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نظامی و امنیتی

Policy Analysis on نظامی و امنیتی

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A Preliminary Assessment

Saddam Husayn's regime is under relentless attack, and its days are numbered. Exactly when or how the end will come is unclear but not in doubt. After a week of major combat, it is reasonable to assess the progress of this war: accomplishments by both sides, surprising -- and not

۲۸ مارس ۲۰۰۳

Jeffrey White

Iraqi Strategy and the Battle for Baghdad

Over the past two days, U.S. forces have battled elements of the four Republican Guard (RG) divisions that form the outer ring of Baghdad's defenses, initiating what may be the decisive phase of the coalition's invasion of Iraq. The possibility of urban combat in Baghdad is a daunting one, entailing

۲۶ مارس ۲۰۰۳

Michael Eisenstadt

Iraq Fights Its War 'Outside-In'

Iraqi forces have been countering the U.S.-led Operation Iraqi Freedom with a form of "outside-in" strategy, defending their country from the periphery to the center. Although the coalition is winning every significant engagement and has penetrated to the heart of the country, Saddam Husayn's regime is not giving ground easily

۲۵ مارس ۲۰۰۳

Jeffrey White

The Long View of No-Fly and No-Augmentation Zones

Coalition ground forces entered Iraq on the first day of Operation Iraqi Freedom, in contrast to Operation Desert Storm in 1991, when the ground assault followed forty-three days of air strikes involving an average of 2,500 sorties per day. This difference was due in large part to the fact that

۲۴ مارس ۲۰۰۳

Michael Knights

The Complexities of a Military Coup against Saddam

There has been much speculation that under certain circumstances -- either just before a war or in the early stages of a coalition operation -- some elements of the Iraqi military would move against Saddam Husayn and his regime. A coup against Saddam would in fact be a highly complex

۱۷ مارس ۲۰۰۳

Jeffrey White

Infrastructure Targeting and Postwar Iraq

Using new operational concepts in concert with rapidly maturing strike technologies, the U.S. military will attempt to seamlessly dovetail the destructive process of warfare with the reconstructive effort of nation building in any future air operations against Iraq. Lessons learned from air campaigns conducted in Iraq during the 1990s have

۱۴ مارس ۲۰۰۳

Michael Knights

Iraq's Nascent Nuclear Doctrine:

Insights from a Captured Document

During Operation Desert Storm, U.S. forces captured several million Iraqi military documents. Among these was one titled "The Operational Use of Weapons of Mass Destruction; Volume 2; Part 2; Foundations for the Use of Nuclear Weapons in War." The manual was published in July 1988 by the Ministry of Defense

۱۲ مارس ۲۰۰۳

Fighting With or Without Turkey?

Lessons and Implications

It is unclear clear whether the Turkish parliament will re-vote or approve the deployment of U.S. troops in Turkey in preparation for an attack on Iraq. Turkish military cooperation -- or its absence -- may either facilitate or, respectively, complicate an American military operation. Even if the Turkish parliament were

۱۲ مارس ۲۰۰۳

What Kind of Defense Might Iraq Mount?

If the United States and the "coalition of the willing" go to war, the result will be a comprehensive defeat of the Iraqi regime and its military and security forces. What is not so clear is how smoothly the military campaign will proceed. Many commentators seem to assume that any

۵ مارس ۲۰۰۳

Jeffrey White

Lebanese Military Deployment to the South:

Understanding Syria's Defensive Tactics

In recent weeks, Syria has begun to alter its military tactics in Lebanon as a direct consequence of U.S. policy toward Iraq. Even without U.S. forces firing a shot against Saddam Husayn, leaders throughout the Middle East have already begun to position themselves for an eventual U.S.-led victory and the

۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۳

Iraq's al-Samoud:

A Missile with Great Possibilities

A dispute is rapidly growing between UN inspectors and Baghdad concerning Iraq's stockpile of al-Samoud missiles. The UN is expected to order the destruction of these missiles today. According to Hans Blix, executive chairman of the UN Monitoring, Verification, and Inspection Commission, the fact that these missiles are capable of

۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۳

In-Depth Reports

Classifying Evil:

Bush Administration Rhetoric and Policy toward Rogue Regimes

Language matters in international policymaking, and terms such as "rogue," "outlaw," and "hostile" can help mobilize democratic publics against states that actively attempt to acquire weapons of mass destruction (WMD), proliferate long-range missiles, and sponsor international terrorism. For President George W. Bush, the attacks of September 11, 2001, reinforced the

۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۳

Raymond Tanter

Easy on the Stick:

Why the United States Should Deconflict

This week, hundreds of U.S. soldiers will participate in Juniper Cobra, a joint exercise with the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) to test the interoperability of U.S. Patriot and Israeli Arrow antiballistic missile systems. Such bilateral cooperation, coupled with reports that the Bush administration is considering providing Israel an additional $4

۱۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۳

Missiles and Diplomacy:

The Middle East's Dangerous Mix

The temporary seizure by the Spanish navy last week of a ship carrying Scud missiles from North Korea to Yemen was a reminder of the extent of missile proliferation in the Middle East. Similarly, Yemen's insistence on receiving the missiles, despite U.S. pressure, is a reminder of how much priority

۲۳ دسامبر ۲۰۰۲

Simon Henderson

Turkey Has Been Successful As the Leader of the International Force in Afghanistan

ISAF's Mandate The creation of ISAF was authorized by UN Security Council Resolution 1386 in December 2001. The United Kingdom served as the first lead nation until Turkey took over command on June 20, 2002; the Turkish mandate was granted by Resolution 1413, which extended ISAF's authorization until December 20

۲۷ نوامبر ۲۰۰۲

Envisioning a Post-Saddam Iraqi Military

Retraining and reorganizing the Iraqi military and eliminating weapons of mass destruction (WMD) will be vital tasks in the wake of any U.S.-led invasion of Iraq. Yet, political change is a prerequisite for military change, and neglecting the former could pose disastrous consequences for the latter. Specifically, the United States

۲۵ نوامبر ۲۰۰۲

Michael Eisenstadt
Kenneth Pollack

In-Depth Reports

Confrontation with Saddam's Iraq:

A Military Assessment

A little more than a year ago, the most vile terror attack in the history of mankind took place in the United States, devastating the principal symbols of American military and economic power, indeed the very symbols of freedom and capitalism in the eyes of the world. September 11 --

۴ اکتبر ۲۰۰۲

In-Depth Reports

How to Build a New Iraq after Saddam

INTRODUCTION Whether changing the regime in Baghdad is a worthwhile U.S. policy depends in no small part on defining the shape that Iraq would most likely assume following Saddam Husayn's removal. Among other central objectives, any strategy for regime change should include the long-term goal of creating a stable and

۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۲

Patrick Clawson

A Fence for the Foreseeable Future:

Security and Political Implications

A few weeks ago, the Israeli government decided to establish a security fence between Israel and the West Bank in order to stem the tide of Palestinian suicide attacks. This fence has the support of the majority of Israelis for whom daily life has become a harrowing experience and for

۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۲

Military Options Regarding Iraq

In his June 1 West Point address, President George W. Bush announced a policy of using preemption against countries that support terrorism and can deliver weapons of mass destruction (WMD). The preeminent such case in the world is the government of Iraqi president Saddam Husayn. The United States can no

۱۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۲

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Supported by the

Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt

مایکل آیزنستات

مایکل آیزنستات هموند دیوید کان و داگلاس کان و مدیر برنامه مطالعات امنیتی و نظامی انستیو واشنگتن است.

Michael Knights

مایکل نایتز

مایکل نایتز هموند جیل و جی برنشتاین در انستیتو واشنگتن و کارشناس امور نظامی و امنیتی عراق، ایران و کشورهای خلیج فارس است. او مقیم بوستون است و یکی از بنیانگذاران پلتفرم «شبه‌نظامیان زیر ذره‌‌بین» که تحلیل‌های عمیق از تحولات مربوط به شبه‌نظامیان تحت حمایت ایران در عراق و سوریه ارائه می‌کند.

دکتر نایتز بارها به عراق، یمن و کشورهای خلیج فارس سفر کرده و به طور منظم در خصوص سیاست‌گذاری‌های دولت ایالات متحده، کمیته‌های کنگره و افسران نظامی آمریکا در امور امنیتی منطقه،‌ سازمان‌های نظامی و امنیتی محلی در عراق، کشورهای خلیج فارس و یمن فعالیت داشته است.

او دکترای خود را از کالج کینگ لندن دریافت کرده و

Grant Rumley

گرانت راملی

گرانت راملی هموند ارشد انستیتو واشنگتن و مشاور سابق سیاست‌گذاری خاورمیانه در دفتر وزیر دفاع است.

Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute

Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.

1111 19th Street NW - Suite 500
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