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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Congress Can Still Help Shape the Endgame in Syria
Advisers advised, Congress criticized, and ground partners pleaded with President Donald Trump when he decided to rapidly withdraw the roughly 2,000 U.S. troops stationed in Syria. This policy ticked off a box, fulfilling yet another campaign promise to “get out of Syria” and bring U.S. service members home, even if
Apr 25, 2019
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Erica Hanichak
Jameson Cunningham
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Armistice with Hamas, Growing Tensions with Abbas
Releasing the U.S. peace plan could accelerate recent Palestinian political dynamics, with Hamas consolidating its position via ceasefire and reconstruction aid while the PA continues isolating itself.
Apr 24, 2019
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Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Proceeding with Caution in Western Sahara
Given growing uncertainties in other North African states, Washington should avoid any sudden moves on the Sahara file even as it builds on the momentum of recent talks.
Apr 23, 2019
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Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
More Money at the Gas Pump May Be the Price of Pressuring Iran
President Trump may be counting on the fact that U.S. voters oppose both higher gas prices and another war, but in the end he may have to pick one or the other.
Apr 23, 2019
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Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
A Fifty-Year Reign? MbS and the Future of Saudi Arabia
Sudden Succession Essay Series
Whether the young Saudi crown prince ultimately ascends to the throne will entail plenty of plot twists, but it also holds serious implications for the kingdom, the region, and U.S. interests.
Apr 22, 2019
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Simon Henderson
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Sudden Succession Essay Series
Brief Analysis
Renewing the Iran Sanctions Waivers (Part 2): Energy and Afghan Trade
Washington should phase out the oil waivers carefully and prevent Chabahar port from becoming an escape valve for Iran.
Apr 22, 2019
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Renewing the Iran Sanctions Waivers (Part 1): Nuclear Activities
Neither blanket extension nor wholesale cancellation is the best course, but several of the expiring waivers would serve U.S. interests if properly—and publicly—revised.
Apr 22, 2019
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Does Designation of the Revolutionary Guards Make a Difference?
The handful of new tools in question could expose Iraqi officials to sanctions and criminal liability given Baghdad's energy dependency on Iran.
Apr 18, 2019
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Matthew Levitt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Trump’s Decision on the Golan Helps Assad, Iran, and Russia
Former U.S. President George Bush Sr. acted prudently when he convinced Israel’s leaders not to respond when Saddam Hussein’s missiles rained down on Tel Aviv in January of 1991 following the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait. At the time, Saddam was trying to draw the region into an Arab-Israeli confrontation. An
Apr 18, 2019
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Mohamed Maher
Brief Analysis
After the Palestinians Reject Trump’s Peace Plan, Then What?
Rather than trying to punish the PA by supporting West Bank annexations or other draconian measures, Washington should simply press forward with other willing partners until Ramallah comes around.
Apr 18, 2019
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Trump Has–Inadvertently–Provided a Fix to America’s Kurdish Problem with Turkey
Since 2014, Washington has relied on the Syrian Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG) to defeat ISIS in Syria. Yet Washington’s policy of working with the YPG in Syria, where U.S. support has helped the group soar, has concurrently undermined American policy regarding the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) in Turkey, the
Apr 18, 2019
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
For Syrians, the Golan Question Is a Deferred Issue
Following Trump’s announcement that Washington would acknowledge Israel’s sovereignty over the Golan Heights, the question of this area, occupied since 1967, has reemerged and captured the attention of the Syrian public. However, the Golan question is far from a new issue among Syrian circles. But while numerous Syrians—both pro-regime and
Apr 18, 2019
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Baz Bakkari
Brief Analysis
How Sanctions Are Affecting Iran’s Airline Industry
Greater delays, downtime, and problems acquiring new planes have made Iran feel the heat, but its civil aviation sector continues to generate revenue for the regime.
Apr 17, 2019
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Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Don't Pull Back from the Middle East
Safeguarding America’s widely agreed interests in the Middle East requires a substantial presence, as does the region’s tendency to export insecurity.
Apr 16, 2019
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
The Turkish Rupture Could Cause a Fissure in NATO
A dramatic rift seems unavoidable unless Ankara delays the arrival of Russian missiles and Washington provides security guarantees against Moscow and the Syrian Kurds.
Apr 16, 2019
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Soner Cagaptay
Video
Understanding Israel's Election Results
Israel’s 2019 election proved to be one of the most hotly contested races in recent memory.
Apr 16, 2019
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David Makovsky
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Israel and Bahrain’s Normalization Setback
The scuttling of a high-profile opportunity for commercial engagement is a reminder that expanding Gulf-Israel ties to the public realm will be a slow, thorny process.
Apr 16, 2019
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
An Economic Roadmap to Humanitarian Relief in Yemen
Washington should accelerate common-sense economic efforts that can help right away, even as the fraught, slow-moving UN peace process continues.
Apr 16, 2019
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Dave Harden
Michael Knights
In-Depth Reports
Sudan: The End Comes for Bashir
Sudden Succession Essay Series
The Washington Institute has recently been sponsoring a series of discussions about sudden succession in the Middle East. Each session focuses on scenarios that might unfold if a specific ruler or leader departed the scene tomorrow. Questions include these: Would the sudden change lead to different policies? Would it affect
Apr 15, 2019
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Alberto Fernandez
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Sudden Succession Essay Series
Brief Analysis
Netanyahu’s Win Gives Him Leeway on Annexation and Gaza
Despite his controversial campaign statements, the prime minister will likely remain cautious about actually seizing West Bank territory or ordering ground incursions into Gaza.
Apr 15, 2019
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David Makovsky
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