دمکراسی و اصلاح

Policy Analysis on دمکراسی و اصلاح

Assad's Thinking: How Did Syria Get Here, and Where Does the Regime Want to Go Now?

Former American and French ambassadors discuss the regime's calculus and preview the upcoming U.S.-Russia summit in Jerusalem. Watch video or read a summary.

۲۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Michel Duclos
Robert Ford

تحلیل کوتاه

حالا که مُرسی نیست، سیسی باید سرکوب‌هایش را کم کند

اخوان‌المسلمین با توجه به خصلت ترمیم‌پذیری‌اش، از کارزار قاهره برای سرکوب این سازمان صرفا نیرو می‌گیرد و با توجه به ناکامی‌های دولت در دیگر عرصه‌ها، قاهره با این روش نمی‌تواند ثبات را به صورت پایدار در مصر تامین کند.

۲۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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باراک بارفی

Brief Analysis

Death of Divisive Morsi Could Unite Egypt’s Opposition

۲۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Haisam Hassanein

Articles & Testimony

Don’t Dismiss the Bahrain Conference. It Can Help Palestinians.

Emphasizing stabilization efforts now while at least mentioning Palestinian statehood just might give the Trump peace plan a chance later.

۱۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Dennis Ross

In-Depth Reports

Erdogan's Empire: Turkey and the Politics of the Middle East

The president has sought to restore Turkey's Ottoman-era reach and break ranks with traditional Western allies, but such an approach carries heavy risk of isolation, strategic miscalculation, and lost opportunities for the Turkish people.

۱۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Soner Cagaptay

Brief Analysis

The Race for Istanbul: Erdogan’s Plan A and B

Although massive state resources have been mobilized against Imamoglu, the opposition candidate has taken up the mantle of the underdog who could challenge the status quo nationally, just as Erdogan himself did two decades ago.

۱۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Soner Cagaptay

Brief Analysis

Ramadan Soap Operas Contradict Sisi’s Outreach to Israel

Despite Egypt’s warming relations with the Israeli government, the country’s airwaves and movie theaters are still rife with bellicose and anti-Semitic content.

۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Haisam Hassanein

Articles & Testimony

U.S. Warns Sudan—and Perhaps the Saudis—About Cracking Down on Protesters

As international players compete to ease or exploit the crisis, Washington is seemingly pressuring Riyadh to end its support for brutal warlords like General Dagalo.

۶ ژوئن ۲۰۱۹

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Iraqi Kurdistan Chooses a New President, But Internal Rifts Deepen

The latest step toward ending the KRG’s political gridlock obscures more-worrisome Kurdish divisions, many of which threaten wider U.S.-Iraqi security and economic interests.

۳۰ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Bilal Wahab

Turkish president Erdogan - Source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

Erdogan’s Failure on the Nile

How Turkey’s president went from being a regional Islamist leader in the Arab Spring to sharing Qatar’s role as the Middle East’s odd man out.

۲۸ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Soner Cagaptay

Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei delivers public remarks.

تحلیل کوتاه

موضع ایران: نه جنگ، نه مذاکره

خامنه‌ای با حفظ رویکرد مبارزه‌جویانه خود از یک طرف، و پرهیز از جنگ از طرفی دیگر، احتمالا امیدوار است بتواند تا دور بعدی انتخابات در ایران و در آمریکا دوام آورد.

۲۱ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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مهدی خلجی

Articles & Testimony

Saudi Prince's Scorecard on New 'Vision' Looks Good—With Caveats

Change is certainly happening in the kingdom, but it hasn’t been smooth, and doesn’t look like it will be so in the future either.

۱۲ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Why Erdogan Will Win in Istanbul, and What This Means for Turkish Democracy

Despite the opposition’s resilience, the president can use any number of legal, political, or foreign policy tools to ensure his candidate wins this time around, no matter the reputational costs.

۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Soner Cagaptay

تحلیل کوتاه

شکستن مقاومت خامنه‌ای: چگونه می‌توان ایران را به میز مذاکره برگرداند

احتمال دستیابی به توافقی بنیادی با رژیم کنونی چندان بالا نیست، ولی اگر واشنگتن از دادن تضمین‌های امنیتی به ایران سر باز زند یا در انتظار آشوب گریزناپذیر دوران انتقال قدرت در این کشور بماند، احتمال چنین امری کاملا از میان می‌رود.

۲ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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مهدی خلجی

President Donald Trump meeting with King Salman in Saudi Arabia in 2017 - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

The U.S. and Saudi Arabia Can’t Get a Divorce

Even amid growing exasperation over Riyadh’s behavior, realities on the ground and in the global economy show why the relationship is still crucial.

۱ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹

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Dennis Ross

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Making Sense of Iraq's PMF Arrests

By highlighting the hypocrisy of recent ‘housecleaning’ campaigns, Washington can show the Iraqi public that Iran’s Shia militia networks offer no genuine solution to rampant corruption.

۲۶ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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Phillip Smyth

Brief Analysis

Proceeding with Caution in Western Sahara

Given growing uncertainties in other North African states, Washington should avoid any sudden moves on the Sahara file even as it builds on the momentum of recent talks.

۲۳ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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Sarah Feuer

Brief Analysis

An Economic Roadmap to Humanitarian Relief in Yemen

Washington should accelerate common-sense economic efforts that can help right away, even as the fraught, slow-moving UN peace process continues.

۱۶ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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Dave Harden
Michael Knights

Brief Analysis

After Bashir’s Fall, What’s Next for Sudan?

To forge a better future, the country must break the vicious cycle of military rule followed by incompetent, corrupt rule under the same tired political class.

۱۱ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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Alberto Fernandez

Brief Analysis

Algeria’s Long Buildup to Mass Protests

The main drivers of the current crisis have been in play for many years, so Washington should focus on economic and security initiatives that can help Algeria regardless of which new leaders emerge.

۹ آوریل ۲۰۱۹

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Sabina Henneberg

Supported by the

Project Fikra: Defeating Extremism through the Power of Ideas

Fikra n. [Arabic] "Idea"

The Washington Institute's Project Fikra is a multiyear program of research, publication, and network-building designed to generate policy ideas for promoting positive change and countering the spread of extremism in the Middle East.

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