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Iraq's Withdrawal Announcement:

Beginning of the Endgame?

IRAQ'S STRATEGY by Laurie Mylroie Today's Revolutionary Command Council statement accepting UN Resolution 660 represents the first time that the Iraqi government has stated the conditions under which it would leave Kuwait. It is also the first time that it has explicitly mentioned the word "withdrawal," although notably, the word

۱۵ فوریهٔ ۱۹۹۱

John Hannah

The New Importance of Air Defense

While the Defense Department's Fiscal Year 1992 budget was largely drawn up prior to the Gulf crisis, in at least one area DoD has tried to learn an early lesson from the war. The United States in the future will have to devote increasing attention to the air defense mission

۶ فوریهٔ ۱۹۹۱

Prosecuting the Gulf War:

Refuting the Myths

Three dangerous myths concerning the Gulf war require urgent examination and refutation: • The removal of Saddam Hussein from power would end the war and the threat Iraq poses to the region. • The anti-Saddam alliance must be careful lest Iraq's collapse destroy the regional balance of power. • Iraq

۳۰ ژانویهٔ ۱۹۹۱

Barry Rubin

Iraq's Republican Guard

Iraq's elite Republican Guard -- the best armed and trained unit in the army -- comprises the mainstay of its ground force's offensive capability, and the principal pillar of Saddam Hussein's regime. Republican Guard units in southern Iraq and Kuwait also form the backbone of Iraq's defenses there. Their destruction

۲۸ ژانویهٔ ۱۹۹۱

Michael Eisenstadt

Soviet Policy in the Gulf:

A Change for the Worse?

Today's report from the BBC that several hundred Soviet military advisors remain in Iraq, actively servicing that country's sophisticated military hardware and command and control system, is, if true, a worrisome development. It would be the latest in a series of recent events that raise the fear that the USSR's

۲۴ ژانویهٔ ۱۹۹۱

John Hannah

In-Depth Reports

Restoring the Balance:

U.S. Strategy and the Gulf Crisis

Executive Summary Iraq's invasion of Kuwait on August 2, 1990, dramatically transformed the Middle East and America's relationship with it. While seeking success in today's crisis, the United States must also focus on how to promote the long-term prospects for regional stability. A critical objective should be to help forge

۱ ژانویهٔ ۱۹۹۱

Negotiating in "Good Faith"

In voting for UN Security Council Resolution 681 yesterday, the Bush Administration made its first payoff for passage of Security Resolution 678 authorizing the use of force to oust Saddam Hussein. The Gang of Four -- Cuba, Malaysia, Yemen, and Colombia -- had threatened to hold up Resolution 678 by

۲۱ دسامبر ۱۹۹۰

Saddam's Strategy:

Turning the U.S. Hedgehog into a Fox?

All observers agree that the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait caught the United States by surprise. By the same token, the U.S. reaction to the invasion was equally, if not more, unexpected by Saddam Hussein. Given the policy of appeasement the Bush Administration pursued toward Iraq prior to August 2, Saddam

۱۸ دسامبر ۱۹۹۰

The U.S.-Iraq Talks:

Dealing with Saddam

The upcoming U.S.-Iraq talks on the Gulf crisis pose a real challenge to President Bush and Secretary of State James Baker. Paradoxically, the more eager the United States appears for a peaceful solution to the crisis, the less chance there is of achieving the objective of Iraq's withdrawal from Kuwait

۱۳ دسامبر ۱۹۹۰

Barry Rubin

The Palestinians and the Gulf Crisis

With the UN Security Council debating a resolution on the Palestinian issue and Saddam Hussein demanding that the Gulf crisis be linked to the Arab-Israeli conflict, the Middle East peace process is again floating to the top of the international community's agenda. Despite the rhetoric in New York and Baghdad

۱۰ دسامبر ۱۹۹۰

Ehud Yaari

The Bush-Shamir Meeting

Israeli Prime Minister Shamir meets with President Bush next week for their first discussions since well before the Gulf crisis. This meeting offers a critical opportunity to repair their personal relations, coordinate approaches to the Gulf crisis and the peace process, and address Israeli security and economic concerns. If Bush

۷ دسامبر ۱۹۹۰

The Impact of Sanctions on Iraq

Economic sanctions are making Iraq poorer day by day. The Iraqi economy is being hollowed out. The diet of the Iraqi people has already suffered markedly, with a drop of at least 25 percent in calories consumed. Yet despite all this, it would be wrong to jump to the conclusion

۵ دسامبر ۱۹۹۰

Patrick Clawson

Allies Nervous Over U.S.-Iraq Talks

Much of the Middle East is reacting with anxiety and confusion to President Bush's proposal for top level talks between the United States and Iraq. Whatever rationales Washington has for taking this step, many in the region perceive it as the beginning of U.S. concessions to Saddam Hussein. As soon

