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All Policy Analysis by David Schenker
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Brief Analysis
Syria's Reactor:
Can the IAEA Act Effectively?
High on the agenda of the November 27-28 meeting of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors (BOG) will be the November 19 report from Director General Mohammed ElBaradei about Syria. How the IAEA responds to the Syrian challenge may determine whether future urgent proliferation concerns are taken
Nov 21, 2008
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Patrick Clawson
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Nov 2, 2008
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Duplicity in Damascus
When it comes to al Qaeda, Syria gets it coming and going. This past Sunday, U.S. helicopters targeted an al Qaeda operative on Syrian territory who shuttled terrorists into Iraq. Syria condemned the strike as a violation of its sovereignty and a "serious aggression." Earlier in October, a massive car
Oct 31, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Oct 29, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Oct 27, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The Future of U.S. Military Aid to Lebanon
Last week, Lebanese president Michel Suleiman met with President Bush at the White House -- the first visit by a Lebanese head of state since 1996 -- and reportedly pressed for a continued U.S. commitment to the bilateral military assistance program. Since the program's revitalization after the election of the
Oct 3, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Stability in Lebanon Threatened, Again
This past Monday, a Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) transport was targeted by a car bomb that killed five soldiers and wounded twenty-five others. The strike was the third on the LAF since June and occurred in increasingly violent northern Lebanon. In fact, violence in and around Tripoli, the largest city
Oct 2, 2008
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Hidden Imam
Conventional wisdom holds that when Iran's supreme leader says, "Jump," millions of Shiites, from the Beirut slums to the Saudi oilfields, ask, "How high?" But a recent meeting in Baghdad between a wealthy Lebanese Sunni politician and an ascetic Shiite theologian twice his age suggests that there is a move
Sep 24, 2008
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
A Dangerous Precedent
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice's visit to Libya last week represents the final step in a decades-long U.S. effort to reform and rehabilitate the rogue state. A charter member of the U.S. Department of State's list of State Sponsors of Terrorism, after its nuclear program was disclosed in 2003, Tripoli
Sep 10, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Amman Warms to Hamas
This PolicyWatch is the first part of a two-part series on Hamas. Read part two. Last week, Jordan's minister of information publicly confirmed that senior Jordanian officials have been meeting with Hamas in an effort to "solve pending security issues." These talks represent a significant shift for Amman, since relations
Aug 28, 2008
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Matthew Levitt
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Can Lebanon's March 14 Reverse the Tide?
This week, Lebanon's new national unity government is slated to announce its ministerial statement (bayan waziri), the policy document that will define Beirut's working parameters and agenda through the spring 2009 elections. For the pro-West majority March 14 coalition, the priority will be to incorporate into the statement a reference
Jul 23, 2008
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Israel, Don't Undermine Beirut
Developments in Lebanon are being viewed with great concern in Israel. In the aftermath of Hizbullah's recent military and ostensible political victories, many Israelis are saying that Beirut has gone the way of Gaza. Lebanon is now "Hizbullahstan" -- just like Gaza, only worse. This assessment is alarmist, defeatist, and
Jun 2, 2008
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Syria: Between Negotiations with Israel and the Iranian Axis
The Syria-Iran alliance predated the rise to power of Saddam Hussein in Iraq. Prior to the 1979 Iranian revolution, President Hafiz Assad offered Ayatollah Khomeini sanctuary in Syria. Subsequently, Syria was the first Arab state to recognize the Shiite revolutionary regime in Tehran. Increased political pressures, a growing fiscal deficit
May 28, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
May 22, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
May 22, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Lebanese Crisis Ends:
Hizballah Victory or Temporary Truce?
On May 21, after five days of mediation, Qatari officials announced a compromise solution to the Lebanese crisis between the pro-Western government and Hizballah-led opposition backed by Iran and Syria. According to preliminary reports, the negotiations centered on presidential elections and electoral reform, yet avoided the critical issue of Hizballah's
May 21, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
May 21, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Showdown between Hizballah and Beirut
This week, the democratically elected, pro-Western Lebanese government took the bold and unprecedented decision to confront Hizballah. Since its election in 2005, the government had avoided direct conflict with the well-armed Shiite militant political party, but several of the organization's activities -- including apparent preparations for yet another war with
May 9, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
May 8, 2008
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
May 4, 2008
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David Schenker
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