دمکراسی و اصلاح

Policy Analysis on دمکراسی و اصلاح

After months of delay, the new cabinet must get up to speed quickly in order to put KRG-federal relations on solid legal ground, curtail Iranian influence, and unify the Peshmerga.

۱۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Bilal Wahab

Video

Brief Analysis

Iran's Disinformation against Religious Minorities

What are the consequences of the Iranian government's massive, systematic campaign to spread disinformation about religious minorities through social and traditional media? Watch an in-depth conversation with leading scholars.

۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Simin Kargar
Azadeh Pourzand
Hamid Gharagozloo

Articles & Testimony

An Underdog Challenges Erdogan

The president, a former Istanbul mayor, has a rival in the current one.

۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Soner Cagaptay

Tunisian police guard the site of a terrorist attack - soucre: Reuters

Brief Analysis

Tunisia Keeps Calm and Carries On After Latest Terrorist Attack

Links between this attack and older jihadist networks underscore the complex nature of Tunisian radicalization, even if suspicious government data trends seem to suggest the problem is diminishing.

۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Aaron Y. Zelin

Video

Brief Analysis

The Istanbul Revote: What Happens Next?

Four experts discuss the opposition's landslide victory and its implications for Turkish politics generally and President Erdogan's future specifically.

۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Soner Cagaptay
Lisel Hintz
Kemal Kirisci
Alan Makovsky

Articles & Testimony

Erdogan’s Presidential System Isn’t Working. The Istanbul Election Shows Why.

Turkey is too diverse demographically, too big economically, and too complicated politically to be governed from a presidential palace.

۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Soner Cagaptay

Brief Analysis

Resolving the PA Funding Crisis, But Not in Bahrain

Rather than pinning false hopes on the Manama conference, the international community should focus on reforming the Paris Protocol and convincing the Palestinians to resume revenue transfers from Israel.

۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Katherine Bauer

Video

Brief Analysis

Assad's Thinking: How Did Syria Get Here, and Where Does the Regime Want to Go Now?

Former American and French ambassadors discuss the regime's calculus and preview the upcoming U.S.-Russia summit in Jerusalem. Watch video or read a summary.

۲۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Michel Duclos
Robert Ford

تحلیل کوتاه

حالا که مُرسی نیست، سیسی باید سرکوب‌هایش را کم کند

اخوان‌المسلمین با توجه به خصلت ترمیم‌پذیری‌اش، از کارزار قاهره برای سرکوب این سازمان صرفا نیرو می‌گیرد و با توجه به ناکامی‌های دولت در دیگر عرصه‌ها، قاهره با این روش نمی‌تواند ثبات را به صورت پایدار در مصر تامین کند.

۲۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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باراک بارفی

Brief Analysis

Death of Divisive Morsi Could Unite Egypt’s Opposition

۲۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Haisam Hassanein

Articles & Testimony

Don’t Dismiss the Bahrain Conference. It Can Help Palestinians.

Emphasizing stabilization efforts now while at least mentioning Palestinian statehood just might give the Trump peace plan a chance later.

۱۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Dennis Ross

In-Depth Reports

Erdogan's Empire: Turkey and the Politics of the Middle East

The president has sought to restore Turkey's Ottoman-era reach and break ranks with traditional Western allies, but such an approach carries heavy risk of isolation, strategic miscalculation, and lost opportunities for the Turkish people.

۱۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Soner Cagaptay

Brief Analysis

The Race for Istanbul: Erdogan’s Plan A and B

Although massive state resources have been mobilized against Imamoglu, the opposition candidate has taken up the mantle of the underdog who could challenge the status quo nationally, just as Erdogan himself did two decades ago.

۱۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Soner Cagaptay

Brief Analysis

Ramadan Soap Operas Contradict Sisi’s Outreach to Israel

Despite Egypt’s warming relations with the Israeli government, the country’s airwaves and movie theaters are still rife with bellicose and anti-Semitic content.

۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Haisam Hassanein

Articles & Testimony

U.S. Warns Sudan—and Perhaps the Saudis—About Cracking Down on Protesters

As international players compete to ease or exploit the crisis, Washington is seemingly pressuring Riyadh to end its support for brutal warlords like General Dagalo.

۶ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Iraqi Kurdistan Chooses a New President, But Internal Rifts Deepen

The latest step toward ending the KRG’s political gridlock obscures more-worrisome Kurdish divisions, many of which threaten wider U.S.-Iraqi security and economic interests.

۳۰ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Bilal Wahab

Turkish president Erdogan - Source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

Erdogan’s Failure on the Nile

How Turkey’s president went from being a regional Islamist leader in the Arab Spring to sharing Qatar’s role as the Middle East’s odd man out.

۲۸ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Soner Cagaptay

Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei delivers public remarks.

تحلیل کوتاه

موضع ایران: نه جنگ، نه مذاکره

خامنه‌ای با حفظ رویکرد مبارزه‌جویانه خود از یک طرف، و پرهیز از جنگ از طرفی دیگر، احتمالا امیدوار است بتواند تا دور بعدی انتخابات در ایران و در آمریکا دوام آورد.

۲۱ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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مهدی خلجی

Articles & Testimony

Saudi Prince's Scorecard on New 'Vision' Looks Good—With Caveats

Change is certainly happening in the kingdom, but it hasn’t been smooth, and doesn’t look like it will be so in the future either.

۱۲ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Why Erdogan Will Win in Istanbul, and What This Means for Turkish Democracy

Despite the opposition’s resilience, the president can use any number of legal, political, or foreign policy tools to ensure his candidate wins this time around, no matter the reputational costs.

۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Soner Cagaptay

Supported by the

Project Fikra: Defeating Extremism through the Power of Ideas

Fikra n. [Arabic] "Idea"

The Washington Institute's Project Fikra is a multiyear program of research, publication, and network-building designed to generate policy ideas for promoting positive change and countering the spread of extremism in the Middle East.

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