انرژی و اقتصاد

Policy Analysis on انرژی و اقتصاد

Political Crisis in Tunisia: U.S. Response Options

As the fragile Arab democracy faces its most serious test in nearly a decade, Washington should oppose any unconstitutional centralization of power, urge President Saied to clarify his roadmap for ending the impasse, and consider additional economic and medical assistance.

۲۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Sarah Feuer

An oil pipeline terminal jetty in Eilat, Israel

Brief Analysis

Israel-UAE Pipeline Deal Delayed by Environmental Concerns

A bureaucratic skirmish in Naftali Bennett’s coalition government could impede Jerusalem’s growing ties with Abu Dhabi.

۲۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

OPEC Will Boost Oil Output—But Don't Expect Lower Prices at the Pump

Although more supplies will be coming to market, the economic impact of this decision will depend on issues of timing, royal rapprochement, and new COVID surges.

۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Biden Welcomes His First Arab Head of State

The visit will set the stage for future U.S. assistance negotiations and allow King Abdullah to express his views on Israeli-Palestinian diplomacy and other regional issues, while the White House can bolster the relationship and (quietly) push for achievable reforms.

۱۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Ghaith al-Omari
Ben Fishman

Articles & Testimony

Expect Political Consequences from Higher Oil Prices During the Summer Driving Season

Gulf squabbles over production quotas highlight the industry’s uncertain future, but in the meantime Washington may have to deal with heightened pressure at home.

۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Supporting Sudan’s Essential but Risky Progress

Since experiencing major upheaval and demands for change in 2019, the country has achieved real gains in its political transition, but it needs serious American assistance to safely advance the fragile process.

۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Alberto Fernandez

Saudi Arabia's Prince Khalid bin Salman meets with U.S. military officials in 2018.

Brief Analysis

Saudi Visit to Washington Will Have a Thorny Agenda

Hosting Prince Khalid is a good look for the bilateral relationship, but discussions may prove difficult given complications over defense sales, Israeli normalization, OPEC infighting, and continued fallout over the Khashoggi affair.

۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

The Worst of COVID-19 May Be Over, But It’s Still a Factor in the Price of Oil

The issue will likely dominate discussions at the next OPEC+ meeting, but the longer-term economic and geopolitical repercussions are trickier to gauge.

۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۲۱

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Simon Henderson

President Donald Trump speaks about Syria

Articles & Testimony

The Inside Story of How Trump ‘Kept the Oil’ in Syria and Lost

The ambitious plan would have seen Delta Crescent, a tiny Delaware company, try to bring peace and stability to the war-ravaged northeast, but local corruption, a lack of U.S. commitment, and other complications doomed the idea.

۳۱ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Kenneth R. Rosen

Articles & Testimony

Wondering Why Gas Costs So Much? Blame Consumer Demands and the Oil Market

A post-oil future isn’t without risks, whether for Middle Eastern producers or Western economies still tied to hydrocarbons in myriad ways.

۲۸ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

Algeria’s Economic Challenges: Opportunities for U.S. Engagement

The pandemic has exacerbated persistent structural problems in the government’s approach to foreign investment, banking reform, monetary policy, and other sectors, but Algiers may be more open to U.S. advice on such matters.

۲۸ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Geoff Porter

Syrian rebel fighters play a board game in a cafe

Brief Analysis

Stalemate in Northeast Syria: Options for Advancing U.S. Interests

In addition to clarifying its intentions and fortifying its presence in the area, the U.S. government needs to increase its focus on stability, security, and economic development.

۲۱ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Kenneth R. Rosen

تحلیل کوتاه

لاس وگاس زیرزمینی ایران

ستارگان پاپ، بازیگران پورن و بیت‌کوین در خدمت تبلیغ قمارخانه‌های آنلاین در ایران قرار گرفته که رشدشان اسباب شگفتی شده است و همزمان این پرسش را مطرح کرده که چقدر ممکن است سپاه پاسداران و دیگر نهادهای رژیم از این صنعت رسوا سود ببرند.

۱۳ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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آرش علایی

Video

Brief Analysis

An Expanded Agenda for U.S.-Israel Partnership: New Technologies, New Opportunities

Experts discuss how the two allies can work more closely on everything from artificial intelligence to missile defense, ideally with help from emerging Arab partners.

۷ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Michael Eisenstadt
Henry "Trey" Obering III
Samantha Ravich
David Pollock

Chinese foreign minister Wang Yi meets Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman in Riyadh

تحلیل کوتاه

سفر وزیر خارجه چین به خاورمیانه: نتایج و پیامدها

این سفر بازتابی از راهبرد پکن بود که قصد دارد ابتکاراتی را به هم گره بزند که به صورت منفرد ظاهرا بی‌اهمیت هستند، اما به صورت جمعی تهدیدی برای تضعیف منافع آمریکا و منطقه خواهد بود.

۶ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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ایلاری پاپا

Brief Analysis

Lines in the Sea: The Israel-Lebanon Maritime Border Dispute

Benefitting from offshore natural gas reserves should be a win-win situation, but in this case the players may turn it into a zero-sum game.

۳ مهٔ ۲۰۲۱

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Simon Henderson

Iranian sailors on board a naval vessel in the Strait of Hormuz

تحلیل کوتاه

جنگ اعلام‌نشده ایران و اسرائیل در دریا (بخش ۲): احتمال افزایش تنش نظامی

گرچه هر دو طرف سعی کرده‌اند حملات دریایی خود را در مقابله-به-مثل تحت کنترل داشته باشند، این حملات با ریسک قابل ‌توجهِ اشتباه محاسبه و افزایش تنش همراه است که می‌تواند کشتیرانی بین‌المللی را به خطر بیندازد.

۲۹ آوریل ۲۰۲۱

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فرزین ندیمی

Brief Analysis

UAE Wealth Fund to Buy Share of Israeli Gas Field

If the $1.1 billion deal goes ahead, it will strengthen Abu Dhabi’s claim to be a player in the East Mediterranean.

۲۷ آوریل ۲۰۲۱

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Simon Henderson

تحلیل کوتاه

جنگ اعلام‌نشدهٔ ایران و اسرائیل در دریا (بخش ۱): برنامه‌های تامین مالی سپاه و حزب‌الله

افزایش تنش اخیر بین دو کشور در دریا عمدتا از تلاش‌های ایران برای تامین مالی حزب‌الله نشأت می‌گیرد که تاکیدی است بر وابستگی متقابل شبه‌نظامیان لبنانی، تهران، و رژیم اسد.

۲۷ آوریل ۲۰۲۱

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ماتیو لویت

Video

Brief Analysis

The Economic Future of Northeast Syria

Experts discuss the humanitarian, trade, and security measures that are necessary to stabilizing the northeast and preventing the Islamic State and Assad from extending their harmful influence there.

۲۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۱

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Jennifer Cafarella
Sasha Ghosh-Siminoff
Kenneth R. Rosen

Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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