free speech, dissidents, and civil society.
Dec 8, 2021
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  • Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Will an Apparent Saudi Concession on Oil Production Drop US Prices at the Pump?
It is unclear how long any price effects might last, and Riyadh may yet expect a diplomatic quid pro quo from Washington.
Dec 3, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
An Emirati family relaxes on the shore in Dubai
Articles & Testimony
The UAE’s Second Half-Century: Building Forward to What?
The country is well-positioned to further the progress it has made on multiple fronts, from balancing relations with competing regional and global powers, to diversifying its economy and addressing long-term environmental concerns.
Dec 2, 2021
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  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
US Leads a Global Release of Oil from Reserves, But Will It Outmaneuver OPEC+?
Besides reopening the debate about proper use of the strategic reserve, the decision is not guaranteed to sway Washington’s tussle with Moscow and Riyadh.
Nov 23, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
A solar panel in the West Bank
Brief Analysis
UAE to Fund Israel and Jordan’s Solar/Water Deal
The trilateral agreement will combine long-established peace partners with one of the Gulf parties to last year’s Abraham Accords, providing a model for broader normalization efforts.
Nov 18, 2021
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  • Ghaith al-Omari
  • Simon Henderson
OPEC flag
Articles & Testimony
Biden’s Other Setback: OPEC+ Ignores His Plea for Help
The political costs of oil and gas pricing are increasing amid diplomatic snubs, LNG logistics, and the onset of winter weather.
Nov 8, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Top Agenda Items for the U.S.-Egypt Strategic Dialogue
In addition to continuing the discussion of withheld U.S. funding, Secretary Blinken’s team should focus on steering Cairo toward productive steps in Ethiopia, Sudan, Libya, Lebanon, and Syria.
Nov 5, 2021
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Biden Needs a Plan B for Yemen If Houthis Win
Ending the war under the current circumstances will generate new problems unless further steps are taken to interdict weapons smuggling and bolster security in Saudi Arabia and the Red Sea.
Nov 4, 2021
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Prince’s “Net Zero by 2060” Goal Comes with Intriguing Contradictions
His presence at a major climate event will be awash in speculation regarding Canadian hit squads, British charities, and uncertain relations with the Biden administration.
Oct 25, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
China and Mideast Leverage: Hiding in Plain Sight
Washington still has good cards to play in terms of Iran’s destabilizing activities, the U.S. security umbrella over Gulf energy supplies, and Arab public opinion toward China and America.
Oct 22, 2021
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  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia: What Has Changed, What Hasn’t
An expert discusses persistent questions about Saudi policy two decades since the September 11 attacks, explaining why some of them are still so difficult to answer definitively.
Oct 13, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson
Newcastle United fans celebrate the Saudi purchase of their team
Brief Analysis
Saudi Soccer Investment Augurs a Different Gulf Rivalry
Riyadh’s purchase of a struggling English club could shift some of the region’s core tensions and maneuvering to a different field of play.
Oct 8, 2021
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  • Simon Henderson

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