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منع اشاعه

Policy Analysis on منع اشاعه

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Articles & Testimony
Right Course on Iran
Susan E. Rice ["We Need a Real Iran Policy," op-ed, Dec. 30] derides as "bizarre" President Bush's statement that "we're relying upon others" to take the leadership role in stopping Iran's nuclear program. She dismisses out of hand the Bush administration's acceptance of European leadership on this issue, claiming that
۱۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Influencing Iran's Nuclear Activities through Major Power Cooperation
This is the second in a two-part series on diplomacy surrounding the Iranian nuclear program. Read Part I. The Iran nuclear issue will be on the international agenda in the coming months. The often-postponed visit to Tehran by the head of Russia's Atomic Energy Agency (Minatom) Alexander Rumyantsev to sign
۳۰ دسامبر ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Carrots for Iran?
Lessons from Libya
This is the first part of a two-part series on diplomacy surrounding the Iranian nuclear program and looks at U.S.-European relations. Read Part II. As European and Iranian officials began negotiations December 14 on whether to make permanent Iran's temporary suspension of uranium enrichment, eight former Western foreign ministers issued
۱۶ دسامبر ۲۰۰۴
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  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Clarifying and Strengthening the Iran-European Nuclear Accord
On November 25, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors will meet to consider Iran's nuclear program, in light of the November 14 Paris Accords between Iran and Britain, France, and Germany (the E3). If the Paris Accords are going to work as a stepping-stone toward ending Iran's
۲۲ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
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  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The IAEA and Iran:
The Perils of Inaction
Deep divisions among the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), currently meeting in Vienna, continue to hamper U.S. efforts on two key fronts: pressing Iran to suspend work on its nuclear program, and referring allegations of Iranian violations of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty to the UN
۱۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۴
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  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Middle East Weapons Proliferation:
Lessons from Iraq and Beyond
New Lessons Regarding Proliferation The culmination of Operation Iraqi Freedom has given rise to much debate concerning the exact nature of Iraq's weapons of mass destruction (WMD) programs. Similarly, ongoing negotiations with Iran regarding its nuclear activities have also been dogged by imprecise intelligence and unclear strategies. Both of these
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Implications of a Nuclear Iran
Testimony before the House Committee on International Relations, Subcommittee on the Middle East and Central Asia The emergence of a nuclear Iran could alter the balance of power in the Middle East, leading to a heightened risk of conflict, and possibly nuclear war. This raises several questions: How close is
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Desperately Seeking WMD
BOOK REVIEW Disarming Iraq By Hans Blix Pantheon, 285 pages, $34 Hans Blix has produced a straightforward, easy-to-read account of the UN's Iraq inspections and the crisis at the UN in the lead-up to the 2003 Iraq war. With its clear style and blunt but polite language, Disarming Iraq will
۲۶ مارس ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Libya's WMD Renunciation:
How to Consolidate and Replicate
Testimony before the House Committee on International Relations, Hearing on Weapons of Mass Destruction, Terrorism, Human Rights, and the Future of U.S.-Libyan Relations I will confine myself to two issues: first, how to consolidate Libya's apparent decision to give up weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and second, how to replicate
۱۰ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Delay, Deter and Contain, Roll-Back:
Toward a Strategy for Dealing with Iran's Nuclear Ambitions
Recent revelations regarding Iran's nuclear program have reinforced suspicions that Iran is pursuing a nuclear weapons option, and may be a few short years away from acquiring "the bomb." While senior Iranian officials have repeatedly stated that Iran is not seeking nuclear weapons and that the possession and use of
۱ مارس ۲۰۰۴
Brief Analysis
Iran between Elections and the IAEA
To no one's surprise, the Iranian parliamentary elections resulted in a conservative sweep; the hardliners had rigged the rules so as to prevent a serious contest. As the hardliners consolidate their control, they may be interested in improving relations with the United States, though a major initiative would likely appear
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Musharraf's Mess
Thursday's front page of the New York Times has a breathless account of Pakistan's rogue nuclear network, and quotes British engineer Peter Griffin as saying he had been a supplier to Pakistan for two decades. To my knowledge, the last time Peter Griffin was quoted anywhere was on the front
۱۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Link Leaks
"My father told me that if ever anything happened to him, I was to call you," said the plaintive, attention-grabbing voice of a young Pakistani woman on the telephone to me Sunday. Her father, a nuclear scientist, had been detained by Pakistan's feared Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI). They had come in
۱۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Pakistan's Nuclear Proliferation and U.S. Policy
Recent media reports suggest that rogue Pakistani scientists have been peddling nuclear secrets across the Middle East for many years. The revelation offsets recent good news from the region -- Iran's acceptance of nuclear inspections and Libya's agreement to give up weapons of mass destruction. The spread of nuclear secrets
۱۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Europe, Syria, and Weapons of Mass Destruction
Syrian president Bashar al-Asad's January 6 interview with London's Daily Telegraph -- in which he indicated that Syria would not relinquish its weapons of mass destruction (WMD) capabilities until Israel did so also -- suggests that Syria is not likely to follow Libya's recent example of foregoing WMD in order
۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
The Challenges of U.S. Preventive Military Action
Excerpted from Checking Iran's Nuclear Ambitions, ed. Patrick Clawson and Henry Sokolski (Carlisle, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, 2004), pp. 113–128. For some U.S. policymakers and military planners, Israel's 1981 raid on Iraq's Osiraq nuclear reactor may serve as an object lesson regarding the potential benefits of preventive military action against
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Responding to Iran's Nuclear Challenge
Delay is Victory
The late 2003 IAEA deal at its best addresses only a small part of the Iranian nuclear proliferation threat; at its worst, the deal could become a significant obstacle to responding to the Iranian nuclear threat. The test will come over time -- which is convenient for the Bush administration
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
The Prospects for Nuclear 'Roll Back' in Iran
Although it may not be feasible now or in the near future, the U.S. should not exclude the possibility at some future date of nuclear roll back in Iran -- particularly in light of Libya -- s recent surprise decision to scrap its nuclear, chemical, and ballistic missile programs. Since
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Brief Analysis
Tracking Libya's Nuclear Activities
Besides dismantling a dangerous program, the IAEA's efforts in Libya may also expose the international network of nuclear cooperation that enabled this infrastructure to develop as far as it has.
۲۹ دسامبر ۲۰۰۳
Articles & Testimony
Nuclear Spinning:
The Iran-Pakistan Link
Forget, for the moment, Saddam's weapons of mass destruction -- or lack thereof. Consider instead the other WMD conundrum: Iran. Events in Pakistan, where two nuclear scientists were arrested last week, suggest the whole issue is about to blow. (Figuratively, that is.) Last month, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Simon Henderson

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