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ترکیه

Policy Analysis on ترکیه

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Obama's Meeting with Erdogan: 'Minor Uptick' in U.S.-Turkey Relations
Their first post-coup meeting was one of the few positive bilateral developments in quite some time, so Washington should try to build on it.
۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
In-Depth Reports
After the Jarabulus Offensive:
How Far Will Turkey Shift Its Syria Policy?
Turkey's Syria policy appears to be changing trajectory, signaled by three recent developments: the July 16 attempted coup, which exposed rifts within the military; the August 9 meeting between Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Russian president Vladimir Putin; and Turkey's incursion into Syria, culminating in the capture of Jarabulus
۲ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Impact of Syrian Refugees on Turkey
The ongoing influx of Syrians could tilt future elections in Erdogan and the AKP's favor, though the long-term demographic and social repercussions will be felt regardless of political outcomes.
۲۵ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Oya Aktas
  • Cagatay Ozdemir
Brief Analysis
Rojava's Sustainability and the PKK's Regional Strategy
As the Kurds continue to pursue their goal of a contiguous territory in northern Syria, various nonmilitary factors will determine whether their nascent statelet is viable in the long term, including a host of demographic, economic, water, and oil issues.
۲۴ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Assad Bombs the Kurds: Implications for U.S. Strategy in Syria
Escalating hostilities between regime forces and Syrian Kurds in Hasaka will likely complicate Washington's campaign against the Islamic State, in which the Kurds and their Arab allies have been its most effective partners.
۲۳ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Barak Barfi
Articles & Testimony
The Kurds in Turkey: A Gloomy Future
As Turkey vies for influence in Syria and Iraq and stability across its borders with those countries, it will need to make peace with its own Kurdish community.
۱۱ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • Cem Yolbulan
Brief Analysis
Turkish-Russian Ties after the Erdogan-Putin Breakthrough
The Russian president will likely follow up today's meeting by offering to lift sanctions, along with other incentives, but the longer-term bilateral impact on political ties, especially in Syria, will remain unknown for some time.
۹ اوت ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
If Tensions Increase with the West, Erdogan Might Find a Friend in Putin
The post-coup fallout spells trouble for NATO, Europe, and the Turkish president's foes.
۲۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
A Turkish soldier stands guard at a rally. Image source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Inside Turkey's Failed Coup: What Happened? Why? What Next?
Two experts discuss how the coup was thwarted, what Erdogan will do next, and how the nascent purges might shift Ankara's relations with Washington.
۲۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
  • James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
In Wake of Coup Attempt in Turkey, Lessons for the U.S. From Egypt's Military Takeover
Given Erdogan's crucial role against the Islamic State, Washington should be careful not to alienate him, in particular by avoiding critical public statements that won't change his behavior anyway.
۲۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Troubling Turn: Terrorism and Security After the Attempted Coup
Erdogan may appear victorious today, but he cannot hold onto power in the long run if the country's internal security falls prey to rampant domestic extremism.
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Troubling Forces Unleashed in Turkey
An in-depth conversation about why the coup happened and what implications it holds for Islamist mobilization in the streets, public perceptions of the military, and cooperation with the United States in Syria.
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How the Failed Turkish Coup Helps Putin
While Erdogan's harsh response to the coup may complicate his relations with the West and sideline any plans for intervention in Syria, Russian observers believe it could bring Turkey closer to Moscow.
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Coup Is a Sign of Hope for Exiled Egyptian Islamists
Erdogan's response to the coup is feeding the revenge fantasies of Muslim Brotherhood leaders eager to return home and seize power back from the Sisi government.
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Turkey Faces Its Iran 1979 Moment
Empowered by surviving a coup, Erdogan may be tempted to encourage an Islamist counterrevolution.
۱۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Coup Attempt Is Bad News for Turkey's Democracy
Erdogan brought Turkish democracy to the brink of disaster before the coup, but the officers who attempted the takeover have pushed it into the abyss.
۱۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Will Turkey and Russia Make Up?
On June 27th, the Kremlin announced that Turkey had apologized to Moscow for downing a Russian jet, which had violated Turkish airspace while flying over Syria in November 2015. The following day, Turkish Prime Minister Binali Yildirim said that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan had expressed his regrets to Russian President
۱۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Muslims vs. Islamists
Islamism is not a form of the Muslim faith or an expression of Muslim piety; it is, rather, a political ideology that strives to derive legitimacy from Islam.
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Will the PKK and the Islamic State Bring Turkey and Russia Closer Together?
If Ankara wants to intervene against the Islamic State in Syria, block Kurdish advances, and defeat the PKK at home, it may decide to do whatever is necessary to placate Moscow, perhaps even cutting off support for certain anti-Assad rebel groups.
۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Why the Islamic State Targets Muslim Countries Like Turkey
In addition to ideological concerns, the group can't afford to lose access to Syria's northern border, so it has responded to Turkish-backed rebel offensives there with multiple terrorist attacks.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay

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