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منع اشاعه

Policy Analysis on منع اشاعه

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Brief Analysis
Iran between Elections and the IAEA
To no one's surprise, the Iranian parliamentary elections resulted in a conservative sweep; the hardliners had rigged the rules so as to prevent a serious contest. As the hardliners consolidate their control, they may be interested in improving relations with the United States, though a major initiative would likely appear
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Musharraf's Mess
Thursday's front page of the New York Times has a breathless account of Pakistan's rogue nuclear network, and quotes British engineer Peter Griffin as saying he had been a supplier to Pakistan for two decades. To my knowledge, the last time Peter Griffin was quoted anywhere was on the front
۱۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Link Leaks
"My father told me that if ever anything happened to him, I was to call you," said the plaintive, attention-grabbing voice of a young Pakistani woman on the telephone to me Sunday. Her father, a nuclear scientist, had been detained by Pakistan's feared Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI). They had come in
۱۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Pakistan's Nuclear Proliferation and U.S. Policy
Recent media reports suggest that rogue Pakistani scientists have been peddling nuclear secrets across the Middle East for many years. The revelation offsets recent good news from the region -- Iran's acceptance of nuclear inspections and Libya's agreement to give up weapons of mass destruction. The spread of nuclear secrets
۱۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Europe, Syria, and Weapons of Mass Destruction
Syrian president Bashar al-Asad's January 6 interview with London's Daily Telegraph -- in which he indicated that Syria would not relinquish its weapons of mass destruction (WMD) capabilities until Israel did so also -- suggests that Syria is not likely to follow Libya's recent example of foregoing WMD in order
۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
Responding to Iran's Nuclear Challenge
Delay is Victory
The late 2003 IAEA deal at its best addresses only a small part of the Iranian nuclear proliferation threat; at its worst, the deal could become a significant obstacle to responding to the Iranian nuclear threat. The test will come over time -- which is convenient for the Bush administration
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
The Prospects for Nuclear 'Roll Back' in Iran
Although it may not be feasible now or in the near future, the U.S. should not exclude the possibility at some future date of nuclear roll back in Iran -- particularly in light of Libya -- s recent surprise decision to scrap its nuclear, chemical, and ballistic missile programs. Since
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
The Challenges of U.S. Preventive Military Action
Excerpted from Checking Iran's Nuclear Ambitions, ed. Patrick Clawson and Henry Sokolski (Carlisle, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, 2004), pp. 113–128. For some U.S. policymakers and military planners, Israel's 1981 raid on Iraq's Osiraq nuclear reactor may serve as an object lesson regarding the potential benefits of preventive military action against
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Tracking Libya's Nuclear Activities
Besides dismantling a dangerous program, the IAEA's efforts in Libya may also expose the international network of nuclear cooperation that enabled this infrastructure to develop as far as it has.
۲۹ دسامبر ۲۰۰۳
Articles & Testimony
Nuclear Spinning:
The Iran-Pakistan Link
Forget, for the moment, Saddam's weapons of mass destruction -- or lack thereof. Consider instead the other WMD conundrum: Iran. Events in Pakistan, where two nuclear scientists were arrested last week, suggest the whole issue is about to blow. (Figuratively, that is.) Last month, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iranian-European Nuclear Deal:
An Achievement with a Potential Poison Pill
The October 21 deal between Iran and the European trio of Britain, France, and Germany has the potential to significantly reduce the risk of Iran producing a nuclear weapon from highly enriched uranium (HEU)—assuming the accord is implemented strictly and on a tight timetable. Yet, HEU is only one of
۲۲ اکتبر ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Toward a Saudi Nuclear Option:
The Saudi-Pakistani Summit
On October 18, Crown Prince Abdullah of Saudi Arabia will begin two days of talks in Pakistan. One of the subjects that may be discussed is the potential transfer of Pakistani nuclear missiles to Saudi Arabia. The kingdom has long been suspected of funding Pakistan's nuclear program; given recent revelations
۱۶ اکتبر ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
The Iranian Nuclear Threat and U.S. Policy (Part II)
Discussing U.S.-Iranian relations in the aftermath of the Iraq war and in light of recent international pressure to rein in Iran's nuclear ambitions is not an easy task. There are contending players and policy options that both countries may pursue -- depending on their respective political dynamics at home. The
۱۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۳
In-Depth Reports
The Iranian Nuclear Threat and U.S. Policy (Part I)
I have been asked to address Iran's nuclear program from a technical point of view. One of the roles the Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS) has played is to push for more effective nuclear inspections worldwide. That often means more intrusive ones, and Iran has attracted a lot
۱۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۳
In-Depth Reports
The Iranian Nuclear Threat and U.S. Policy (Part IV)
To begin, I would like to make three points. First, it has become clear in recent months that Iran has a clandestine nuclear program, parts of which were recently revealed and parts of which may remain hidden. Second, Iran may be just two to four years from getting the bomb
۱۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
In-Depth Reports
The Iranian Nuclear Threat and U.S. Policy (Part III)
There were traditionally two Israeli schools of thought on Iranian proliferation. One viewed Iran as a major problem because of the nature of the regime that took power in the 1979 revolution, the line that the regime took in Lebanon opposing any negotiations with Israel, and its heavy involvement in
۱۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۳
Articles & Testimony
Evaluating the Options Regarding the Iranian Nuclear Threat
Testimony before the U.S.-Israel Joint Parliamentary Committee The United States has for years judged Iran to be the world's foremost state-sponsor of terrorism. While the most direct way to sever the link between Tehran and its main terror arm -- Hizbollah -- is via Damascus, Washington is vigilant about Iran's
۱۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Gaining Support for Action on Iran's Nuclear Program
The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), whose report about Iran leaked out yesterday, will soon have to decide whether to declare Iran noncompliant with its obligations under the Treaty on the Nonproliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). What the world does about Iran's nuclear program will largely determine the future of
۲۷ اوت ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Iran's Nuclear Program—Countdown?
DAVID ALBRIGHT The IAEA's February 2003 visit to Iran revealed that Tehran's nuclear program was much more advanced that previously thought, raising questions about Iranian compliance with the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). This issue will be a major topic at the upcoming meeting of the IAEA
۱۳ ژوئن ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Iranian Nuclear Weapons (Part III):
How Might Iran Retaliate?
A U.S. or "coalition" strike against Iran's nuclear program would be an exercise in high-stakes compellence. Although the physical results of such a strike (e.g., amount of damage inflicted; number of years by which the Iranian nuclear program would be set back) are uncertain, the consequences for U.S.-Iranian relations are
۲۹ مهٔ ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Jeffrey White

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Patrick Clawson
پاتریک کلاوسون
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