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Brief Analysis
End in Sight for Iraq's Government Stalemate
On October 1, incumbent Iraqi prime minister Nouri al-Maliki moved a step closer to gaining a new term when he earned the support of several groupings within the pan-Shiite Iraqi National Alliance (INA). Al-Maliki can now count on 49 to 54 seats from the INA, in addition to the 89
Oct 5, 2010
◆
Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Pakistan Goes Rogue
Something brewing in Europe has spooked counterterrorism officials. On Oct. 3, the State Department issued a rare warning to Americans, urging them to show vigilance during their trips. Over the last week, European counterterrorism officials have escalated their precautions: The Eiffel Tower has been cleared twice in the last three
Oct 4, 2010
Articles & Testimony
Turkey under the AKP:
Neither a European nor a Regional Power (Part 1)
When the Justice and Development Party, or AKP, came to power in 2002 in Turkey, many were satisfied with its assurance that it would make Ankara's European Union accession the chief aim of Turkish foreign policy, despite the party's Islamist pedigree. The promise of a European Turkey helped assuage fears
Oct 3, 2010
Articles & Testimony
The Role and Significance of Signature Attacks in the Iraqi Insurgency
On August 31, 2010, the United States declared an end to combat operations in Iraq. In recent months, however, there has been a stubborn perception that security in Iraq is suffering a downturn. Yet the raw numbers of monthly security incidents reveal a significant decline in year-on-year comparisons. The key
Sep 30, 2010
Articles & Testimony
Should I Stay or Should I Go?
What the United States Can Leave Behind in Iraq
In recent weeks, a number of deadly terrorist attacks in Iraq have highlighted the fact that even after seven years of counterinsurgency and stability operations, the United States still faces major challenges in realizing its long-term goal of establishing an Iraq that is, in the words of President Barack Obama
Sep 30, 2010
Brief Analysis
Dear Prime Minister:
U.S. Efforts to Keep the Peace Process on Track
With Israel's ten-month moratorium on West Bank settlement construction now expired, Arab League foreign ministers are expected to convene on October 4 to discuss whether the Palestinian Authority (PA) should continue the peace talks. These developments have created a flurry of behind-the-scenes activity in a bid to keep the process
Sep 29, 2010
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Bringing Damascus into the Tent:
Can Washington Revive Israel-Syria Peace Talks?
On September 27, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton conferred with her Syrian counterpart Walid Mouallem on the sidelines of a UN meeting in New York. And two weeks earlier, U.S. peace envoy George Mitchell met with President Bashar al-Asad in Damascus. This latest flurry of diplomatic activity seems aimed at
Sep 28, 2010
◆
Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
The AKP's Turkey:
More Civilian, But More Democratic?
Not a day goes by without another pundit lauding Turkey's democratization by the ruling Justice and Development Party, or AKP. The argument is that Turkey has finally become a true democracy under the AKP, as the party has boldly forced the military into its barracks and empowered the masses over
Sep 26, 2010
Articles & Testimony
Washington:
Let Them Talk It Out
Sunday's expiration of Israel's settlement construction moratorium is looming ever larger, and was put back on the front pages by President Barack Obama's unequivocal statement on Thursday, in his U.N. General Assembly speech dominated by the Israeli-Palestinian issue, in which he stated he "believe(s) the moratorium should be extended." In
Sep 25, 2010
Brief Analysis
Turkey after the Constitutional Referendum:
Implications for Washington
On September 12, Turkey went to the polls to vote on constitutional amendments proposed by the governing Justice and Development Party (AKP). Nearly 38.3 million people turned out, with 21.8 million voting in favor of a variety of changes to the Turkish political system, from establishing constitutional guarantees of gender
Sep 23, 2010
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Captured Documents:
What We Now Know about Saddam's Iraq
On September 20, 2010, David Palkki, Kevin Woods, and Amatzia Baram addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute. Dr. Palkki is deputy director of National Defense University's Conflict Records Research Center, an archive of captured documents and audio files related to the Saddam regime in Iraq, among
Sep 22, 2010
Brief Analysis
Laying the Foundation for Peace:
Challenges for the Palestinian Economy
On the heels of renewed direct political negotiations between Israel and the Palestinian Authority (PA), the World Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF) reported strong Palestinian economic growth at today's meeting of PA donors in New York. While these economic tidings will be welcomed by both Israelis and Palestinians and
Sep 21, 2010
◆
Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
If War Comes:
Israel vs. Hizballah and Its Allies
On September 17, 2010, Jeffrey White and Andrew Exum addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute to mark the release of Mr. White's new Institute report If War Comes: Israel vs. Hizballah and Its Allies, an assessment of potential future conflict between Israel and Hizballah and its
Sep 20, 2010
◆
Jeffrey White
Andrew Exum
Articles & Testimony
The Next Insurgency:
Baathists and Salafis Pool Resources to Fight Iraqi Government
Fears in security circles that Iraq is to become mired in a new security crisis -- dubbed by Gulf States Newsletter "the next insurgency" -- have been highlighted by a general increase in violence across Iraq in August/September. This was brought into stark focus by the 25 August mass casualty
Sep 17, 2010
Articles & Testimony
What Arabs Really Think About Iran
It is no secret that Arab public opinion toward U.S. President Barack Obama has soured since his June 2009 speech in Cairo, Egypt. According to a slew of recent opinion polls, Arabs have been deeply disappointed with Obama's accommodations to Israel. Analysts have suggested that this discontent has caused Arabs
Sep 16, 2010
◆
David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Choice
Had I voted in Sunday's referendum in Turkey, I would have struggled to decide whether to vote for or against the constitutional amendments put forth by the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP). On the one hand, the reform package includes progressive amendments, such as constitutionally guaranteed gender equality. On
Sep 16, 2010
Notional Hizballah Defense Concept
Shows Hizballah's potential defensive posture in southern Lebanon in the event of a full-scale war with Israel. See Policy Focus #106 for a full description. Copyright 2010 The Washington Institute
Sep 15, 2010
Notional Hizballah Offensive Operations in Northern Israel
Shows potential Hizballah offensive operations in northern Israel in the event of a full-scale war. See Policy Focus #106 for a full description. Copyright 2010 The Washington Institute
Sep 15, 2010
Selected Rocket and Missile Coverage of Israel from Potential Launch Areas in Lebanon
Shows the potential range of known Hizballah rocket and missile systems in the event of a full-scale war with Israel. See Policy Focus #106 for a full description. Copyright 2010 The Washington Institute
Sep 15, 2010
Notional Israeli Offensive Operations in Southern Lebanon
Shows potential Israeli offensive operations in southern Lebanon in the event of a full-scale war with Hizballah and its allies. See Policy Focus #106 for a full description. Copyright 2010 The Washington Institute
Sep 15, 2010
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