دمکراسی و اصلاح

Policy Analysis on دمکراسی و اصلاح

شکستن مقاومت خامنه‌ای: چگونه می‌توان ایران را به میز مذاکره برگرداند

احتمال دستیابی به توافقی بنیادی با رژیم کنونی چندان بالا نیست، ولی اگر واشنگتن از دادن تضمین‌های امنیتی به ایران سر باز زند یا در انتظار آشوب گریزناپذیر دوران انتقال قدرت در این کشور بماند، احتمال چنین امری کاملا از میان می‌رود.

۲ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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مهدی خلجی

President Donald Trump meeting with King Salman in Saudi Arabia in 2017 - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

The U.S. and Saudi Arabia Can’t Get a Divorce

Even amid growing exasperation over Riyadh’s behavior, realities on the ground and in the global economy show why the relationship is still crucial.

۱ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Dennis Ross

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Making Sense of Iraq's PMF Arrests

By highlighting the hypocrisy of recent ‘housecleaning’ campaigns, Washington can show the Iraqi public that Iran’s Shia militia networks offer no genuine solution to rampant corruption.

۲۶ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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Phillip Smyth

Brief Analysis

Proceeding with Caution in Western Sahara

Given growing uncertainties in other North African states, Washington should avoid any sudden moves on the Sahara file even as it builds on the momentum of recent talks.

۲۳ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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Sarah Feuer

Brief Analysis

An Economic Roadmap to Humanitarian Relief in Yemen

Washington should accelerate common-sense economic efforts that can help right away, even as the fraught, slow-moving UN peace process continues.

۱۶ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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Dave Harden
Michael Knights

Brief Analysis

After Bashir’s Fall, What’s Next for Sudan?

To forge a better future, the country must break the vicious cycle of military rule followed by incompetent, corrupt rule under the same tired political class.

۱۱ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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Alberto Fernandez

Brief Analysis

Algeria’s Long Buildup to Mass Protests

The main drivers of the current crisis have been in play for many years, so Washington should focus on economic and security initiatives that can help Algeria regardless of which new leaders emerge.

۹ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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Sabina Henneberg

Articles & Testimony

Saudi Aramco Reveals Its Financials—and More Secrets

The oil giant’s latest moves will help fund ambitious infrastructure projects, but the implications for foreign investment and economic diversification remain to be seen.

۷ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

After the Islamic State, Renewed Urgency for Religious Reform

The IS “caliphate” may have perished, but its ideology and capacity for future outbreaks will persist unless more vigorous reforms are instituted.

۵ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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Dina Al Raffie

Articles & Testimony

Erdogan Should Seize the Chance for Change in Turkey

The president seems pragmatic enough to recognize when he is beat and refocus his efforts on normalizing the severely polarized political system.

۵ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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Soner Cagaptay

Brief Analysis

Bouteflika Resigns: Next Steps in Uncharted Territory

The accelerating pace of events calls for a careful U.S. response, since instability in Algeria could cause significant disruptions in North Africa, the Mediterranean, energy markets, and counterterrorism.

۳ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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Ben Fishman

Articles & Testimony

How Bibi’s Bestie at the White House Is Helping Him Win the Israeli Election

President Trump’s recent Golan announcement and photo-op with Netanyahu could draw more voters to the beleaguered prime minister’s side.

۲۵ مارس ۲۰۱۹

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Neri Zilber

Brief Analysis

The New Palestinian Prime Minister Will Face Steep Internal Challenges

Fatah succession maneuvers, escalating tensions with Hamas, a financial crisis, and an uncertain security hierarchy will make it difficult for the incoming premier to improve the current situation.

۱۳ مارس ۲۰۱۹

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Ghaith al-Omari

تحلیل کوتاه

همکاری امنیتی آمريکا-عراق: پرهیز از لغزش‌گاه‌های پيش رو

احساسات ناسیونالیستی و فشار ايران، بعضی از قانون‌گذاران عراقی را واداشته است که با ادامه حضور نظامی آمریکا مخالفت کنند، ولی اگر واشنگتن واکنش نامتناسبی نشان بدهد ممکن است وضعيت را بسیار بدتر کند.

۱۳ مارس ۲۰۱۹

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باربارا ای. لیف
بلال وهاب

Brief Analysis

Algeria on the Brink?

As Algiers braces for wider protests, Washington should coordinate with Arab and European allies to signal the government that it risks losing control unless it changes course.

۸ مارس ۲۰۱۹

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Sarah Feuer

Brief Analysis

U.S. Sanctions Are Hurting Hezbollah

To further tighten the noose, Washington should disrupt the group’s efforts to tap international aid, Lebanese ministry budgets, Syrian smuggling revenue, and other resources.

۶ مارس ۲۰۱۹

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Hanin Ghaddar

Articles & Testimony

Oslo’s Mangled Legacy

Despite their failures, the accords are inextricably linked with the Palestinian national movement and its associated diplomatic/security architecture, so allowing them to collapse completely could make a bad situation worse.

۴ مارس ۲۰۱۹

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Ghaith al-Omari

Brief Analysis

Organizational Split and Radicalization Within Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood

Internal structural changes and ideological rifts have given rise to new strategies for legitimizing violence.

۴ مارس ۲۰۱۹

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Annette Ranko
Mohammad Yaghi

Syrian flag over a ruined building destroyed by bombing

Brief Analysis

Assad Needs the United States and Its Allies for Reconstruction

Damascus and its partners can’t rebuild the country by themselves amid their growing budget crunch, so Washington has leverage on key transition issues even if Assad keeps stalling.

۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Jomana Qaddour

Brief Analysis

Repatriating Western Jihadists: The Impact of U.S. Syria Policy

Unless Washington changes its mixed message on foreign fighters and helps its European allies find practical solutions, it may soon face another mass outbreak of seasoned operatives from Syria.

۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Matthew Levitt
Aaron Y. Zelin

Supported by the

Project Fikra: Defeating Extremism through the Power of Ideas

Fikra n. [Arabic] "Idea"

The Washington Institute's Project Fikra is a multiyear program of research, publication, and network-building designed to generate policy ideas for promoting positive change and countering the spread of extremism in the Middle East.

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