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All Policy Analysis by Soner Cagaptay
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Brief Analysis
What Is Behind the Istanbul Attack?
The Islamic State's choice of target likely reflects a very deliberate attempt to short-circuit U.S.-Turkish military efforts along the Syrian border and exacerbate tensions in Europe.
Jan 13, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Jan 12, 2016
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey's New Base in Qatar
Having a permanent military foothold in the Gulf will put Turkey in an elite group of powers, but more presence also means more exposure, whether to Saudi-Iranian tensions or other local crises.
Jan 11, 2016
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Olivier Decottignies
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's New Old Friends
With his plans to become a regional power on the rocks, Erdogan rediscovers Ankara's Western allies.
Dec 30, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Military Presence in Iraq: A Complex Strategic Deterrent
Despite moving some forces away from Mosul under pressure from Baghdad, Turkey still retains a robust cross-border presence that could help counter any PKK or Islamic State hostilities in northern Iraq.
Dec 22, 2015
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Can Kasapoglu
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
How Will the Turkey-Russia Crisis Affect Ankara's NATO Ties?
Moscow's lack of easy retaliatory options and Ankara's longstanding fear of Russia should forestall any showdown requiring NATO intervention, and the recent shootdown incident will help bring Ankara closer to the alliance in the long term.
Dec 9, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Dec 5, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
When Russia Howls, Turkey Moves
After a decade of trying to become a Middle East player in its own right, Turkey may now find comfort in the NATO alliance when faced with the historic Russian menace.
Dec 2, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Dec 2, 2015
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James Jeffrey
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Russia Will Want to Make Turkey Pay
For now, Moscow's retaliation will most likely come against Turkish commercial exports or gas imports, but continued Russian operations near the border mean that a dangerous military escalation is still possible.
Nov 27, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Nov 25, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
The Paris Response: Answering Urgent Questions in the Anti-ISIS Fight
Experts weigh in on key questions regarding the perpetrators of the Paris attacks and the proper response, including counterterror and military measures in Syria and Iraq.
Nov 19, 2015
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Mohammed Dajani
Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Sarah Feuer
Soner Cagaptay
Simon Henderson
Michael Eisenstadt
Fabrice Balanche
Brig. Gen. Muni Katz
Nadav Pollak
Jeffrey White
Jacob Olidort
Matthew Levitt
Olivier Decottignies
Michael Knights
David Pollock
James Jeffrey
Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Nov 18, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Day After Turkey's Snap Elections
Hours after Turkish voters delivered a stunning victory to President Erdogan's party in snap parliamentary elections, three of America's leading experts on Turkish politics shared an in-depth discussion of the vote and what it means for Turkey's future.
Nov 4, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Alan Makovsky
Henri Barkey
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan’s Next Act
Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan once again proved his talent for political maneuvering Sunday when voters restored his Justice and Development Party to a parliamentary majority. The victory will intensify his autocratic tendencies, polarize Turkish society and could even jeopardize the country's democracy... Read the full version of this article
Nov 4, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Nov 1, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkey After the Snap Elections: War Cabinet or Peace Cabinet?
If this weekend's results compel the AKP to form a coalition, its choice of partners could have very different implications for Turkish policy on the PKK, the Syrian Kurds, the fight against ISIS, and other issues.
Oct 30, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Oct 30, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The U.S.-PYD-Turkey Puzzle
Sustaining U.S. and Turkish assistance to the Syrian Kurds is crucial to blocking ISIS and stemming Russian influence, as is resolving Ankara's Kurdish problems at home, but sending heavy weapons to the PYD would likely have unintended consequences.
Oct 23, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Divisions Are So Deep They Threaten Its Future
President Erdogan needs to focus on fighting the terrorist threat, not his political opponents.
Oct 19, 2015
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Soner Cagaptay
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