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سیاست آمریکا

Policy Analysis on سیاست آمریکا

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Brief Analysis
Measuring Saddam's Arab Support
The recent violence in Jerusalem has again raised fears that Iraq can utilize the Arab-Israeli conflict to break the coalition opposed to its aggression. An accurate assessment of Saddam Hussein's support among non-Iraqi Arabs is critical to understanding this question, as well as the impact of the Gulf crisis on
۱۰ اکتبر ۱۹۹۰
◆
  • Barry Rubin
Brief Analysis
Is the United States Vulnerable to Saddam?
As the United States enters the third month of its deployment in the Persian Gulf, there is increasing concern about what Saddam Hussein could do to undermine American will or reverse Iraqi diplomatic isolation. Given the array of forces against it and faith in an ability to outlast the world
۵ اکتبر ۱۹۹۰
Brief Analysis
Moscow and the Gulf Crisis:
New Thoughts about New Thinking
The visit of Soviet special envoy Yevgeny Primakov to Baghdad today in search of a diplomatic resolution of the Gulf crisis is another sign of Moscow's growing interest in the crisis as a catalyst for a new Soviet role in the Middle East. Last Sunday's decision to establish diplomatic relations
۴ اکتبر ۱۹۹۰
◆
  • John Hannah
Brief Analysis
Iran: Which Side Is It On?
Of all the states in the Middle East, Iran's policy has been the most confusing and mysterious. Yet a close examination shows that Tehran has followed a consistent, predictable, attitude toward the Gulf crisis. From Tehran's standpoint, the current situation is the obverse of that prevailing during the eight-year Iran-Iraq
۲ اکتبر ۱۹۹۰
◆
  • Barry Rubin
Brief Analysis
The Iraq Crisis and Regional Arms Control
One of the most controversial statements during this crisis was Secretary of State James Baker's call for a new Persian Gulf security framework. If Saddam Hussein and/or Iraq's military might survive this confrontation, local states will face continued threats. For them to cooperate with the United States now they must
۱ اکتبر ۱۹۹۰
Brief Analysis
Moscow in the Middle East:
The Impact of New Thinking
Soviet Foreign Minister Eduard Shevardnadze is using the Gulf crisis as a catalyst for farreaching changes in Moscow's Middle East policy. Moscow is putting the emphasis on improving relations with the West and with the wealthy Persian Gulf states at the expense of Arab radicals. Shevardnadze's UN speech was remarkable
۲۷ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۰
◆
  • John Hannah
Brief Analysis
Will the United States Go to War?
Impatience and doubts about the slow-working process of diplomacy and economic sanctions has led many to call for quick military action against Iraq. While the United States could eventually prevail in such a conflict, the anticipated high cost in American casualties will make President Bush less eager to pursue a
۲۶ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۰
Brief Analysis
Who Lost Jordan?
By the time Washington finishes arguing about who lost Kuwait, a new debate may have to be joined about the failure of U.S. policy toward Jordan. The Kuwait crisis is drawing King Hussein into Saddam Hussein's orbit with profound consequences for the stability of the Middle East heartland and the
۲۵ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۰
Brief Analysis
Washington Institute Conference:
Perspectives on the Gulf Crisis
The Fifth Annual Policy Conference of The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, held September 14-16, brought out a number of new ideas and perspectives on the Persian Gulf crisis. These included important points about administration strategy, the attitudes of Arab states and Israel, the time frame for various tactics
۱۸ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۰
◆
  • Barry Rubin
In-Depth Reports
The Gulf Crisis:
War of Peace in the Middle East?
Keynote addresses by Moshe Arens, Richard Haass, Saud Nasir Al-Sabah, and Paul Wolfowitz.
۱۴ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۰
In-Depth Reports
The Bush Administration's Strategy toward the Gulf Crisis
On September 14-16, 1990, The Washington Institute held its fifth annual Policy Conference at the Wye Plantation. The following is an edited transcript of one speaker's remarks. Read a summary of the full conference. We are now seeing not just the outlines of a post-war security order, but the outlines
۱۴ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۰
Brief Analysis
A New Security Structure for the Persian Gulf:
What Does the United States Have in Mind?
Secretary of State Baker's idea of developing "a new security structure" for the Middle East has been the subject of much attention. What specifically does the U.S. have in mind? The most honest answer is not much. It appears that, in raising the idea, Secretary Baker was for the most
