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انرژی و اقتصاد

Policy Analysis on انرژی و اقتصاد

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In-Depth Reports
Middle East Economic Trends and Forecasts
Summarizes assessments of various Middle East economic experts in order to provide an overview and forecast of regional prospects for 1998. The author focuses on issues affecting all Middle Eastern economies, including oil dependence, economic centralization, massive subsidization, and other long- and short-term factors.
۲ ژوئن ۱۹۹۷
◆
  • Lauren Rossman
Brief Analysis
Iran Sanctions Violations:
The Challenge for Washington
The April 10 German court finding that Iran's top leaders ordered the assassination of several dissidents in Berlin underscores the hollowness of Europe's policy of engagement with Iran, and presents the U.S. with a unique opportunity to make Iran's leaders pay a real economic price for their brazen disregard of
۵ مهٔ ۱۹۹۷
Brief Analysis
Japan and the Persian Gulf
Peace in the Persian Gulf is crucial for international stability, including in East Asia. Moreover, a stable supply of crude oil and natural gas is essential to the United States, the European Union and the Asian countries. Nearly 80 percent of Japan's crude oil imports come from the Gulf region
۲۳ آوریل ۱۹۹۷
Brief Analysis
Israeli Outlook (Part II):
Politics and Economics
Behind the headlines of today's political difficulties in Israel lies a series of problems that are the product of the country's new election law. Last May, for the first time, Israel elected its prime minister through a direct mandate. As a result, the position of the prime minister is now
۲۸ مارس ۱۹۹۷
In-Depth Reports
Iran's Economic Morass:
Mismanagement and Decline under the Islamic Republic
In the latter half of the 1990s, the Iranian economy faces horrendous problems: economic mismanagement, high inflation, declining living standards, a growing gap (much of it fueled by pervasive corruption) between a wealthy minority and vast impoverished majority, high rates of unemployment, an inability to significantly increase oil production (concurrent
۱ مارس ۱۹۹۷
Brief Analysis
Great Power Politics and the Azerbaijan Oil Pipeline:
An Update
The South Caspian Sea, which is adjacent to Azerbaijan, will become a significant global supplier of energy in the next decade. It has a 17.5 billion barrel proven reserve, equivalent to that of Britain's North Sea. Based on geological studies, 20-30 billion more barrels of oil could be discovered in
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۱۹۹۷
Brief Analysis
Tightening the Rules on Iraqi Oil Sales
For the United States, supporting UN Security Council Resolution 986 is a gamble. Washington hopes that the "oil-for-food" deal will be a trap that will reduce pressure to lift the rest of Iraqi sanctions, thereby thwarting Saddam Hussein's strategy to win the end of sanctions by playing on international sympathy
۱۲ دسامبر ۱۹۹۶
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The Cairo Conference in Perspective:
Lessons for the Peace Process
With the dust clearing on the public relations "spin" suggested by competing Arab, Israeli and American observers of the Middle East/North Africa Economic Conference held in Cairo two weeks ago, a detached assessment of that now-annual event would underscore the surprising durability of new regional institutions at times of political
۲۶ نوامبر ۱۹۹۶
◆
  • Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Run-Up to the Cairo Economic Summit:
A U.S. View
The Cairo Economic Summit comes at an exciting time for Middle East regional cooperation. Regional countries have made substantial progress toward economic reform, including steps toward privatization and structural reform. Unfortunately, although all states in the region have a strong interest in promoting regional cooperation, only 7 percent of regional
۸ نوامبر ۱۹۹۶
◆
  • Stuart Eizenstat
Brief Analysis
Israel:
Economics, Politics, and Peace
The promise of Oslo evoked high expectations of reconciliation between Palestinians and Israelis. Its danger, however, lies in the mechanisms Oslo outlined to reach that reconciliation and the exaggerated expectations Oslo produced. A unique dynamic of the Oslo process is that the further one proceeds, the more difficult are the
۱۱ اکتبر ۱۹۹۶
Brief Analysis
Egypt:
Structural Reform, Privatization, and the Road to the Cairo Summit
