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Syria

Policy Analysis on Syria

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Brief Analysis
Syria Crisis Leaves Islamic State Prisons and Detention Camps Vulnerable
Even as global attention is turned toward major transition questions in Damascus, the international community cannot lose focus on the fight against the Islamic State—an essential part of which is ensuring the security of northeastern detention facilities.
Dec 9, 2024
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  • Devorah Margolin
Articles & Testimony
With Assad Gone—What’s Next?
In addition to carefully managing moves on the Golan, Israel should focus on facilitating humanitarian assistance to the Druze, mending relations with Turkey, and convincing Trump to maintain America’s military presence in Syria.
Dec 9, 2024
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  • Ehud Yaari
Photo showing Syrian rebels outside Aleppo International Airport.
Video
Brief Analysis
The (Next) Battle for Northwest Syria: U.S. Policy Implications
The director of the Syrian Emergency Task Force joins three Washington Institute experts to discuss the stunning rebel advances in the west.
Dec 6, 2024
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Anna Borshchevskaya
  • Aaron Y. Zelin
  • Mouaz Moustafa
Articles & Testimony
Remaining, Waiting for Expansion (Again): The Islamic State’s Operations in Iraq and Syria
Despite the group's expansion in other parts of the world, its original base in Iraq and Syria remains relevant due to the area's uncertain status quo and the looming prospect of U.S. military withdrawals.
Dec 5, 2024
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
People queue for bread in rebel-occupied Aleppo in December 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
How Syria’s ‘Diversity-Friendly’ Jihadists Plan on Building a State
As the group consolidates control in newly seized Aleppo, its leader is seeking to allay fears among minorities, pro-Assad residents, and skeptical Western officials alike.
Dec 3, 2024
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
A rebel fighter belonging to the Islamist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham gestures while riding a vehicle near Aleppo in November 2024 - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
The Patient Efforts Behind Hayat Tahrir al-Sham’s Success in Aleppo
The former jihadist affiliate has changed tremendously in the past few years, and understanding this new reality is crucial to identifying how its current offensive might unfold.
Dec 3, 2024
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Spoils of Someone Else’s War:
Acting as a Mediator in Syria Would Improve Putin’s International Standing
Despite Russia’s uncertain response to the Assad regime’s latest embarrassing military setback, Moscow still sees Syria as a critical hotspot on the global stage and will seek to steer events there in its favor.
Dec 3, 2024
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Qasef-2k drone in Iraq, photograph made public on August 23, 2022
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Tracking Anti-U.S. and Anti-Israel Strikes From Iraq and Syria During the Gaza Crisis
Militia Spotlight presents a regularly updated tracker with the best-known information about drone, rocket, and missile attacks against U.S. and allied targets, which have intensified since the Gaza war broke out.
Oct 14, 2024
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  • Michael Knights
  • Amir al-Kaabi
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight
Iraqi flag
Brief Analysis
Turkey Wants to Stitch Iraq and Syria Back Together (Part 2)
Ankara’s push for “soft recentralization” in Iraq will likely include more intensive efforts to establish the Development Road and prioritize Baghdad’s interests, though without abandoning the Kurdistan Region.
Oct 8, 2024
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Security forces the Iraqi-Syrian border, after it has been reopened for trade and travel, in Al Qaim, Iraq in 2019 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Turkey Wants to Stitch Iraq and Syria Back Together (Part 1)
Having observed two decades of instability across its southern borders and anticipating U.S. withdrawals, Ankara is planning steps to end the volatility, including potentially wide-ranging agreements with the Assad regime.
Oct 8, 2024
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  • Soner Cagaptay
Turkey-Syria border wall
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A New Era for Turkish-Syrian Ties?
The path towards reconciliation between Ankara and Damascus faces numerous obstacles, linked to a history of mistrust and significant gaps in major contentious issues.
Aug 16, 2024
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  • Omar al-Radad
A Syrian girl waves a national flag during a protest in Idlib in support of demonstrations in Suwayda - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
A Year of Suwayda Protests Show That Assad Is No Partner
The regime’s increasing violence against a once-loyal Druze minority is yet another reminder that “normalizing” relations with Assad will never yield the stability neighboring states crave.
Aug 16, 2024
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  • Erik Yavorsky
Brief Analysis
Countering Iran in East Syria Means Moderating the SDF
Groups supported by Iran and the Assad regime have found some local traction due in part to grievances against the Kurdish-led SDF’s governance strategy in Arab tribal areas.
Aug 16, 2024
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
View of Afrin, Syria from the south
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Clashes in Northern Syria: The Triumph of Interests Over the Language of "Brotherhood"?
With no prospects for a political solution to the Syrian crisis, the Turkish government's insistence on maintaining its previous policies in northern Syria and its usurpation of the Syrian people's decision-making warns of dire consequences for an already fragile relationship.
Aug 9, 2024
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  • Salahuddin Hawa
Russian president Vladimir Putin inspects a rifle while touring an arms factory in 2014 - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Countering Russia’s Strategy of Arming Anti-American Proxies
From rumored Houthi missile upgrades to Libyan arms deliveries by the ton, Moscow is doing all it can to empower hostile forces and undermine stability in the Middle East.
Aug 2, 2024
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  • Anna Borshchevskaya
Yezidi women and children at a refugee camp in Iraq - source: Reuters
Video
Brief Analysis
Countering the Islamic State's Gendered Violence and Minority Persecution
To mark the tenth anniversary of the genocide against the Yezidi people, three experts discuss the Islamic State’s minority atrocities, its systematic use of gendered violence, and the related challenges of repatriation.
Aug 1, 2024
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  • Gina Vale
  • Devorah Margolin
  • Pari Ibrahim
◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Fuad Shukr - source: Twitter/X
Brief Analysis
The Death of a Hezbollah Lifer
For more than four decades, the late terrorist and military commander Fuad Shukr was at the forefront of the group’s most destabilizing activities, from killing American, European, and Israeli soldiers to procuring advanced weapons from Iran.
Jul 31, 2024
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  • Matthew Levitt
Families of Islamic State fighters in Syria - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
In the Shadow of the Caliphate: A Decade of Islamic State Gendered Violence
To hold the group accountable for its victimization of women and children and ongoing fragmentation of communities in Iraq, Syria, and beyond, countries need to make better use of international law and repatriation strategies.
Jul 31, 2024
◆
  • Devorah Margolin
  • Gina Vale
German counterterror police - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State’s External Operations Are More Than Just ISKP
Although the recent focus on ISKP plots emanating from Afghanistan is understandable, other IS “provinces” have been accelerating and coordinating their external operations as well.
Jul 26, 2024
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  • Aaron Y. Zelin
"Holy Shrine Defenders" at Sayyid Zainab Mosque, Damascus
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Evolving Strategy in Eastern Syria
The Iranian model of creating and supporting proxy groups is consistent across the “Shia Crescent,” but recently Tehran has begun employing new and troubling tactics that threaten to only expand their influence.
Jul 18, 2024
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  • Omar Abu Layla

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Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics

The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler
Andrew J. Tabler is the Martin J. Gross Senior Fellow in the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute, where he focuses on Syria and U.S. policy in the Levant.
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley
Grant Rumley is the Meisel-Goldberger Senior Fellow and Director of the Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
David Schenker
David Schenker
David Schenker is the Taube Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of the Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. He is the former Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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