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Brief Analysis
Lebanon:
Back to Square One?
On September 10, after seventy-three days of trying to formulate a government, Lebanon's prime minister designate, Saad Hariri, resigned his mandate. Although Hariri's pro-West March 14 coalition secured a parliamentary majority in June elections -- and with it the right to govern -- the Hizballah-led minority rejected the cabinet he
Sep 21, 2009
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Abandoning Ataturk
In the 18th and 19th centuries, the Ottoman Empire, having suffered military defeats at the hands of Europe, realized it could match its rivals only by becoming a European society itself. So it embarked on a program of intense reforms. In 1863, Sultan Abdulaziz established Darussafaka, the empire's first high
Sep 19, 2009
Brief Analysis
Breaking Stalemates on Iran and Syria at the IAEA
Mohamed ElBaradei will end his twelve years as director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) in November. Absent a last-minute breakthrough, ElBaradei will leave incomplete the critical safeguards investigations of Iran and Syria. Earlier this month, ElBaradei reported to the IAEA Board of Governors little or no progress
Sep 18, 2009
Articles & Testimony
The Fallout of a Reversal on Missile Defense:
The Silver Lining in Turkey
The New York Times convened an online panel of eight foreign policy experts to discuss the Obama adminstration's recent decision to scrap the Bush administration's plans for a missile defense system in Poland and the Czech Republic, and instead deploy a redesigned system intended to intercept shorter-range Iranian missiles. The
Sep 18, 2009
Brief Analysis
Saudi Oil Policy:
An Unlikely Weapon to Pressure Iran
Among the policy suggestions for heading off Iran's emergence as a military nuclear power is the notion that Saudi Arabia should use its position -- as the world's largest oil exporter and effective leader of the OPEC oil cartel -- to apply pressure. The kingdom is increasingly concerned that nuclear
Sep 18, 2009
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Contending with Transnational Threats: The Role of Special Operations
How are special operations forces adapting and integrating into the larger U.S. effort to disrupt and defeat global terrorism?
Sep 17, 2009
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Eric Olson
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
Quds Day in Iran:
Velvet Revolution Trumps Nuclear Negotiations
While the United States is concentrating on the G-20 summit and the October 1 meeting with the secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, Iranian attention has been focused on the potentially destabilizing protests planned for September 18, Quds Day. This critical difference of agenda -- with Iran focused more
Sep 17, 2009
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Mehdi Khalaji
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Withdrawal Symptoms:
What Will Happen after the US Leaves Iraq?
A major explosion in Baghdad on 19 August that killed 95 people and injured 563 raised questions about the ability of Iraq's security forces to maintain stability during the ongoing United States troop drawdown. This is particularly the case since the major bombing attack took place barely six weeks after
Sep 17, 2009
Articles & Testimony
Anti-Americanism in a Poisoned Tank
Two recent cases in Turkey involving American think tanks serve as evidence that anti-Americanism often spreads because of what people hear from their governments, and that such rhetoric, if not countered immediately, can have a debilitating effect on America's standing overseas. The most recent Turkish case concerns a June 2009
Sep 17, 2009
Brief Analysis
Beyond Settlements:
U.S. Policy Options Going Forward
Having raised Arab expectations months ago with the idea of a settlement freeze, the Obama administration now has the unpleasant task of coaxing Palestinian Authority (PA) president Mahmoud Abbas to tacitly accept an agreement on settlements that offers less than expected -- if more than was offered in the past
Sep 16, 2009
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
National Implications of the Kurdish Elections
The Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) parliament elected in July convened for the first time on August 20, ushering in a new political era in Iraqi Kurdistan. While the bloc including the long-dominant Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP) and Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) currently controls a majority of 59 out of
Sep 16, 2009
Brief Analysis
Economic Challenges and Opportunities for Israel and the Palestinians
The global recession has presented a daunting challenge to governments everywhere, including that of Israel. Nonetheless, Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu has said that waging "economic peace" will be a central component of his relationship with the Palestinians. His intention is to improve the West Bank economy as a supplement
Sep 15, 2009
Brief Analysis
Broadening the U.S. Approach on Iran
With Iran's September 14 acceptance of a meeting with the P5+1 countries on October 1, the Obama administration finally appears poised to engage in direct talks with Iran. In entering these talks, Washington faces two obstacles: first, Iran's reputation for recalcitrance in negotiations and its stated refusal to discuss the
Sep 15, 2009
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Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Missing in Action
It's hard to believe, but nearly three weeks into a major crisis involving Syrian sponsorship of terrorism in Iraq, the United States is feigning neutrality. That's a big mistake. Given that almost 130,000 U.S. troops remain in harm's way trying to bolster Iraq's stability, and given America's longstanding concern with
Sep 15, 2009
Brief Analysis
Changing Conventional Military Balance in the Gulf
In a September 7 interview with al-Jazeera, U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates stated, "The more that our Arab friends and allies can strengthen their security capabilities, the more they can strengthen their cooperation, both with each other and with us. I think this sends the signal to the Iranians
Sep 14, 2009
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Regime Change is Dead. Long Live Regime Change
Despite Iran's disappointing response this week to the international call for negotiations on its nuclear program, the Barack Obama administration continues to hold out hope that some combination of inducements and further pressures will persuade the Islamic Republic to abandon its quest for the bomb. But the fact is that
Sep 14, 2009
Articles & Testimony
Why Walt, Mearsheimer, Still Wrong
On the second anniversary of the publication of the highly controversial book, "The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy," written by University of Chicago's John Mearsheimer and Harvard University's Stephen Walt, it is worth noting that their central thesis -- that Israel is a strategic liability and not an asset
Sep 14, 2009
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
What Next for Syria?
Shortly after taking office, in a dramatic departure from Bush-era policy, President Barack Obama made good on his pledge to reestablish dialogue with Syria. In recent months, in an effort to build confidence and improve the relationship, the administration has dispatched seven delegations to Damascus, including multiple visits from its
Sep 10, 2009
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Countering Today's Enduring and Adaptive Terrorist Threats
The director of the Defense Intelligence Agency briefs a special Policy Forum on the shifting capabilities and strategies of terrorist organizations around the world.
Sep 10, 2009
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Ronald Burgess
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
U.S.-Libya Relations
Washington Institute Next Generation fellow Dana Moss discussed Washington's relations with Tripoli in an online interview with Council on Foreign Relations editor Stephanie Hanson. Listen to the interview on CFR.org.
Sep 10, 2009
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Dana Moss
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