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اسرائیل

Policy Analysis on اسرائیل

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Brief Analysis
Israeli Gas Is Almost Ashore, But Challenges Remain
Environmental concerns, uncertainty over export routes, and future security risks overshadow the latest progress in bringing the Leviathan field online.
۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
UNRWA Funding Cutoff: What Next?
Despite the attendant risks and public outcry, Washington’s decision to halt all aid to the agency could spur some reform without drastically affecting its core humanitarian services.
۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • James G. Lindsay
A man manipulates cables on a bank of internet data servers - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Rise of the Cyber-Mercenaries
What happens when private Middle Eastern firms have cyberweapons as powerful as those owned by governments?
۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
Trump Wants to Help Israel by Cutting Aid to Palestinians. Why Are Some Israelis Worried?
Top IDF officials believe cuts could deepen the economic crisis in the West Bank and Gaza, put thousands of Palestinians out of work, and ultimately lead to violence.
۲۹ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
The Great Middle Eastern War of 2019
Far from simply replaying the 2006 Lebanon war, the next conflict on Israel’s northern frontier will likely involve many more actors on multiple fronts, raising unprecedented challenges for escalation management.
۲۰ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Nadav Ben Hour
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
A Horrible Game Changer
Washington's frustration regarding UNRWA reform and budgetary issues is understandable, but cutting off aid indefinitely will only destabilize Gaza and Jordan.
۸ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
Arab Leaders Need to Step Up to Avert War in Gaza
Hamas refuses to disarm, but outside pressure could help strengthen the PA.
۷ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • David Makovsky
  • Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Managing Escalation in Gaza (Part 2): Breaking the Dynamic
Ending the cycle of violence will require not only tactical, strategic, and economic solutions, but also a host of ‘middle layer’ steps, from reducing military friction and establishing reliable channels of communication between the sides, to controlling the actions of other Gaza militant groups.
۲۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Nadav Ben Hour
Brief Analysis
Managing Escalation in Gaza (Part 1): Lessons from Operation Protective Edge
The 2014 conflict showed how escalatory dynamics can quickly lead two adversaries into full-blown fighting even when neither side actually wants a war.
۲۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Nadav Ben Hour
تحلیل کوتاه
ایران بار دیگر بر سر چهارراهی استراتژیک قرار گرفته است
از آن‌جا که راهبردِ رژیم در رویارویی با دستگاهِ دولت ترامپ همچنان نااستوار است، آیا سیاستِ سنتی دومرحله‌ای آن، یعنی آشوب‌انگیزی و خویشتن‌داری، اوضاع را بدتر نخواهد کرد؟
۲۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • عمر کرمی
Brief Analysis
Putin’s Golan Comments: Implications for Israeli Security
Moscow has seemingly reaffirmed Israel’s right to keep Iranian forces away from the Golan frontier, but it is unclear whether Assad’s southern offensive will actually help or hinder that goal in the long term.
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
What the Stolen Iranian Nuclear Secrets Do, and Don’t, Reveal
The Israeli revelations make the argument for sticking with the nuclear accord much more difficult to sustain.
۱۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
Neutralizing the Gaza Powder Keg
Since the end of March 2018, the Gaza-Israel border has witnessed repeated violent eruptions initiated by Hamas, including challenging the border and causing massive fires in Israel. With ongoing friction for months and scores of Palestinian fatalities, clashes have grown progressively more violent, risking deterioration into yet another Israel-Hamas war
۱۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Michael Herzog
  • Ghaith al-Omari
Trump in a Meeting with Putin
Articles & Testimony
We Already Gave Syria to Putin, So What’s Left for Trump to Say?
Given Moscow's repeatedly broken promises, the president should make clear that the United States will stay in Syria to continue fighting the Islamic State—and to back Israel against Iran if necessary.
۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Accepting Regime Forces in South Syria Will Only Further Iran’s Goals
Whether openly or in disguise, Hezbollah and other Iranian proxies are deploying to the south in large numbers, greatly increasing the potential for cross-border escalation.
۲۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Phillip Smyth
In-Depth Reports
Life on the Edge: Israel and the Gaza Strip
A look at the socioeconomic and political issues fueling Gaza's dilemma for the last seven decades and the policy options for addressing them.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Sami Turjeman
Nickolay Mladenov
Articles & Testimony
A Path Forward for Team Trump on Israel and Gaza: Follow Nickolay Mladenov's Lead
Using the money cut from UNRWA to restore electricity, water, and sewage treatment in Gaza could help prevent another conflict and reopen peace diplomacy.
۱۸ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Arab Leaders Need to Play a More Prominent Role on Peace-Making Than They Ever Have Before
By securing regional buy-in for a new peace plan before making it public, Washington has a much better chance of getting the Palestinians back to the negotiating table.
۱۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Iran Will Spare Hezbollah in Its Conflict with Israel, for Now
Hezbollah is an organic part of the IRGC-QF, so its purported desire to distance itself from Iran would only mean its end.
۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Nader Uskowi
Articles & Testimony
Book Review: The Soviet-Israeli War, 1967-1973
New evidence sheds light on Soviet involvement in Egypt and helps frame Vladimir Putin’s current efforts in the Middle East.
۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۸
◆
  • Anna Borshchevskaya

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