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Turkey

Policy Analysis on Turkey

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Brief Analysis
1999 Turkish Elections:
Background and Outlook
On April 18, Turkish voters will choose a new national government and new municipal governments. These early elections for the Turkish Grand National Assembly (TGNA) are unlikely to bring order to a political scene that has been unstable since 1995, when the Republican People's Party (RPP) withdrew support for its
Apr 14, 1999
Brief Analysis
Turkish Defense Policy
On March 3, 1999, Hikmet Sami Turk, Turkish minister of defense, addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. The following is a rapporteur's summary of the forum's question-and-answer session. Read his opening remarks. Relations with Iraq The Iraqi question can only be resolved peacefully, but Iraq must comply with all
Mar 15, 1999
Brief Analysis
The Ocalan Affair:
What's Next?
The arrest of Abdullah Ocalan is a U.S. victory in the global war against terrorism; for elated Turks, it is the equivalent of Israel's 1976 Entebbe rescue operation or the United Kingdom's 1982 Falklands victory -- a thrilling national triumph after a long period of frustration. Now, having supplied crucial
Feb 24, 1999
◆
  • Alan Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Defusing the Turkish-Syrian Crisis:
Whose Triumph?
Seemingly on the verge of hostilities with Turkey in mid-October 1998, President Hafez Assad of Syria did what almost nobody expected. He backed down, and quickly. Assad pledged to meet most -- though not all -- Turkish demands that he end support for the Turkish-Kurdish separatist group known as the
Feb 1, 1999
◆
  • Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Turkey's New Government:
Back to the Future
Twenty years after his last stint as prime minister, 73-year-old Bulent Ecevit once again became Turkey's prime minister yesterday. His minority government is unlikely to accomplish much, other than to take the nation to early (but long planned) elections scheduled for April 18. Given traditional difficulties in government formation --
Jan 12, 1999
◆
  • Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Turkey, the United States, and Ocalan:
The Stakes
The arrest of Workers' Party of Kurdistan (PKK) leader Abdullah Ocalan in Italy last week was a rare example of the capture of a major terrorist group leader. In contrast, an Italian court's decision today to release him under a loose form of "house arrest"is widely seen as a prelude
Nov 20, 1998
◆
  • Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Turkish-Syrian Relations:
A Crisis Delayed?
Despite unconfirmed reports of Syrian willingness to expel PKK leader Abdullah Ocalan and close PKK bases, Turkish-Syrian tensions are likely to persist; Syria's track record of reneging on pledges to cease supporting the PKK will make Ankara skeptical about the durability of any agreement. For this reason, Turkish military action
Oct 17, 1998
◆
  • Alan Makovsky
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
U.S.-Turkish Relations in an Age of Interdependence
On October 14, 1998, Deputy Secretary of State Strobe Talbott delivered The Washington Institute's Second Annual Turgut Ozal Memorial Lecture at the Willard Inter-Continental Hotel. The following are excerpts from his remarks. Read a full transcript. "The association of this event with the name of Turgut Ozal made this truly
Oct 16, 1998
Brief Analysis
Kurdish Agreement Signals New U.S. Commitment
Turkey's weekend decision to boost diplomatic ties with Saddam Hussein to ambassadorial level highlights widespread regional opposition to an agreement between two long-feuding Iraqi Kurdish leaders signed in Washington earlier this month. The agreement affirms the Iraqi Kurds' desire to avoid further inter-factional fighting and to prevent Saddam's return to
Sep 29, 1998
◆
  • Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Outlook for Turkish-U.S. Relations
On September 2, 1998, H.E. Baki Ilkin, Turkish ambassador to the United States, addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. The following are excerpts from his opening remarks and a rapporteur's summary of the subsequent question-and-answer session. Read a full transcript. Transformation of Bilateral Relations "We are no longer only
Sep 11, 1998
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Political Tangle