۱۳ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۰
◆
  • John Hannah
Brief Analysis
From Competition to Cooperation:
The Helsinki Communique in Perspective
Did President Bush reverse long-standing policy by inviting the USSR to play a role in Middle East peacemaking? No. In fact, the summit outcome points to two other conclusions. First, the Bush administration has been willing from the outset to give the Soviet Union a role in Middle East peacemaking
۱۲ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۰
Brief Analysis
Baker's Damascus Trip:
Is Syria America's New Iraq?
It is surprising how few Arabs and Arab states are supporting Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein. As Secretary of State James Baker's visit to Damascus on Thursday shows, the anti-Iraq coalition includes the Arab world's three other most important powers: Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and Syria. This triumverate marks the Arab world's
۱۱ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۰
◆
  • Barry Rubin
Brief Analysis
Chemical Warfare and the Persian Gulf States
Iraq's chemical weapons pose two major questions for U.S. policy today: • How threatening are these arms to U.S. forces? • What should the United States and its allies do to neutralize these weapons if Iraq's current capacities survive the crisis? Iraq is now the world's largest producer of chemical
۱۰ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۰
Brief Analysis
Can the United States Liberate Kuwait Today?
Many commentators and policy-makers in Washington are calling for U.S. military action to dislodge Iraq from Kuwait. While this option may be attractive in principle, today it is impossible in practice. Indeed, according to Defense Secretary Dick Cheney, the U.S. military still has some way to go before it can
۶ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۰
Brief Analysis
Toward the Helsinki Summit:
Where Does Moscow Stand?
Sunday's Helsinki summit between Presidents Bush and Gorbachev offers an opportunity to consolidate impressive U.S.-Soviet coordination that has arisen in response to Iraq's invasion of Kuwait, as well as to avoid future misunderstandings on the crisis that Iraq might seek to exploit. Such coordination is a key pillar in Washington's
۵ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۰
◆
  • John Hannah
Brief Analysis
The U.S. Strategy Debate over the Gulf
The danger of a U.S.-Iraq military confrontation may be receding for the time being. But now the debate in the administration, Congress, and the public faces a new issue: will the Bush Administration's multilateral strategy prevent it from taking unilateral military action if Saddam Hussein refuses to withdraw from Kuwait
۴ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۰
Brief Analysis
Meeting in Amman:
The Perils of Negotiation
As UN Secretary-General Perez de Cuellar begins diplomatic contacts in Amman with Iraqi Foreign Minister Tariq Aziz, the Gulf crisis moves, at least temporarily, into a phase of negotiations. But negotiations can be as dangerous as battle -- leading to escalation, defeat, or even disaster. U.S. policy must be flexible
۳۰ اوت ۱۹۹۰
◆
  • Barry Rubin
In-Depth Reports
Keynote Address
Superpower relations in the Middle East is an especially timely and provocative topic -- timely because superpower relations clearly are changing, and provocative because the consequences from those changes are far from self-evident. On one hand, the lessening of the tensions between the superpowers, especially the declining role of the
۳۰ آوریل ۱۹۹۰

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Supported by the

Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East

The Diane and Guilford Glazer Foundation Program on Great Power Competition and the Middle East focuses on the region as a setting for heightened competition between the United States and other world powers, such as China and Russia.

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Featured experts

Robert Satloff - source: The Washington Institute
رابرت ستلوف
رابرت ستلوف مدیر اجرایی انستیتو واشنگتن است. ستلوف کارشناس سیاست‌ عربی و اسلامی است و در زمینه روند صلح اعراب و اسرائیل، چالش اسلام سیاسی و ضرورت اصلاح دیپلماسی عمومی ایالات متحده در خاورمیانه مطالب زیادی منتشر کرده است.
Ambassador Dennis Ross
دنیس راس
سفیر دنیس راس، دستیار ویژه پیشین پرزیدنت باراک اوباما، مشاور انستیتو و هموند برجسته ویلیام دیویدسون در انستیتو واشنگتن است.
Michael Singh
مایکل سینگ
مایکل سینگ هموند پژوهشی ارشد لین-سویگ (Lane-Swig) و مدیرعامل انستیتو واشنگتن ‌است
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