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ایران

Policy Analysis on ایران

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Brief Analysis
Changing Iran Trends in the Worldwide Threat Assessment
The past two editions of the annual intelligence report show a marked shift away from discussing Iran's hegemonic regional ambitions and terrorism sponsorship.
۱۴ آوریل ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Marina Shalabi
  • Ian Duff
Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei delivers public remarks.
Brief Analysis
Khamenei Warns That Nuclear Deal May Fall Apart
The Supreme Leader expressed skepticism that any progress was made at Lausanne and warned about barriers to resolving the nuclear impasse.
۹ آوریل ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Polarized Arab Reactions to the Iran Nuclear Framework
The Assad regime and Hezbollah back Iran's view of the announced parameters, but most other Arab officials and commentators are openly skeptical.
۹ آوریل ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
How the Framework Is Playing Inside Iran
Iran needs a nuclear deal to provide daylight for its stricken economy, but if the supreme leader senses that the impending agreement falls short of that, he may impose new redlines that effectively close down the discussions.
۸ آوریل ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The Iranian Deal in Middle Eastern Geopolitics
In recent days, the U.S. Government reshuffled the Middle Eastern deck dramatically, signing a framework agreement with Iran but also buttressing America's traditional regional allies -- supporting the Saudi-led Arab force in Yemen, lifting arms delivery constraints on Egypt, launching air strikes against ISIS in Tikrit after Iran's effort there
۷ آوریل ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Iranians Debate: What Next with the United States?
President Rouhani speaks of conciliation with the United States, but the differing bilateral descriptions of the parameters have some Iranians worried that a deal is by no means certain.
۶ آوریل ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
  • Patrick Clawson
Video
Brief Analysis
Making Sense of Chaos in the Middle East
Multiple Wars, Multiple Alliances
Volcanic changes in the region are under way, with the outbreak of Sunni-Shiite wars in Iraq, Syria, and Yemen, unprecedented tension between Washington and Israel, and U.S.-Iranian nuclear talks that appear on the verge of breakthrough. Watch an expert discussion of these challenges and the future of U.S. policy in the region.
۶ آوریل ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • James Jeffrey
  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
How Iran Outmaneuvered the U.S. in Nuclear Talks
If Washington and its negotiating partners do not adjust their approach, the talks could be remembered not as a signature foreign policy accomplishment, but as a case study of a powerful country playing a strong hand poorly.
۶ آوریل ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Michael Singh
Video
Iran Nuclear Agreement: Not Necessarily a Game Changer
In this video,Institute Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow Michael Singh notes that the nuclear framework agreement announced on April 2 between Iran and the P5+1 presents impediments to Iran's ability to create a weapon, but does not completely eliminate its nuclear program. President Obama must now reassure U.S. allies
۳ آوریل ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Israel Believes Washington Did Not Maximize Its Leverage with Iran
Israel's concerns about the framework nuclear deal center on how the United States will prevent Iran from getting away with violations, increasing its destabilizing actions in the Middle East, and triggering a regional arms race, all while Tehran gets to retain much of its industrial-size nuclear infrastructure.
۳ آوریل ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
U.S. Policy Toward the Dual Threats to the Arab State
With ISIS and Iran both threatening to upset the state system in the Middle East, Washington needs to adjust its approach accordingly.
۳ آوریل ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Khamenei's Silence: Iranian Reactions to the Nuclear Framework
Initial public statements by Iranian officials emphasize that the United States and its partners have accepted an outcome in which Tehran need not change course.
۳ آوریل ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
  • Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Gulf Fears of Iranian Subversion
The Yemen intervention and other recent actions show how concerned the Gulf states are about the Iranian threat, though an even greater challenge may emerge from their severe tactics against domestic dissent.
۲ آوریل ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Articles & Testimony
What's Still Missing from the Iran Nuclear Framework
Although the newly released terms cover more ground than skeptics had feared, significant questions linger on almost every major issue, particularly with regard to enforcement.
۲ آوریل ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
We've Reached a 'Nuclear Framework' with Iran. So Now What?
No negotiations with the Iranians are easy. The difficulty in producing the framework understanding is a reminder that filling in the details will also prove to be an ordeal. While the framework includes important limitations on the Iranian program, the Iranians will resist the scope of the verification that the
۲ آوریل ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Iran Negotiation Isn't Over Until It's Over
If we want to keep the Iranians from cheating, the issue of responses and consequences needs to be clear.
۲ آوریل ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamanei, gestures while speaking
Brief Analysis
Iran's Internal Messaging on the Nuclear Talks
By issuing blanket calls for the lifting of all sanctions, Tehran may undermine efforts to forge, implement, and enforce a viable nuclear deal.
۱ آوریل ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Deal or No, Iran Will Remain a Nuclear Threat
Rather than questioning the motivations of skeptics, the Obama administration should demonstrate that it has compelling answers to their concerns about a nuclear deal's potential vulnerabilities, including on breakout time, verification, and response to violations.
۳۱ مارس ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Video
To Understand Iranian Centrifuges, Look to a Top
A key element, if not the key element, in the nuclear negotiations with Iran, appears to be the number and type of centrifuges which Iran will be able to retain. Curiously, part of the discussion can be illustrated using a children's top. High-speed centrifuges are used to enrich uranium. "Enriching"
۲۸ مارس ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran's Nuclear Breakout Time: A Fact Sheet
With reports that Washington and its partners may reach a nuclear accord with Iran in the coming days, a former senior IAEA safeguards official answers the most pressing questions about Tehran's program and how the agreement might affect its capabilities.
۲۸ مارس ۲۰۱۵
◆
  • Olli Heinonen

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