The Cairo Economic Summit will take place as scheduled. Egypt is preparing for it and anticipating a constructive conference. This conference comes in the context of Egypt's overall structural reform program, initiated twelve years ago, when the government set out "to make Egypt a better place to live." This program
۹ اکتبر ۱۹۹۶
Brief Analysis
Jordan:
Reform, Subsidies, and the Economics of Peace
In 1989 Jordan began implementing an economic reform program. The program was interrupted by the Gulf crisis but resumed in 1992 encompassing both economic and political reforms. Objectives of Reform The government's main objective in reform is to enhance the lives of Jordanian citizens. It would seem that basic economic
۱ اکتبر ۱۹۹۶
Brief Analysis
The Dilemmas of Economic Growth in the Middle East
Leaders of the Middle East, along with leaders around the world, can create a new path toward economic development and prosperity in the Middle East. The alternative would be to descend into regional instability bred by a 3 percent annual Middle East population growth. But leaders need to deflate their
۵ اوت ۱۹۹۶
Brief Analysis
Israel:
Visions for Opportunity and Growth
Throughout history, immigration to Israel has been responsible for the state's growth, development, and vitality. As a result, the relationship between immigrants and Israeli society plays an important role in the characteristics of the state. The challenge that has confronted Israel since 1948 has been how to maintain natural cohesion
۱ اوت ۱۹۹۶
Brief Analysis
Prospects for the Palestinian Authority:
Politics, Economics, and the Impact of the PNC Meeting
Although the enemies of peace threaten to return to the bloodshed of the past, the peace process has defined a new Palestinian-Israeli dynamic, a relationship of peace. The persistence of the process in the face of so many threats is a testament to the commitment of both the Palestinians and
۳ ژوئن ۱۹۹۶
Brief Analysis
Iran's Fragile Economy:
Problems and Prospects
When he came into office, Iranian President Hashemi Rafsanjani promised a "new Iran" that would be prosperous and powerful; he continued to blame the West -- America, in particular -- rather than recognizing Iran's economic failings. Today, none of this vision has been fulfilled. Instead, the regime faces a deepening
۲۲ مهٔ ۱۹۹۶
Brief Analysis
The Stakes in the Iraq Oil Sales Dispute
Iraq and the United Nations are in the fourth round of negotiations about terms for implementing UN Security Council Resolution 986 -- an arrangement to permit limited and controlled oil sales to provide Baghdad with funds to purchase humanitarian goods. The talks hit a snag in late April, when the
۱۴ مهٔ ۱۹۹۶
◆
  • Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Beyond the Headlines:
Long-Term Trends in Mideast Stability
Day-by-day events of the Middle East -- from conflict in South Lebanon, to terrorism in Cairo, to elections in Israel -- obscure already well-established, longer-running economic trends that are having a profound impact on the shape of the region for years to come. Increasing populations, declining oil revenues and the
۳ مهٔ ۱۹۹۶
◆
  • Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
Syria Beyond the Peace Process
While the pursuit of Arab-Israeli peace justly remains the dominant U.S. interest in the Levant, it is important to assess Syrian politics through a wider political lens. Since coming to power in 1970, Assad has imposed a brutal, authoritarian police state that has brought an unprecedented measure of stability to
۱ فوریهٔ ۱۹۹۶
Brief Analysis
Turkish Customs Union with Europe:
What's at Stake
As the United States and its Western allies prepare to invest treasure and troops in Bosnia in order to support stability in the Balkans, European Parliamentarians in Strasbourg have the opportunity to support regional stability merely by raising their hands to vote in favor of a customs union agreement with
۱۳ دسامبر ۱۹۹۵
◆
  • Alan Makovsky

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Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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Patrick Clawson
پاتریک کلاوسون
عضو ارشد و مدیرتحقیقات انستیتو واشنگتن برای سیاست خاور نزدیک
Simon Henderson
سایمون هندرسون
Henry Rome
هنری رُم
هنری رُم هموند ارشد انستیتو واشنگتن است. وی قبلا نایب رئیس بخش تحقیقات و مدیر گلوبال ماکرو، ایران، و اسرائیل در گروه اوراسیا بوده است.
Michael Singh
مایکل سینگ
مایکل سینگ هموند پژوهشی ارشد لین-سویگ (Lane-Swig) و مدیرعامل انستیتو واشنگتن ‌است
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