۴ دسامبر ۱۹۹۰

Barry Rubin

Iraq's Nuclear Program:

The Key Questions

President Bush and other senior administration officials have focused attention on the threat posed by a nuclear Iraq to America's interests in the Middle East. It is generally agreed that Iraq can develop a sizeable nuclear military capability within the next decade. But the significance of this program in both

۲۹ نوامبر ۱۹۹۰

Congress and the UN Vote:

Sending a Mixed Signal to Saddam

Thursday's UN Security Council vote authorizing the use of force to effect Iraq's withdrawal from Kuwait constitutes a major step toward war in the Gulf. The effect of the resolution is to deliver an ultimatum to Saddam Hussein: "leave Kuwait by January 15 or else you will soon be forced

۲۸ نوامبر ۱۹۹۰

Extended Crisis, Heightened Threat

The threat to Jordan's stability is the hidden crisis within the current Gulf conflict. King Hussein's regime is likely to survive, but its fall would bring dire consequences to the region. Jordan's role as a buffer amid powerful, quarreling neighbors has made it a keystone of regional stability. But the

۲۶ نوامبر ۱۹۹۰

Barry Rubin

The Post-Thanksgiving Agenda:

U.S. and Soviet Policy

U.S. Policy President Bush has made important strides in tackling the Gulf crisis during the past two weeks, consolidating his coalition and preparing the groundwork for Security Council approval of the use of force. He has begun to create an offensive option that will support coercive diplomacy or ensure military

۲۱ نوامبر ۱۹۹۰

John Hannah

Shamir to Saddam:

If it comes to war in the Gulf, Israel may well be dragged in. Saddam Hussein has repeatedly threatened that his first missiles would be aimed at Israel. By involving Israel in this way, Saddam Hussein might hope to unite the Arab coalition behind him. Unlike all other forces confronting

۲۰ نوامبر ۱۹۹۰

Zeev Schiff

Scaring Saddam:

The Message Must Be Consistent

President Bush's decision to double U.S. force deployments in the Persian Gulf was designed to scare Saddam Hussein. Instead, it has frightened the American people and threatened his coercive diplomacy strategy. The President faces a difficult dilemma. He cannot persuade Saddam Hussein of American resolve without a credible threat of

۱۶ نوامبر ۱۹۹۰

War Goals for the West

With war in the Gulf increasingly probable the time has come to consider war goals with a long-term focus. Realization of such near-term objectives as military victory, decapitation of Iraq's military, restoration of Kuwaiti sovereignty and creation of a new security structure may actually accelerate radical processes in the Middle

۱۵ نوامبر ۱۹۹۰

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Supported by the

Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East

The Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East focuses on the region as a setting for heightened competition between the United States and other world powers, such as China and Russia.

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Robert Satloff - source: The Washington Institute

رابرت ستلوف

رابرت ستلوف مدیر اجرایی انستیتو واشنگتن است. ستلوف کارشناس سیاست‌ عربی و اسلامی است و در زمینه روند صلح اعراب و اسرائیل، چالش اسلام سیاسی و ضرورت اصلاح دیپلماسی عمومی ایالات متحده در خاورمیانه مطالب زیادی منتشر کرده است.

Ambassador Dennis Ross

دنیس راس

سفیر دنیس راس، دستیار ویژه پیشین پرزیدنت باراک اوباما، مشاور انستیتو و هموند برجسته ویلیام دیویدسون در انستیتو واشنگتن است.

Dana Stroul

دانا استرول

دانا استرول مدیر پژوهش و پژوهشگر شلی و مایکل کاسن در موسسه واشینگتن برای سیاست خاور نزدیک است، سمت‌هایی که او در فوریه 2024 به عهده گرفت. او پس از یک دوره خدمت دولتی از 2021 تا 2023 به عنوان معاون دستیار وزیر دفاع برای امور خاورمیانه، یعنی بالاترین مقام غیرنظامی پنتاگون در رابطه با منطقه، بار دیگر به این موسسه پیوسته است. او در وزارت دفاع، رهبری شکل دادن و اجرای سیاست دفاعی ایالات متحده در منطقه را در یک دوره پرتلاطم برعهده داشت، دوره‌ای که شامل سرعت بخشیدن به ابتکارات پدافند یکپارچه هوایی و دریایی، رسیدگی به فعالیت‌های بی‌ثبات‌کننده ایران، تدوین رویکرد ایالات متحده در رقابت استراتژیک، حفظ

Michael Singh

مایکل سینگ

مایکل سینگ هموند پژوهشی ارشد لین-سویگ (Lane-Swig) و مدیرعامل انستیتو واشنگتن ‌است

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