Early Turkish elections, recently set for April 18, 1999, hold little prospect for change in a longstanding political impasse, yet they raise potential problems for Turkey's domestic and foreign policies -- not least its approach to Greek Cypriot plans to deploy Russian S-300 surface-to-air missiles. Meanwhile, the departure of the
Aug 12, 1998
◆
  • Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Turkey and Europe:
Integration or Alienation?
The December 1997 European Union (EU) summit in Luxembourg accepted the membership candidacies of ten Eastern and Central European countries and Cyprus. Contrary to Turkish expectations, however, Turkey was not accepted as a "candidate." This disappointing result -- known in Turkey as ''the Luxembourg shock'' -- was the result of
Aug 4, 1998
Brief Analysis
Turkey:
Domestic Politics, Regional Security, and the Middle East
Turkey's global role, in the post-Cold War era, is more significant than ever. During the Cold War years, Turkey's primary role was to halt communist expansion in the region. In return, Turkey, under the NATO umbrella, enjoyed the protection of its Western allies. The end of the Cold War removed
May 27, 1998
Brief Analysis
Israeli-Turkish Cooperation:
Full Steam Ahead
The Israeli-Turkish-U.S. trilateral search-and-rescue exercise taking place this week near Israel's Mediterranean coast highlights the thickening network of ties between Washington's two major non-Arab, Middle Eastern allies. A plus for U.S. interests in the region, Israeli-Turkish relations are watched with growing unease in Damascus, Baghdad, and Tehran, on the one
Jan 6, 1998
◆
  • Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
A Euro-Battered Mr. Yilmaz Comes to Washington
On the heels of the European Union's dismissal of Turkey's membership bid, Turkish Prime Minister Mesut Yilmaz meets President Clinton at the White House tomorrow at a potentially fateful time for Turkey's relations with the West. Ultimately, Euro-Turkish relations need to be strengthened if Turkey is to be fully integrated
Dec 18, 1997
◆
  • Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Fading European Dream
For the past three decades, Turkey's political establishment has equated success in its quest for full acceptance as a Western state with admission to the European Union (EU)-a goal likely to be dealt a severe, if not crippling, blow at an historic EU summit that starts tomorrow. The EU's implicit
Dec 11, 1997
◆
  • Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Business and Politics in Post-Erbakan Turkey
The mood in post-Erbakan Turkey is one of calm after a storm. For a comprehensive understanding of Turkey's problems, a critical, non-ideological assessment of the pro-Islamist Refah (Welfare) Party is needed. Despite its existence since 1969, Refah truly emerged as a political force only in 1995. Receiving some 21 percent
Dec 2, 1997
Brief Analysis
Inaugural Turgut Ozal Memorial Lecture
During the Cold War, Turkey played a vital role as the southeast bastion of NATO. However, with the collapse of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War, a new configuration in the Middle East has emerged, one that has actually increased Turkey's importance in the region. The
Nov 11, 1997
Brief Analysis
Turkey and Russia:
Regional Rivals
Russia and Turkey are partners as well as rivals. Bilateral trade (official and unofficial) amounts to $14 billion. Turkey purchases major quantities of natural gas from Russia. There are 30,000 Turkish workers and some $6 billion invested by the Turkish construction sector in Russia. There is also considerable tourism in
Sep 30, 1997
Brief Analysis
Turkey:
Peace at Home, Peace Abroad?
The actions of former Islamist Prime Minister Necmettin Erbakan caused chaos in the formulation and implementation of Turkish foreign policy, concern in the West, and a higher profile for the half-military National Security Council (and the military itself) in the policymaking process. Erbakan and Tansu Ciller, former deputy Prime Minister
Aug 12, 1997

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Turkish Research Program

Since its inception in 1995, The Washington Institute's Turkish Research Program has established itself as the most influential center in Washington for research and information on Turkey -- a predominantly Muslim, secular, and democratic U.S. ally.

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Featured experts

Soner Cagaptay
Soner Cagaptay
Soner Cagaptay is the Beyer Family Senior Fellow and director of the Turkish Research Program at The Washington Institute.
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