All Policy Analysis by مایکل آیزنستات

The former head of U.S. naval operations in the Gulf joins two military and diplomatic experts for a discussion on Iran's strategic calculus, allied perspectives, and Washington's policy options.

واشنگتن باید تنش‌ها را کاهش دهد، خطوط تماس را باز نگه دارد، و بازدارندگی را احیا کند، گرچه مدیریت تضاد میان این اهداف، چالش‌برانگیز خواهد بود.

The regime or individual hardline elements could opt for a number of provocations, from detaining foreigners to launching disruptive naval and cyber operations.

Establishing such a zone in the northeast would give Ankara and the United States a unique opportunity to work together, provided Washington can convince its European allies to participate as well.

What can the Trump administration do to shape Iran’s choices?

Far from simply replaying the 2006 Lebanon war, the next conflict on Israel’s northern frontier will likely involve many more actors on multiple fronts, raising unprecedented challenges for escalation management.

Tehran will likely resort to measured countermoves in the nuclear domain at first, but successful U.S. pressure could spur it to challenge JCPOA limits, take action in non-nuclear domains, or push back against U.S. and allied forces.

Tehran has generally responded to pressure by issuing threats, ramping up its nuclear activities, accepting temporary limits, and, when the heat is turned up, launching cyber, military, and terrorist operations.

Today, Syria is the sole battlefield in the world where American, Russian, Turkish, Iranian, and Israeli military forces all operate, along with a kaleidoscope of proxy actors foreign and domestic. As the preeminent arena of strategic competition in the Middle East and a wellspring of potential Islamic State resurgence, Syria

Not only is the war far from over, but a series of developments could undermine the regime's recent gains—and create opportunities for the United States.

Military action should seek to restore deterrence by hitting not just chemical weapons-related targets, but also ground and air units that are key to the Assad regime's war effort.

The gaps between Washington and Europe's positions on the JCPOA remain wide, but the potential price of failure will hopefully provide enough motivation to bridge them.

تهران و متحدانش بار دیگر آمریکا و اسراییل را خواهند آزمود که این خود نیازمند واکنش‌های بازدارنده¬ محکم، منسجم و توام با تجدید پیمان و اطمینان‌بخشی سیاسی به متحدان دو کشور است.

This past October, President Trump rolled out a new U.S. strategy toward Iran focused, in the president's words, on the country's destabilizing regional activities, support for terrorist proxies, and proliferation of missiles; he also mentioned the need to fix "serious flaws" in the July 2015 nuclear deal. Trump's plan, however

Washington Institute experts discuss the economic, social, diplomatic, and military implications of the anti-regime demonstrations sweeping Iran. Read a summary or watch video of the full event.

Washington and its Gulf Arab partners should collectively hinder Tehran's efforts to close capability gaps, modernize its military, and develop its Shia foreign legion into a more effective expeditionary force.

The group has used social solidarities to enhance unit cohesion, encourage tactical flexibility, and strengthen its fighters’ commitment to a culture of jihad, martyrdom, and resistance.

There are signs of war on the horizon, and it could be the most destructive Arab-Israeli conflict yet.