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Articles & Testimony
Will Iran's Election Produce Change We Can Believe in?
To most Westerners, Iranian politics is essentially a black box, making it difficult to know what to hope for out of Friday's presidential elections. Knowledgeable commentators offer vastly differing opinions regarding the extent to which the results will reflect the will of the Iranian people versus that of Iran's ultimate
Jun 12, 2009
Brief Analysis
Rule of Law Is Key to Future Israel-Syria Peacemaking
Beginning on June 12, U.S. Middle East envoy George Mitchell will make his long anticipated first trip to Damascus. During the two-day visit, Mitchell will focus on reinvigorating Israeli-Syrian peace negotiations and cajoling Damascus to engineer a Fatah-Hamas reconciliation. According to media reports, he will also roll out a roadmap
Jun 11, 2009
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Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Moroccan Elections Unlikely to Upset Status Quo
Although the world has been focused on the sensational politics in Lebanon and Iran, Morocco this week will hold its first municipal election since 2003. Higher voter turnout than in the 2007 legislative election is expected, and if it materializes, it will be attributable more to patronage than to democratic
Jun 11, 2009
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Dana Moss
Brief Analysis
Renewal of Allegiance:
Presidential Elections in Iran
Large voter turnout for Iran's June 12 presidential election would be a double-edged sword for the country's hardline leader, Ali Khamenei. Although Khamenei would like to maximize participation in Iran's elections, which he sees as an affirmation of the regime's legitimacy, higher turnout would likely lead to a smaller share
Jun 10, 2009
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Ali Alfoneh
Brief Analysis
The Voting Manipulation Industry in Iran
With Iran's presidential campaign culminating on June 12, all three challengers to incumbent Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad are expressing increased concern about the possibility of election fraud and manipulation of the election. Not only are there complaints about regime influence on the campaign, such as biased coverage by state-run television, the voting
Jun 10, 2009
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Political Power and Social Conservatism in Turkey
On June 4, 2009, Dr. Binnaz Toprak, chair of the Political Science Department at both Bahcesehir and Bogazici universities in Istanbul, addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute, introducing her latest study on social conservatism in Turkey. Dr. Toprak's research, cosponsored by Bogazici University and the Open
Jun 8, 2009
Articles & Testimony
Combating the Financing of Transnational Threats
This publication is based on a lecture presented on October 27, 2008, by Washington Institute senior fellows Michael Jacobson and Matthew Levitt at the Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research (ECSSR). It is reproduced by special permission from ECSSR.
Jun 8, 2009
In-Depth Reports
Arab Reactions to a Nuclear-Armed Iran
Israel's fears about a nuclear Iran are well known. But Arabs have their own fears, too. After centuries of religious and political rivalry, Arab relations with Iran are marked by deep mutual mistrust. Since the end of the Cold War, Iran's sense of security has itself been in constant flux
Jun 5, 2009
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Tariq Khaitous
Brief Analysis
Hizballah Campaigns at Home, Exposed Abroad
As the Hizballah-led March 8 coalition campaigns ahead of Lebanon's June 7 elections, the group has been forced to contend with the unexpected exposure of its covert terrorist activities both at home and abroad. At home, Hizballah now stands accused of playing a role in the assassination of former Lebanese
Jun 5, 2009
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
President Obama Speaks to the World's Muslims:
An Early Assessment
Combining the roles of bridge builder and strategist, President Barack Obama delivered a wide-ranging 55-minute speech to the world's Muslims today, designed to put flesh on the bones of his signature concept of "mutual interests and mutual respect" and to launch a "new beginning" in U.S.-Muslim relations. Aspiring to speak
Jun 4, 2009
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Lebanon Goes to the Polls:
Last Minute Surprises and Long-term Implications
On June 7, Lebanon goes to the polls to elect a new government. All told, 587 candidates are competing for the 128 parliament seats, and with just days to go, the contest is too close to call. Both the pro-West March 14 coalition incumbents and the Syrian-Iranian-backed Hizballah-led March 8
Jun 3, 2009
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
What Muslim World?
A version of this article was published concurrently by Hurriyet Daily News. Even before U.S. President Barack Obama utters a word of his long-anticipated June 4 address to "the Muslim world," there is already a problem with the rhetoric. As well meaning as it sounds, the term "Muslim world" is
Jun 3, 2009
Brief Analysis
Obama's Visit to Riyadh:
Competing Agendas?
On June 2, President Barack Obama departs for the Middle East, where he is scheduled to deliver a major speech in Cairo on June 4. But his first stop is Riyadh, where he will meet Saudi king Abdullah. Officially the two men will, in the words of a White House
Jun 2, 2009
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Radicalization:
Made in the USA?
When officials announced the successful prevention of a plot in New York to bomb synagogues and down airplanes with rocket-propelled grenades, many reacted with shock at the prospect of locally radicalized violent extremists plotting attacks here at home. Indeed, policymakers, long focused on the radicalization problem facing our European allies
Jun 2, 2009
Articles & Testimony
Keep the Faith
When President Obama speaks to the world's Muslims from Cairo this week, he'll touch, again, on the themes of respect and engagement. But he's delivered that message at least three times already, and this time his audience will expect more. They'll want to know whether Obama has a "big idea"
Jun 2, 2009
Brief Analysis
House of the Leader:
The Real Power in Iran
On June 4, Iran will mark the twentieth anniversary of Ali Khamenei's appointment as the leader of Iran. While international attention is focused on the June 12 presidential elections, the winner of that contest will remain subordinate to Khamenei in power and importance, despite the latter's low profile. Lacking the
Jun 1, 2009
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Obama in the Muslim World
On May 31, 2009, the Washington Post asked activists, journalists, and policy experts what the president should say in his address in Cairo. The Washington Institute's David Makovsky, the Ziegler distinguished fellow and coauthor of Myths, Illusions and Peace: Finding a New Direction for America in the Middle East, David
May 31, 2009
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David Makovsky
David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Punitive Power:
Combating Proliferation with Sanctions
Sanctions are a frequent yet controversial tool used by the international community in dealing with proliferant states and nuclear non-compliance. Matthew Levitt and Michael Jacobson examine the impact of sanctions against Iran and North Korea. © IHS (Global) Limited, Jane's Intelligence Review. Reproduced with permission.
May 31, 2009
Articles & Testimony
Hamas:
Hits and Misses
The following is a review of the book, Kill Khalid: The Failed Mossad Assassination of Khalid Mishal and the Rise of Hamas (Allen and Unwin, 2009), by Paul McGeough. In the annals of daring intelligence operations both failed and successful, the Israeli Mossad stands alone. Most recently, the Israeli spy
May 30, 2009
Brief Analysis
Obama in Cairo:
Another Step toward Rapprochement?
PolicyWatch #1523 is the second in a two-part series on President Obama's trip to Egypt on June 4 and examines the likely impact of the visit on U.S.-Egyptian relations. Part one focused on the president's much-anticipated speech to the "Muslim world." On June 4, President Barack Obama will deliver his
May 29, 2009
◆
David Schenker
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