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نظامی و امنیتی

Policy Analysis on نظامی و امنیتی

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Articles & Testimony
U.S.-Turkish Military Cooperation in Iraq:
The Next Step
A surprising summit meeting yesterday in Ankara involving members of the Justice and Development Party (AKP) government, the Turkish General Staff, the Turkish Foreign Ministry, and the Turkish National Intelligence Organization produced an agreement "in principle" to send Turkish "peacekeeping soldiers" to Iraq. From one perspective, if Turkish troops were
۱۳ اوت ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
European Union Reforms Diminish the Role of the Turkish Military:
Ankara Knocking on Brussels' Door
On August 8, 2003, the seventh European Union (EU) reform package went into effect in Turkey, significantly curbing the role of the military in politics. This legislation, passed by the Justice and Development Party (AKP) government on August 4, follows six previous packages adopted since February 2002. Collectively, these reform
۱۲ اوت ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Iraqi Sunni Resistance
Since President George W. Bush declared an end to "major combat operations" in Iraq on May 1, coalition forces have repositioned themselves to deal with the emerging resistance in Iraq. Although many attacks on the coalition have taken place in Baghdad, 90 percent are occurring in the so-called "Sunni triangle,"
۱۱ اوت ۲۰۰۳
Brief Analysis
U.S.-Turkish Military Cooperation in Iraq?
The Next Step
A surprising summit meeting yesterday in Ankara involving members of the Justice and Development Party (AKP) government, the Turkish General Staff, the Turkish Foreign Ministry, and the Turkish National Intelligence Organization produced an agreement "in principle" to send Turkish "peacekeeping soldiers" to Iraq. From one perspective, if Turkish troops were
۷ اوت ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
When Is a Fence Not a Fence?
While the ceasefire is generally holding between Palestinians and Israelis, the first phase of the roadmap is barely unfolding. Palestinians are making an effort to stem incitement and at least stop terror attacks in Gaza and parts of the West Bank. The Israelis have lifted a few checkpoints, withdrawn from
۴ اوت ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
The Good Fence
For the first time since the start of the Palestinian uprising nearly three years ago, hope for real peace between Israelis and Palestinians is beginning to take shape. Strangely, the Bush administration is sending signals that it is against it. I am not referring to the "road map" for Middle
۲۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The New Iraqi Army:
Problems and Prospects
According to a June 23, 2003, coalition administration announcement, recruitment for the new Iraqi army is to begin shortly. This is a potentially momentous step with major long-term implications for the future of the state. It will not be easy to create a new army to support a democratic Iraq
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Patterns of Sunni Resistance in Iraq
Almost from the beginning of the occupation of Iraq, coalition forces have faced "resistance" -- armed action against coalition forces, equipment, or facilities. Resistance is to be distinguished from violence by Iraqis against other Iraqis and from "opposition" -- that is, anticoalition statements, demonstrations, or the organization of political activity
۱۱ ژوئن ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Iranian Nuclear Weapons (Part III):
How Might Iran Retaliate?
A U.S. or "coalition" strike against Iran's nuclear program would be an exercise in high-stakes compellence. Although the physical results of such a strike (e.g., amount of damage inflicted; number of years by which the Iranian nuclear program would be set back) are uncertain, the consequences for U.S.-Iranian relations are
۲۹ مهٔ ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Iranian Nuclear Weapons (Part II):
Operational Challenges
Counterproliferation strikes on nuclear sites are uncommon but by no means unprecedented. Germany's embryonic nuclear program was attacked during World War II, Iraq's Osiraq nuclear plant was bombed by Iran in 1980 and by Israel in 1981, and Iran's Bushehr reactor site was attacked by Iraq throughout 1984-1988. During the
۲۸ مهٔ ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iranian Nuclear Weapons (Part I):
The Challenges of U.S. Preventive Action
Having just fought a war to rid Iraq of weapons of mass destruction, and alarmed by fresh signs of dramatic progress by Tehran in the nuclear arena, the United States is pressing the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to declare Iran in violation of its commitments under the Treaty on
۲۷ مهٔ ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
The Role of Broadcast Media in Influence Operations in Iraq
Successfully shaping Iraqi public perceptions is vitally important, particularly since other well-known means of influencing the public -- creating stability and reestablishing water, power, and other public welfare services -- are taking longer than expected. Yet, the coalition has arguably been slower to shape the Iraqi media environment than either
۱۹ مهٔ ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
The Emergence of Resistance in Iraq
Whatever the long-term prospects for a stable and democratic Iraq, the potential exists for the development of resistance to that goal. This potential is rooted in both historical factors (e.g., Iraq's political culture; Iraqi distrust of the United States; enduring images of colonialism) and immediate circumstances (e.g., the collapse of
۲۳ آوریل ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
The Future Shape of Military Operations in Support of Postwar Stabilization in Iraq
Although military operations have passed the "tipping point" in Iraq, U.S. Central Command spokesmen continue to stress that their primary focus remains the completion of high-intensity operations against remaining pockets of resistance. Moreover, in contrast to previous statements that advocated allowing looting to burn itself out, recent statements suggest that
۱۱ آوریل ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Foreign Irregulars in Iraq:
The Next Jihad?
In light of the recent dramatic events in Baghdad, U.S. policymakers are eyeing the next phase of the war. U.S. forces will almost certainly encounter increased guerrilla fighting. Saddam Husayn's vice president, Taha Yassin Ramadan, recently stated that more than 6,000 Arab volunteer fighters are now in Iraq. With increasing
۱۰ آوریل ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
The End of Saddam's Regime
"Bloody thou art, bloody will be thy end" -- like Shakespeare's quintessential villain Richard III, Saddam Husayn is being toppled by a combination of forces he called into existence through his own evil actions. Unlike Richard, Saddam's final act will lack heroic qualities. Clearly, the regime's disintegration is accelerating; all
۷ آوریل ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
U.S. and Kurdish Forces Keep Iraqi Northern Front Stable
The northern front was supposed to have been occupied by tens of thousands of U.S. troops who would make up the second front of a pincer movement against Baghdad. But Turkey's refusal to allow American forces and heavy armor to cross the Turkish-Iraqi frontier means that only a few thousand
۷ آوریل ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Fighting the War to Win the Peace in a Post-Saddam Iraq
As the coalition prepares for the decisive phase of the war against Saddam Husayn's regime, it is crucial that combat operations set the conditions for achieving U.S. war aims and -- just as important -- winning the peace afterward. The principal war aims are: 1) eliminating Iraq's weapons of mass
۲ آوریل ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
  • Jeffrey White
In-Depth Reports
U.S. Policy in Post-Saddam Iraq:
Lessons from the British Experience
INTRODUCTION In launching Operation Iraqi Freedom, the United States embarks on a major undertaking, one that may well involve the creation of a new Iraqi government and a significant, long-term commitment of resources and personnel. This endeavor bears similarities to the British experience in Iraq during the first half of
۱ آوریل ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Basing Restrictions Shape Concept and Conduct of War
With Saudi Arabian, Turkish, and Jordanian host-nation restrictions limiting coalition ground and air operations, the United States has begun to develop a range of Iraqi airfields as forward operating bases for combat aircraft. This is ironic considering that successive U.S. governments spent billions of dollars to develop an unparalleled basing
۳۱ مارس ۲۰۰۳
◆
  • Michael Knights

