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Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Qais in Tehran, Prominently Seated Behind Khamenei
At a recent event in Iran, the leader of the key Iraqi militia Asaib Ahl al-Haq was strategically positioned in a place of honor directly behind the Supreme Leader.
Oct 7, 2024
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
A Draw Is a Win: The Houthis After One Year of War
The Yemeni group has strengthened its capabilities and aggressiveness to the point where it may be less vulnerable to international pressure than its Iranian patron.
October 2024
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
The Gaza War Has Jump-Started a Weakened al-Qaeda
Although the former jihadist standard-bearer has failed to inspire attacks during the Gaza war, its efforts to exploit rising anti-Israel sentiment and train a new generation of terrorists in Afghanistan should not be taken lightly.
Oct 4, 2024
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah Is Weakened, But Still Dangerous
The group’s ability to reconstitute its military power will depend on Iran restocking its arsenal; in the meantime, it will likely attempt more terrorist attacks abroad.
Oct 2, 2024
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
After Hezbollah’s Miscalculations, It Has Lost Much of Its Power
The group’s false assessment of Israel’s wartime fragility is proving more costly by the day.
Oct 1, 2024
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Matthew Levitt
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
What Basrawi Politican Is Behind Kataib al-Mustafa?
The strange little militia Kataib al-Mustafa announced itself to great fanfare in Basra, and judging by its media reception, it has an important mystery backer.
Oct 1, 2024
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
6 Consequences of Israel Killing Hezbollah’s Hassan Nasrallah
By building on the death of an Iran-backed terrorist leader, President Biden has the opportunity to leave the Middle East better today than it was on October 8, which is no small achievement.
Sep 30, 2024
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
How the Death of Hezbollah’s Nasrallah Brings a Renewed Opportunity for Mideast Peace
Netanyahu must translate Israel’s military achievements in Lebanon into political outcomes while also preventing far-right nationalists in his coalition from defining what is possible with the Palestinians.
Sep 29, 2024
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Jeffrey Sonnenfeld
Dennis Ross
Steven Tian
Brief Analysis
What Nasrallah’s Death Could Mean for the Hezbollah Network
Iran’s proxy faces steep challenges on the leadership and military fronts, and the international community can now act vigorously to free Lebanon from its grip.
Sep 28, 2024
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Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Tunisia Is Holding an Election—But Will Voters Show Up?
To counter President Saied’s electoral manipulation and increased repression, Washington should work more closely with its contacts in Tunisia’s military, civil society, and European partner governments.
Sep 27, 2024
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Sabina Henneberg
Sarah Yerkes
Articles & Testimony
Israel Dead Set on Beating Hezbollah Back
With prospects low for a near-term diplomatic breakthrough, the Lebanese group can decide how far this conflict escalates.
Sep 27, 2024
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia Signals Oil Policy Shift
The kingdom anticipates and accepts lower oil prices, according to a news report, but the impact on other producers could be comparatively damaging.
Sep 27, 2024
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Policy in the Middle East Amid Great Power Competition
The true U.S. strategy debate in the Middle East is not about whether we should stay or go; it’s about how to continue advancing the interests pursued by successive administrations even as hostile competitors and unresolved threats combine to throw U.S. regional policy off balance.
September 2024
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Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Countering Terrorism in a Period of Great Power Competition
To rebalance limited resources, meet great power challenges, and continue forecasting diverse terrorist threats, the U.S. government will need to invest more in capabilities such as machine learning and AI.
September 2024
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Matthew Levitt
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
New Exposé on Sudani PMO Eavesdropping Is Suppressed, But Archived Online
A second major report on the political surveillance scandal was quickly muted, in part because it was highly critical of Iranian Qods Force commander Esmail Qaani.
Sep 25, 2024
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Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Boosting Military Support to Ukraine Can Help Deter Iran
From facilitating a no-fly zone over Ukraine to interdicting Iranian missile transfers, Washington and its allies have various means of answering the latest strategic shift in the war.
Sep 25, 2024
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Russia’s Middle East Space Offensive
Moscow’s space cooperation with Tunisia could complicate U.S. attempts to develop norms for space travel, communication, and exploration.
Sep 24, 2024
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Sabina Henneberg
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah in the Caucasus: One to Watch
Unconfirmed but detailed reporting on potential Iraqi terrorist cells in Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan should be a wake-up call to monitor Kataib Hezbollah's external operations more closely.
Sep 24, 2024
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Reminder: The Hostages (or: Why an ‘All for All’ Deal Doesn’t Help Them)
The impasse in negotiations boils down to a choice between getting the hostages out or staying in Gaza—and Netanyahu has seemingly picked the latter.
Sep 24, 2024
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Improving Egypt-Israel Relations in the Shadow of Gaza
In addition to addressing each country’s concerns about border sovereignty, smuggling, and other irritants, Washington should emphasize the longer-term need to return to the peace treaty’s military limitations after the Gaza war.
Sep 24, 2024
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David Schenker
Assaf Orion
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