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نظامی و امنیتی

Policy Analysis on نظامی و امنیتی

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Brief Analysis
The Counterintuitive Role of Air Defense in Iran's Anti-Status Quo Regional Strategy
While Iran's air defenses are a central element of its deterrent capabilities, newly arrived long-range mobile systems like the S-300 could also enable it to constrain the air forces of its neighbors over their own sovereign territory, thereby enhancing Tehran's ability to intimidate and coerce these neighbors.
۱۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
The Growing Islamic State Threat in Jordan
Amman has shaken up its counterterrorism and military leadership in response to an uptick in attacks and security failures, and Washington cannot afford to be complacent about the kingdom's situation either.
۱۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
How Israel Catches Lone Wolves
The successful campaign to curb the latest 'eruption' of attacks has relied on technology, smart policing, and cooperation with the Palestinian Authority.
۱۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Ehud Yaari
Maps & Graphics
The Obama Administration: A Washington Institute Retrospective
Review the Obama administration's approach to the Middle East with this interactive timeline pairing a topical history of major events 2009-2017 with analysis by Institute scholars.
۱۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Battle for al-Bab Is Bringing U.S.-Turkish Tensions to a Head
Helping Erdogan take the city could greatly decrease the civilian death toll and preserve U.S.-Turkish cooperation in Syria, but Washington will still need to decide what to do with the Kurds, its other key ally against the Islamic State.
۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Mosul Battle: Iraq Gaining Momentum Against IS
After making important gains on Mosul's eastern side and reestablishing security and basic services for some displaced civilians, Iraqi forces will likely need to regroup before tackling the rest of the city.
۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
A Tactical -- Not Strategic -- Ceasefire in Syria
The post-Aleppo lull on the western front is likely just an excuse for Russia to rotate new forces and equipment into Syria and prepare for the next major offensive.
۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
The Latest Ceasefire Will Not Change Hezbollah's Role in Syria
Iran and Russia may find a way to push past their strategic differences and make the ceasefire work, but it will be much more difficult to forge agreements on Syria's other intractable issues at the upcoming peace conference.
۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Al-Qaeda's Patient Approach in Syria May Be Paying Off
By advising its Syrian affiliate to coopt other armed groups, avoid alienating the locals, and (for now) eschew international terrorism, al-Qaeda is laying the foundation for a permanent base in the heart of the Levant.
۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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  • Kelsey Segawa
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Assad Needs 'Useless Syria' Too
Eastern Syria holds major hydrocarbon and agricultural resources that make it a vital asset in Assad's quest for regime self-sufficiency, and a potentially powerful source of U.S. leverage against him.
۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
What Should Trump Do About Syria?
Establishing safe zones, pursuing a tougher line of negotiation with Russia, and limiting Iran's destabilizing presence are the best ways of addressing the country's de facto partition.
۲۲ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Iran's Basij Mull a Wider Domestic and Regional Role
In addition to expanding and professionalizing their traditional roles at home, Basij paramilitary forces are poised to assume a larger share of the fighting in Syria alongside Iran's foreign militia proxies.
۲۰ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
An Egyptian guard inspects bomb damage near the Gaza border in Sinai
Maintaining Relationships Behind Closed Doors
Although Egypt's security, diplomatic, and economic cooperation with Israel continues to improve, the optics of such rapprochement remain a political liability for President Sisi.
۱۵ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Will Assad Target Idlib After Aleppo?
As Aleppo's eastern districts continue to collapse, the regime will soon turn its attention to other pressing fronts, but manpower shortages will likely force it to focus on just one of them first.
۱۵ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arms Restrictions Reflect U.S. Exasperation Over Yemen War
Recent statements out of Washington and Riyadh have inadvertently widened the differences between the two allies, hindering the incoming U.S. administration's options for resolving the Yemen conflict.
۱۵ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Stop Calling the Syrian Conflict a 'Civil War.' It's Not.
Doing so gives the Assad regime a veneer of legitimacy and has a serious impact on international accountability.
۱۴ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Independent Intel Key to U.S. Diplomacy
Tensions between the White House and the intelligence community are nothing new, but enough damage has already been done to elevate this problem to the Trump administration's A-list.
۱۴ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
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  • James Jeffrey
Aleppo Is Falling
A conversation on how Assad and Russia have achieved a major victory in a strategically crucial city, and at what cost.
۱۳ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Tillerson's Task: Mastering Mind-Numbing Expectations at State
The next secretary of state cannot effectively marshal his staff or respond to nations who challenge the global security system until President-elect Trump clarifies his seemingly unconventional foreign policy priorities.
۱۳ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Video
The Trump Administration and the Middle East: A Washington Institute Guide
A compendium of Institute analysis on the evolving challenges and opportunities that will face the Trump administration in the Middle East.
۸ دسامبر ۲۰۱۶

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Supported by the

Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
مایکل آیزنستات
مایکل آیزنستات هموند دیوید کان و داگلاس کان و مدیر برنامه مطالعات امنیتی و نظامی انستیو واشنگتن است.
Michael Knights
مایکل نایتز

مایکل نایتز هموند جیل و جی برنشتاین در انستیتو واشنگتن و کارشناس امور نظامی و امنیتی عراق، ایران و کشورهای خلیج فارس است. او مقیم بوستون است و یکی از بنیانگذاران پلتفرم «شبه‌نظامیان زیر ذره‌‌بین» که تحلیل‌های عمیق از تحولات مربوط به شبه‌نظامیان تحت حمایت ایران در عراق و سوریه ارائه می‌کند.

دکتر نایتز بارها به عراق، یمن و کشورهای خلیج فارس سفر کرده و به طور منظم در خصوص سیاست‌گذاری‌های دولت ایالات متحده، کمیته‌های کنگره و افسران نظامی آمریکا در امور امنیتی منطقه،‌ سازمان‌های نظامی و امنیتی محلی در عراق، کشورهای خلیج فارس و یمن فعالیت داشته است.

او دکترای خود را از کالج کینگ لندن دریافت کرده و

Grant Rumley
گرانت راملی
گرانت راملی هموند ارشد انستیتو واشنگتن و مشاور سابق سیاست‌گذاری خاورمیانه در دفتر وزیر دفاع است.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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