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Military and Security Studies Program

The Washington Institute's Military and Security Studies Program has established itself as an unrivaled source of reliable, incisive, and forward-looking analysis concerning several of the most critical national-security challenges facing the United States today: The U.S. military role in the Middle East, Iran's nuclear program and its proxy armies, the ongoing conflict is in Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen, the regional proliferation of missiles and weapons of mass destruction, the security dimensions of the Arab-Israeli conflict, and many other security issues on the frontline of the U.S. policymaking agenda.

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Featured experts

Michael Eisenstadt
مایکل آیزنستات
مایکل آیزنستات هموند دیوید کان و داگلاس کان و مدیر برنامه مطالعات امنیتی و نظامی انستیو واشنگتن است.
Michael Knights
مایکل نایتز

مایکل نایتز هموند جیل و جی برنشتاین در انستیتو واشنگتن و کارشناس امور نظامی و امنیتی عراق، ایران و کشورهای خلیج فارس است. او مقیم بوستون است و یکی از بنیانگذاران پلتفرم «شبه‌نظامیان زیر ذره‌‌بین» که تحلیل‌های عمیق از تحولات مربوط به شبه‌نظامیان تحت حمایت ایران در عراق و سوریه ارائه می‌کند.

دکتر نایتز بارها به عراق، یمن و کشورهای خلیج فارس سفر کرده و به طور منظم در خصوص سیاست‌گذاری‌های دولت ایالات متحده، کمیته‌های کنگره و افسران نظامی آمریکا در امور امنیتی منطقه،‌ سازمان‌های نظامی و امنیتی محلی در عراق، کشورهای خلیج فارس و یمن فعالیت داشته است.

او دکترای خود را از کالج کینگ لندن دریافت کرده و

Grant Rumley
گرانت راملی
گرانت راملی هموند ارشد انستیتو واشنگتن و مشاور سابق سیاست‌گذاری خاورمیانه در دفتر وزیر دفاع است.
Elizabeth Dent - source: The Washington Institute
Elizabeth Dent
Elizabeth Dent is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where she focuses on U.S. foreign and defense policy toward the Gulf states, Iraq, and Syria.
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