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منع اشاعه

Policy Analysis on منع اشاعه

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Brief Analysis
Iranian Nuclear Weapons (Part II):
Operational Challenges
Counterproliferation strikes on nuclear sites are uncommon but by no means unprecedented. Germany's embryonic nuclear program was attacked during World War II, Iraq's Osiraq nuclear plant was bombed by Iran in 1980 and by Israel in 1981, and Iran's Bushehr reactor site was attacked by Iraq throughout 1984-1988. During the
۲۸ مهٔ ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iranian Nuclear Weapons (Part I):
The Challenges of U.S. Preventive Action
Having just fought a war to rid Iraq of weapons of mass destruction, and alarmed by fresh signs of dramatic progress by Tehran in the nuclear arena, the United States is pressing the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to declare Iran in violation of its commitments under the Treaty on
۲۷ مهٔ ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
Winning the Peace in the Middle East:
A Bipartisan Blueprint for Postwar U.S. Policy
In the aftermath of war, the United States must balance recognition of the historic opportunity to advance U.S. interests in the Middle East with a realistic view of what is possible and what is not. America's first priority must be to win the peace by stabilizing Iraq and helping the
۱ آوریل ۲۰۰۳
Brief Analysis
Iraq's Nascent Nuclear Doctrine:
Insights from a Captured Document
During Operation Desert Storm, U.S. forces captured several million Iraqi military documents. Among these was one titled "The Operational Use of Weapons of Mass Destruction; Volume 2; Part 2; Foundations for the Use of Nuclear Weapons in War." The manual was published in July 1988 by the Ministry of Defense
۱۲ مارس ۲۰۰۳
Brief Analysis
Iraq's al-Samoud:
A Missile with Great Possibilities
A dispute is rapidly growing between UN inspectors and Baghdad concerning Iraq's stockpile of al-Samoud missiles. The UN is expected to order the destruction of these missiles today. According to Hans Blix, executive chairman of the UN Monitoring, Verification, and Inspection Commission, the fact that these missiles are capable of
۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۳
Brief Analysis
Iran's Nuclear Program:
Gathering Dust or Gaining Steam?
As the United States looks to disarm Iraq and to defuse or defer a nuclear crisis with North Korea, another nuclear crisis -- with Iran -- looms on the horizon. U.S. policymakers could face critical decisions this year regarding Iran's nuclear program as the Bushehr reactor approaches completion, as Iran's
۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
Classifying Evil:
Bush Administration Rhetoric and Policy toward Rogue Regimes
Language matters in international policymaking, and terms such as "rogue," "outlaw," and "hostile" can help mobilize democratic publics against states that actively attempt to acquire weapons of mass destruction (WMD), proliferate long-range missiles, and sponsor international terrorism. For President George W. Bush, the attacks of September 11, 2001, reinforced the
۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Raymond Tanter
Brief Analysis
Iraq Crisis after the Blix Report:
Diplomatic and Military Options
On January 27, Hans Blix, director of the UN Monitoring, Verification, and Inspection Commission (UNMOVIC), delivered a straightforward report to the Security Council regarding Iraqi compliance with arms resolutions. Twelve years after taking up the obligation to disarm under UN Security Council Resolution (UNSCR) 687, Baghdad still does not genuinely
۳۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
  • Philip Gordon
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Missiles and Diplomacy:
The Middle East's Dangerous Mix
The temporary seizure by the Spanish navy last week of a ship carrying Scud missiles from North Korea to Yemen was a reminder of the extent of missile proliferation in the Middle East. Similarly, Yemen's insistence on receiving the missiles, despite U.S. pressure, is a reminder of how much priority
۲۳ دسامبر ۲۰۰۲
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran's Nuclear Activities:
What Might the IAEA Learn?
Satellite photos published last week showed two sites in Iran that might house a civilian energy program and/or a nuclear weapons program. To determine exactly what purpose these sites serve would require an on-site inspection. Yet, inspections performed by international regulatory agencies are bound by certain limitations. What are the
۲۳ دسامبر ۲۰۰۲
Brief Analysis
Iraq's WMD Declaration:
How Important? How to Respond?
UN Security Council Resolution 1441 required Iraq to submit a full and complete declaration of all weapons of mass destruction (WMD) programs and associated delivery systems by December 8. Given the stakes, and the fact that Iraq's previous declarations have been incomplete and misleading, the international community remains concerned, and
۲۰ دسامبر ۲۰۰۲
Articles & Testimony
Tighten the Finger on the Trigger
Whenever he's been cornered over the last decade, Saddam Hussein has demonstrated his skill under pressure at stalling, dividing and diverting the West by appearing to cooperate. His strategy has been one of token progress cloaking substantial delays. "Time is working for us," he said in a rare interview last
۵ دسامبر ۲۰۰۲
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Toward Renewed Weapons Inspections in Iraq?
UN Security Council Resolution (UNSCR) 1441, adopted after weeks of diplomatic aerobics, authorized renewed weapons inspections in Iraq and outlined a timetable for the inspections process, with mandatory deadlines for Iraqi compliance. UNSCR 1441's popularity is remarkable: the United States, Russia, France, and Syria all like it, and even Iraq
۲۰ نوامبر ۲۰۰۲
Articles & Testimony
Deadline for Hussein
The U.N. Security Council has spoken, and Secretary of State Colin Powell is receiving well-deserved praise for producing a unanimous vote for a tough resolution. But President Bush had it right: The hard part begins now. As the president has said, there have been 16 Security Council resolutions against Iraq
۱۲ نوامبر ۲۰۰۲
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Tubes of Mass Destruction
As the advance towards war against Iraq continues, the Bush administration has started lobbing missiles at hardline liberals ever unconvinced about the threat Saddam Hussein poses to his region and the world. The administration's game presumably is to make these diehards change their minds and to win over skeptical members
۲۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۲
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
WMD Inspections in Iraq:
A Trap or an Opportunity?
President George W. Bush's speech to the UN General Assembly on September 12 is expected to lay out U.S. policy on Iraq. There are strong arguments against raising the issue of arms inspections at all during this speech, and even stronger arguments for proposing a specific deadline for resuming inspections
۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۲
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Missing a Target:
Missile Testing and U.S. Middle East Policy
Over the course of a few days at the end of May, Iran conducted a missile test; Pakistan conducted three such tests; and Israel launched a reconnaissance satellite. Each of these instances serve as proof, if any were needed, that missiles are becoming an important part of the military scene
۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۰۲
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Defanging Iran Could Solidify U.S.-Russia Ties
There is a rub-your-eyes quality to the summit that kicks off tonight between President Bush and Russian leader Vladimir V. Putin in Russia. Erstwhile enemies are embarking on a historic new partnership. If they seize the moment, they could parlay their new friendship into solving a problem that has eluded
۲۳ مهٔ ۲۰۰۲
◆
  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Burgeoning WMD Programs
On December 14, 2001, Ayatollah Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, chairman of Iran's powerful Expediency Council, mounted the podium at the University of Tehran to deliver the government's official weekly sermon. Rafsanjani took the usual anti-American and anti-Israeli rhetoric one step farther than ever before. Speaking to the assembled crowd of
۱ مارس ۲۰۰۲
Brief Analysis
Nuclear Arms Inspections in Iraq
Since September 11, there has been increased concern about terrorists using weapons of mass destruction (WMD). It is thus natural to return to the issue of Iraq, a country that has used chemical agents against Iran and its own citizens. Indeed, Iraq violated the Non-Proliferation Treaty before 1990 and, prior
۱۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۲

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