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TWI Arabic: اللغة العربية Fikra Forum

عرب و اسلام سیاسی

Policy Analysis on عرب و اسلام سیاسی

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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Will the Referendum Lead to an Independent Kurdish State?
March 10, 2016 Since February 2016 the public sector in Kurdistan has protested corruption and unpaid wages. For the first time in 25 years, Kurdish protesters are publicly showing their disappointment in the government. Meanwhile, the KDP’s Massoud Barzani, whose term as president has technically come and gone, has begun
۱۰ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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  • Frzand Sherko
Salafism: Ideas, Recent History, Politics
Download this presentation (PDF)
۹ مارس ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Jacob Olidort
Brief Analysis
Reformists Apply the 'Lesser Evil' Theory to Iran's Elections
With most of their favorite candidates disqualified, the reformists embraced politicians who were little different from the hardline incumbents, raising questions about their claims of victory.
۹ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
A Safe Zone in Southern Syria
As the Assad coalition and the Islamic State turn their attention southward, Jordan and the thousands of displaced Syrians waiting outside its border face an increasingly perilous security situation.
۸ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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  • David Schenker
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Protesters hold Syrian and Hezbollah flags
Brief Analysis
How Iran Is Building Its Syrian Hezbollah
Syrian Shiite fighters increasingly show loyalty to Tehran, over even the Assad regime, marking an important shift in the wartime dynamic.
۸ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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  • Phillip Smyth
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Hezbollah Labeled Terrorist by GCC States – But What Do Their People Think?
March 8, 2016 In a remarkable if little-noticed development last week, all six GCC states – Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the UAE, Qatar, Oman, and Bahrain – formally designated the Lebanese movement Hezbollah as a terrorist organization. This week, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu called this step “important and even amazing,” but
۸ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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  • David Pollock
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
How to Prevent al-Qaeda from Seizing a Safe Zone in Northwestern Syria
Strong ground support for moderate rebels would be needed to keep any buffer zone in the northwest from falling under the control of al-Qaeda's Syrian affiliate.
۷ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Why the Nuclear Deal Hasn't Softened Iran's Hard-Line Policies
As the election process and continued regional aggression have shown, the regime won't change what it's doing at home or abroad until the price for such behavior is made clear and unmistakable.
۶ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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  • Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
Lebanon's [Un]Civil Society
This contribution, the fifth in a series exploring prospects for political reform throughout the Middle East, considers the strengths and limitations of Lebanon’s robust civil society.
۴ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Third Time the Charm for Reform in Iran?
Tehran has a history of showing hints of reform to hopeful citizens and Western observers only to snatch them away in the end.
۴ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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  • Patrick Clawson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Future of the Iraqi Ba'ath Party
March 3, 2016 Could one of Iraq’s most notorious political parties make a comeback after thirteen years in exile? This may increasingly become a central question for Middle East analysts, as Ba’athists are claiming their sociopolitical platform of supporting pan-Arab causes defused sectarianism and united Iraqis around nationalistic themes. They
۳ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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  • Dani Tahrawi
Brief Analysis
The State(s) of Ideology in Iran
Iranian policymakers understand the failure of their effort to export the Islamic Revolution, and acknowledge the more feasible path to hegemony offered by geopolitics.
۲۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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  • Said Amir Arjomand
Articles & Testimony
Iraq's Popular Demobilisation
The prime minister has broad backing to begin absorbing Shiite militias into the armed forces, though two key PMUs seem bent on resisting the move.
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Knights
In-Depth Reports
Russia in the Middle East
Motives, Consequences, Prospects
Since becoming president in 2000, Vladimir Putin has reinvigorated Russia's Middle East ties, a trend underscored by his bold military intervention in the Syria crisis. Through these and other regional moves, he has sought to gain ground at the West's expense while bolstering the Kremlin's legitimacy against domestic pressures --
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Iran's Melting Factions and Failing Institutions
Given the absence of sharp ideological differences and the growing irrelevance of old political categories, those who win office this week may have little actual influence on important issues such as succession, economics, or the next presidential election.
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Realpolitik and the Syrian Conflict
Beyond wishful thinking, the current choices for Syria seem limited to either continuing a give-and-take war or having Assad rule Syria much as Saddam ruled Iraq in the 1990s -- under international isolation and with an iron fist.
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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  • Azzam Alkassir
Articles & Testimony
Beyond Nationalism: Kurdistan as a Catalyst for a New Middle East
Caught at the geographic convergence of four key states and their various political and military conflicts, Kurdistan may gradually spread a new paradigm focused on sharing the space instead of attempting to carve untenable dominions out of it.
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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  • Hassan Mneimneh
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia Rethinks Its Commitments to Lebanon
Riyadh's latest financial and diplomatic measures may just be a shot across Beirut's bow, but several signs point to a potentially wider Gulf withdrawal that could leave Lebanon even more at Iran and Hezbollah's mercy.
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Political Landscape -- and What Is Unlikely to Change with Friday's Elections
As in past votes, the candidates have been closely screened, the outcome is expected to uphold the legislature's largely conservative makeup, and the victors will remain largely dependent on military institutions.
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The Great Unraveling
As tumultuous as the region's recent struggles have been, they have also exposed opportunities to establish a more multilateral Middle Eastern security architecture via renewed U.S. leadership.
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Michael Singh

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David Schenker
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