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منع اشاعه

Policy Analysis on منع اشاعه

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Articles & Testimony
Iran's Small Boats Are a Big Problem
The confrontation this month in the Persian Gulf between Navy warships and small boats of Iran's Revolutionary Guard may have come as a surprise to the public at large, but not to me. I witnessed a very similar event five years ago during the invasion of Iraq. It was April
۲۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۸
◆
  • David B. Crist
Brief Analysis
Domestic Issues Trump Foreign Policy in Iran
At each stop on his recent Middle East tour, President Bush centered his foreign policy agenda on the growing threat from Iran. But inside the Islamic Republic, domestic policies -- and not the international issues that Bush highlighted -- are at the center of political debate. Economic Issues Top Agenda
۱۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۸
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
In-Depth Reports
Autumn of Decisions:
A Critical Moment for American Engagement in the Middle East
The 2007 Weinberg Founders Conference explored a number of critical issues, with an eye toward the overall direction of U.S. Middle East policy as the Bush administration enters its final year in office. In keynote plenary sessions and breakout seminars, and over coffee in the hallways, a select group of
۱۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۸
Articles & Testimony
GAO Misleads on Iran Sanctions
There are no foolproof metrics by which to measure the impact of sanctions, whether related to proliferation, terrorism or other issues. On that discreet point the recent GAO report on the impact of Iran sanctions gets it right, and its recommendation that more be done to assess the impact of
۱۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۸
Brief Analysis
Raising the Costs for Tehran
In the wake of the National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on Iran, questions are being raised as to whether sanctions and financial pressure remain a viable approach to changing Tehran's decisionmaking on its nuclear program. As evidence of this strategy's demise, critics point to the foundering attempts to negotiate a third
۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۸
◆
  • Michael Jacobson
Articles & Testimony
The Clock Ticks:
Sanction Iran Now
A version of this article appeared in German in Financial Times Deutschland under the title, "Die Uhr Tickt." The latest U.S. National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on Iran's nuclear intentions and capabilities has been the subject of much analysis, most of which has been off point. The new estimate opens with
۱۹ دسامبر ۲۰۰۷
Brief Analysis
The European View on Iran:
Fallout from the New U.S. Intelligence Estimate
On December 13, 2007, Neil Crompton, Hans-Peter Hinrichsen, and Nicholas Roche addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Mr. Crompton is a political counselor at the British embassy who served until recently as Iran coordinator and head of the Iraq Policy Unit at the British Foreign Office. Dr. Hinrichsen
۱۷ دسامبر ۲۰۰۷
Articles & Testimony
The Can't-Win Kids
The National Intelligence Estimate on Iran presents an interesting paradox: Though almost certainly the product of rigorous assessment and questioning, it may actually leave us less secure over time. How can such an improved product of spycraft have such a negative effect? It can when it frames the issue mistakenly
۱۲ دسامبر ۲۰۰۷
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
U.S.-Israeli Dialogue on Iran's Nuclear Program
On December 4, 2007, Chuck Freilich and Geoffrey Kemp addressed a Washington Institute Policy Forum marking the release of Mr. Freilich's new Institute paper Speaking about the Unspeakable: U.S.-Israeli Dialogue on Iran's Nuclear Program. The author, the Institute's 2007 Ira Weiner fellow, teaches at Tel Aviv and Harvard Universities; previously
۱۲ دسامبر ۲۰۰۷
◆
  • Chuck Freilich
Articles & Testimony
Iran Report Makes Case for Keeping Pressure On
Some analysts are arguing that because last week's National Intelligence Estimate concluded that Iran halted its covert nuclear program in 2003, sanctions against Iran are no longer necessary. In fact, the opposite conclusion could be drawn from the report, which suggests that Iran is vulnerable to outside pressure on the
۱۰ دسامبر ۲۰۰۷
Articles & Testimony
Dealing with Iran
Why worry about Iran? Because the new U.S. intelligence report says Iran is making great progress at its huge fuel-cycle factories in producing enriched uranium, which is the fissile material at the core of a nuclear bomb. The report says Iran will have enough enriched uranium for a bomb sometime
۹ دسامبر ۲۰۰۷
Articles & Testimony
Contending with Iran's Nuclear Intentions and Capabilities
This week, the U.S. intelligence community released to Capitol Hill the unclassified key judgments of its latest National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on Iran's nuclear intentions and capabilities. The new estimate opens with the startling judgment that Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program in the fall of 2003, which is sure
۵ دسامبر ۲۰۰۷
Brief Analysis
How Much Does Weaponization Matter?
Judging Iran's Nuclear Program
The just-released National Intelligence Estimate (NIE), "Iran: Nuclear Intentions and Capabilities," is about weaponization, not the enrichment and fuel cycle issues that have been the focus of multiple UN Security Council and International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) board resolutions regarding Iran's nuclear program. The NIE only suggests that Tehran has
۴ دسامبر ۲۰۰۷
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
In-Depth Reports
Speaking about the Unspeakable:
U.S.-Israeli Dialogue on Iran's Nuclear Program
Despite the longstanding and ever-evolving "special relationship" between the United States and Israel, the two allies do not appear to have engaged in substantive discussions on key facets of their most pressing mutual concern, the Iranian nuclear threat. Specifically, there has been little if any dialogue on the possibility of
۳ دسامبر ۲۰۰۷
◆
  • Chuck Freilich
Articles & Testimony
How Europe Can Pressure Iran
Executive Summary Britain finds itself in a unique position to place tremendous pressure on Iran to desist from its nuclear activities due to the central role that the City of London along with New York plays in the international financial system. Realizing the leverage that the U.S. financial markets give
۹ نوامبر ۲۰۰۷
Articles & Testimony
How Europe Can Pressure Iran
The U.S. ratcheted up the financial pressure against Tehran last week, unilaterally slapping sanctions on Iran's powerful Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corp, three state-owned banks, and a number of key officials for their involvement in the regime's terrorist financing and WMD-related activities. Realizing the leverage that American financial markets give Washington
۲ نوامبر ۲۰۰۷
Brief Analysis
Iran Sanctions:
Can They Be Effective?
Today, the State and Treasury Departments announced a new package of sweeping unilateral sanctions targeting multiple entities in Iran, including three banks, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and its Qods Force, the Ministry of Defense and Armed Forces Logistics, several IRGC-affiliated companies, and eight individuals. Can such sanctions be
۲۵ اکتبر ۲۰۰۷
◆
  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Larijani's Resignation:
Implications for Iranian Nuclear Policy and Internal Politics
The October 20 announcement of Ali Larijani's resignation as Iran's chief nuclear negotiator and secretary of the Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) has intensified pressure on President Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad. Faced with criticism over the resignation, Tehran ensured that Larijani attended the Iran-European Union (EU) nuclear talks in Rome on October
۲۵ اکتبر ۲۰۰۷
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
What Israel Really Gained by Bombing Syria
Sometimes in international relations it is good to preserve mystery. The irony is that often when an action has been taken but not admitted, everyone seems to know anyway. That certainly seems to be the case with Israel's military strike against a target in northern Syria. The Israelis aren't talking
۲۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۷
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Syria's Strategic Weapons Programs
The September 6 Israeli airstrike in northeastern Syria has produced intense speculation. According to the New York Times, Israeli intelligence believes the target was part of a clandestine Syrian nuclear weapons program aided by North Korea. This raises broader questions about the status of Syria's strategic weapons programs, which would
۲۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۷
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt

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